Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 3
Welcome to Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 3. GW2 FPL 2018/19 may now forever more be remembered as Jamie Jackson Week. There’s a fair to middling chance that prior to about 4.25pm on Friday many (most) of you will never have even heard of Jamie Jackson before. Yeah sure enough, he’s got a hallowed ‘blue tick’ on his twitter page and he’s a ‘journalist’ for The Guardian but we aren’t talking Henry Winter or Neil Custis levels of notoriety here. I’ll freely admit I didn’t have a scooby who he was either. I do now though! He’s just about the most hated person on twitter within FPL circles as we speak. Even Ben Crellin blushed. Bobby Madley’s publicist was perhaps the only person to benefit from the whole debacle, in a Tony Blair style ‘good week to bury bad news’ style.
We digress (before we get sued!)… On to this weeks Fixtures article –
My much younger, less good looking and much smaller (than Rosco, who isn’t?!) predecessor AT (don’t worry he’s not dead!) spent last week telling you all about the bleeding obvious. Gems such as ‘Man City and Liverpool are good, Newcastle are bad’ fell from his expert fantasy hands onto the keyboard. And he was correct to do so. I’ll not be so lazy though, rest assured. Maybe…
To be fair to our young whipper snapper he gave you Man City who spanked Huddersfield, Everton who were also victorious, just, and Liverpool who limped home, in a grey fashion….
Unfortunately he also advised you avoid both Newcastle and Brighton like the plague. And both went and got (relatively) positive results. Which is quite fitting really given as the mantra ‘Bloody AT’ was almost trending on site after GW1! I’m not entirely sure why it was but it seems he may have spent pre-season systematically destroying peoples teams one by one like some demented FPL version of T-1000.
I’m sure it was just a quirk of the scheduling calendar that meant I could follow up next after his every fixtures article….
Favourable Fixtures
Manchester City – Wolves (A), Newcastle (H), Fulham (H) There was a benign early passage of play, way before City even opened the scoring, it involved Ederson and Stones playing it across their own goal line, virtually. If you love football you’ll have seen it and smiled wryly as I did. It was almost Pep eating himself, such was it’s audacity and daring. The whole thing took a matter of seconds, but probably encapsulated Pep’s whole philosophy, maybe to an n’th degree that even he didn’t daren’t envisage. But it also then ballooned a while later into Ederson himself making a pinpoint through ball, an 80 yard one, for Kun’s opener. Surely the best and most deliberate assist we’ve ever seen from a keeper?
Does it really matter who they play next? Probably not, they’re streets ahead of anyone. Your main difficulty is of course second guessing which players will actually play. Fortunately that’s not our job here on Fixtures, we just point you at the correct teams! I will however give you a steer as to my own thinking on this, as a bonus (!), I have Ederson and Kun currently and I’m fixing to add Mendy to those. I’m ignoring the mids for now as it’s clearly a mine field. Mendy thinks he’s a mid anyway, so that’s good enough for me.
Arsenal – West Ham (H), Cardiff (A), Newcastle (A)
Wenger out! Oh no, hang on… we went there, did that and he left. Eventually…. Emery out?! Not quite yet. Yeah ok the first two results haven’t quite been perfect but then again neither were the fixtures. The next ones will probably tell us far more as they’re all ‘winnable’ on paper. And it’s not just the next 3 either, Emery and co go all the way until GW11 now until they next meet one of the Big 6. They have a clear run now, as such. Make of it what you will but GW’s 3 to 10 will be definitive for them and also perhaps Emery himself.
West Ham at home is probably just the tonic they need right now as Pellegrini’s men have shipped 6 in 2 games and only scored 1 in response, and that was from the penalty spot. A couple of away trips follow but neither looks particularly daunting.
If you deliberately swerved the Gunners for their opening couple of games then that was probably wise but you can start to look at them as viable options from here on in. Certainly from an attacking point of view anyway. Personally I’d take a rain check on their defenders for now, until they all get their heads around this playing out from the back thing, or at least until Cech does finally stick one in his own net and is inevitably forced to pick up his walking stick and wander off into the distance like Grandpa from The Simpsons, muttering ‘bloody kids’ under his breath.
