Fantasy Football Fixtures Game-week 23
Given the unpredictable nature of the season we have had so far we were beginning to wonder whether the fixtures themselves were actually even a viable consideration in transfer decisions and as such we paid particular interest to the comments this week to see how many times an answer referred to the fixture itself in terms of whether to pick, play, or transfer in or out a given player. Our extensive research on this matter concluded that at least 72% of such comments alluded to the strength of the fixture ahead or indeed to future fixtures. So it is with much relief that we can safely say that even if ‘anyone can beat anyone’ this season then the strength or otherwise of the opposition does still carry a fair bit of weight. This weeks results bore that out also with the likes of Spurs and Man City playing to expectations with fairly comprehensive home victories and we paid particular notice and interest to those two results as we wanted to know if the stats, form and trends would be backed up by the reality. And they were. Why did we go to such lengths though? Well, because we try and leave no stone unturned and that even extends to checking ourselves at times to see if we are missing anything that would help us to help you. We won’t get it right every time of course but here is how we feel things will pan out for the next few weeks as we look at those teams with favourable fixtures, those to be wary of and those to perhaps punt on this week alone…
The Tracker…
We have rated each teams fixtures on a sliding scale. Remember that this is just our opinion and you may feel differently but if nothing else it gives you a nice easy visual aid as to each teams upcoming games…
We do have a comprehensive library of other useful trackers including the all singing, all dancing interactive one from Calvin Clyne and you can find them all here – Fixture Trackers
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FAVOURABLE FIXTURES
Everton – Swansea (H), Newcastle (H), Stoke (A)
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[/three_fourth]The exodus has begun! A run of one win in six for the Toffees and a handful of blanks for season stalwarts Romelu Lukaku and Ross Barkley is all it takes for both to be sold in their droves. However, the masses are overlooking two things. First, the run of games Everton have had recently. Leicester, Stoke, Spurs, City and Chelsea is a harsh run for anyone in the league and although Everton haven’t picked up the desired results, they have maintained the attacking threat and scored ten goals during the last six – something that bodes well for the near future. Second, the near future! Our featured games this week are all very favorable and after those it still looks bright for us fantasy folk. Those who punted on dropping Everton cover recently may have got away with it to a certain degree but going forward it would, on the face of it at least, be a Seppuku type manoeuvre for our Fantasy teams to be Toffee-less. Lets have a peek at what lies ahead…
Back-to-back home games is always a treat for FPL prospects and that’s what we have, and the opposition couldn’t be much tastier either. The first to visit Merseyside is the nose-diving Swansea. Gone are the days of being a tough team to beat who could play some lovely stuff, it’s all come apart for them (apart from tonight!) and whoever takes the job is in for a hard task to pull them together. Udinese boss Francesco Guidolin is the current favorite to take the post, make of that what you will. Battling the drop and changing manager, they should be no match for Everton. Once the Swans have been dealt with, fellow relegation fighters Newcastle are the next to arrive at Goodison and attempt to upset the party, but we all know how this one should go! A much needed victory last week against West Ham came as surprise to everyone but travelling to Everton and repeating the process is another matter – we just cant see it happening. Comfortable home win. A slightly trickier fixture to finish off with, one that could go either way. The Brittania has been the downfall of many a team down the years and the newer, more attacking version of Stoke have been doing very well for themselves and sit four points above Everton. It promises to be an entertaining game and one that could produce plenty of FPL points to feast on, from both teams.
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Tottenham – Crystal Palace (A), Norwich (A), Watford (H)
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[/three_fourth]Speaking of teams who are doing well for themselves, our next highlighted outfit are doing just that and currently sit fourth in the league, two points ahead of a crumbling United and top of the form table. Not bad, not bad at all. The Pochettino stamp is well and truly on the team now – they currently boast the toughest defence in the top four with eighteen conceded, and are just one goal behind Leicester City for goals scored, making the new and improved Spurs a much more difficult afternoons work compared to the one who on so many occasions rolled over against the better sides and was patchy against the rest. Toby Alderweireld ensures the back-line is made of sterner stuff these days and with young Bamidele Alli emerging as a key figure, along with Harry Kane, the team has youth and hunger in abundance. Sunderland felt the brunt last week and were duly pounded 4-1 in an easy run-out for Kane & co, a scoreline that may well be reproduced over the coming weeks as the schedule continues to shine on Spurs…
Everything about Spurs’ fixtures is positive. Having just battered Sunderland at home, they next make a very short trip to neighbouring-ish Crystal Palace for a game that would usually be a potential banana skin, and still might, but as things stand Palace are having a wobble to say the least. No wins from the last five and not a single goal scored in those games is a clear indication of what’s wrong. Everything! Unless the Eagles can get their finger out during the week then it could be a long afternoon for them and we feel like that’s how it will go with Spurs dominating for the most part. A hop a skip and a jump, and Pochettino and his men go on the road again, this time to Norwich. The Canaries have shown a bit of fight recently in fairness to them but to get a result in this game should be a stretch too far. Back-to-back three goal beatings from Stoke and Bournemouth just about sums it up, Spurs should have no worries here at all. Turn up and win. Much like the last section, we finish off with a slightly tougher game than the previous ones. An encounter with Watford isn’t exactly the toughest game of the season but as we have seen so far, they’re highly competitive and have a very busy strike-force. Ighalo and Deeney have been excellent to date and Spurs will need to be careful or the duo will flip the script and make life very tough for the home side. Still, with Toby keeping things tight at the back we’re backing Spurs in this one, especially during this cluster of games.
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West Brom – Aston Villa (H), Swansea (H), Newcastle (A)
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[/three_fourth]Has it finally happened? Have opposing teams finally cracked the Pulis code? This season it certainly seems that way. The Baggies have kept just one clean sheet in the last twelve, yes, twelve, games in a complete role reversal of what we come to expect from a Tony Pulis team. Predictably tough to play against and a nightmare to break down, Tony’s brand has been a major thorn in the side to everyone down the years and at times even the more flamboyant and creative teams have failed to finish them off. Not so much this season though. Southampton were the latest to put a few past West Brom, running out 3-0 winners last week in a breeze of a game that means three defeats from the last six and just seven points earned in that time. It begs the question: why the hell are West Brom in the favorable section if they’re playing crap and not keeping things tight? It’s a good question, and one we decline to answer. Call it a punt. Now, lets have a look at some fixtures…
If they cant do a job on this lot then consider this West Brom team dead. Deader than dead, in fact. To start us off it’s everyone’s favorite whipping boys, Aston Villa. Rock bottom Villa actually won a game recently, a real game! They won! Shame it’s the only one in the last six and one that really isn’t fooling anybody. They’re bottom and nine points off safety for a reason after all and the Baggies should deal with them handily enough. Sticking to the bottom three, Swansea are, as previously mentioned, on the slippery slope themselves and might well be coming off the back of an utter pasting by Spurs by the time West Brom entertain them. Not that West Brom are going to batter anyone, or anything like it, but another nail in the Swans coffin can’t be a bad thing. A long-running