Chelsea – Newcastle (A), Bournemouth (H), Cardiff (H)
Would Sir like sauce on that? Sometimes the devil is in the detail. Or so it seems in football management. Seemingly, something as simple as reintroducing ketchup to the lunch service can reinvigorate an entire squadron of men these days. I’m being slightly facetious of course but ketchup is the new word for ‘fun’ in modern football management parlance. If the manager allows it he’s perceived as the relaxed type, if he doesn’t then he’s a disciplinarian. And so cyclical are these things that replacing the ‘no sauce’ Conte with the more ‘saucy’ Sarri was the logical step.
Whether it is indeed sauce, or simply the fresh approach from a manager known for his attacking style, the players certainly seem to have embraced it and they have 2 wins out of 2 under their belts now and 3 goals in each game. Even Morata has scored. Miracle sauce?
If you’re looking for cheap options who play for a top side then you could do worse than look at the likes of Luiz and Pedro right now. Alonso carries a more premium label but if the hype is to be believed then he’s more than likely going to score a lot more than most mids or even forwards who cost the same. You’d have to imagine that Hazard may just embrace playing in a free flowing Sarri side too.
Best of the rest
Crystal Palace – Watford (A), Southampton (H), Huddersfield (A)
This is just a heads up really that you have 6 weeks of Palace bliss, if you choose to accept it, and then 5 weeks of hell. Well ok, probably not hell, but it’s all relative. After the above 3 games Woy also leads his twoops into games against Newcastle, Bournemouth and Wolves. And then things get potentially more wocky, albeit gradually so, with Everton, Arsenal, Chelsea, Spurs and Man United being their next 5.
Richarlison – Bournemouth (A), Huddersfield (H), West Ham (H)
Fun fact, our young Brazilliant hero has never scored a professional goal without Marco Silva being tucked into his left sock and operating him by remote control. Ok, so that may not be strictly true but it doesn’t feel that far removed from the reality of his career in England thus far. Robot Rich has a decent run of games ahead of him. The ones noted above are punctuated by a trip to Arsenal but even after that he gets a go at Fulham, Leicester and Palace.
Unfavourable Fixtures
Cardiff – Huddersfield (A), Arsenal (H), Chelsea (A)
When you need a 97th minute penalty save to get a point in a 0-0 at home to Newcastle you probably know it’s going to be a long season. Huddersfield away next is the proverbial 40 pointer. Beyond that classic it’s Arsenal, Chelsea and Man City on the bounce and then Spurs and Liverpool in 2 of the following 4. Sell! Sell! Sell! Or rather, slap yourself hard in the face for buying in the first place.
Spurs – Man United (A), Watford (A), Liverpool (H)
Take a pic. It’s not often you find Spurs hidden down here. It’s more cautionary than anything though as we know they can perform in any given game, from an attacking perspective. I probably just wouldn’t bank on any of their defenders for a few weeks, that’s all really.
Thanks for reading Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 3. This article was written by Inittowinit
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Afternoon fellas,
Should I do Alexis and Hogg >> Richarlison and Pogba/Pedro?
Or Mkhi is also another option
Yes, I prefer Richarlison and Mkhitaryan, good moves that give your team a better balance imo!
+1 Pogba won’t score penalties every week. Pedro isn’t a bad shout given his form though, but I do like Mhki.
+1
Richarlison and Mkhitaryan/Pedro should outscore Sanchez and hogg.
Just to make it slightly difficult for you
Arsenal’s next 8 fixtures look slightly better than Chelsea’s fixtures (go Mkhitaryan)
Chelsea looks the more settled team(go Pedro)
I probably would pick Mkhitaryan over Pedro
Yeah I’m getting Richarlison for sure, but I can’t decide between Pogba, Pedro and Mkhi for my other transfer
I already have arsenal cover with Auba whereas I have no Chelsea or Manu cover so I’m not that keen on Mkhi. And I’m also worried that Pedro might be benched now that Hazard is back.
Pogba is the only one 100% nailed, but I wouldn’t buy someone purely because of United cover (as opposed to Arsenal cover)… I’m not a big believer in cover anyway
So I mean it’s irrelevant that you have Auba already, if you think Mkhi is the best of the three, go for him imo!
I reckon Mkhi is a must-have given upcoming fixtures, his track record and at his current price.
My team going into next week any tips?? Need to get rid of ralls and thinking b Silva for mane as I have 2.5m in the bank but would need to get firminio out. Have already used this weeks transfer for Micki from fota
No need to take a points hit with your team.
I would not start with transferring out B. Silva.
Ralls + 2.5m will give you a great selection of players to choose from next round
@Jakeboy, I leave as is for this week. I will let you decide who is the better option for captain as this is a debate we are all going to struggle with every GW.
Ralls and Firmino should probably be given this last week considering their opposition. Huddersfield should give up some set play opportunities and hopefully Ralls can finally repay your investment a bit. Firmino at home against Brighton, if he blanks again, then do what you must if you are done with him. First game, I thought he was a little unlucky, last night though, he never looked like contributing anything from an attacking standpoint.
Nice job on the article Init, thoroughly enjoyed that, and the intro gags were pleasingly close to the bone
My bench is a bit of a nightmare with Cardiff stinking the place out, and my two stinky fellows not even playing haha. That said, I think I have bigger fish to fry. 2 FTs and 1.0m in the bank:
1) Easy option is just Jota > Mkhi and roll the second transfer (would leave me 4.4m, which isn’t enough to meaningfully replace Ward, could consider Peltier > Bennett of Wolves though).
2) An alternative is Luiz > Alonso (a bit sideways) and then Jota > 6.3m. Not many tempting options there, unless Iwobi is nailed (feels risky).
3) Merge these options (-4) and do King + Jota + Luiz > Ings + Mkhi + Alonso. Seems very tempting written out but I’m not sure I need a hit.
Thoughts appreciated!!
I’d probably go King -> Wilson and Jota to Mkhi or Pedro, don’t think -4 is worth it
Your first eleven looks very good and definitely not worth a -4
Jota to Mkhitaryan is a solid transfer
After that you have a luxury problem.
4.4m in the bank and a great starting first 11 would tempt me to leave 1 FT to roll over till game-week 3 and then see if there is a need to transfer someone due to injuries or red cards or upgrade Ward or Peltier
With Luiz, Mendy and Robertson there is no need to upgrade Ward or Peltier to a premium defender.
I probably could not resist temptation and upgrade Ward or Peltier this round to the cheapest starting defender out there.
Jota to Mkhi and save the 2nd transfer
Thanks fellas. Think I’ll stick with Jota > Mkhi and give King one more week.
Many thanks Init, that was a fun read. Love the Smashing of AT.
I do love ketchup!
Hi again..i replace erikson to miki and stephens to pedro.. what do you thinks.?
Have you done it already?
I would suggest doing Cairney to Pedro if that is who you want, I probably just get Mkhi instead, but if you want Pedro. Stephens is only there in case of emergency anyway, so why waste .5 on the bench. You already have defenders and attackers you will want to play over Cairney every week, so might as well put someone like Stephens on the bench and put the .5 in play if possible.
Hi mito..not yet..just do some draft only.
You suggest erik to miki only right?…sound good to me..and i can carry my FT for GW4. Btw..i had 2 FT.
That’s probably the way to go, but if you did for a second transfer in the mid section I go for moving Cairney and not Stephens. Give yourself for .5 to play with.
Hi all – any suggestions? (2 FT, 0,5m ITB)
Wanted to do Jota to Mkhitaryan but thats not possible now because of the pricefall…
Definetly want to get Jota out – maybe switch the BOU attackers to get the funds?
Also not thrilled about Shaw for the coming weeks, but will have to stick with him for the moment, right?
The moves I have seen the most are
King ->Ings and Jota -> Mkhitaryan
I see no reason why Shaw should be high on the “to do” list.
You can do Jota —> Mikhi by downgrading either King (to Mitrovic/Ings) or Shaw to a 4.5m of your choice (Tomkins for instance, Palace defended rather well yesterday)!
Scratch that, Mitrovic is 6.5m!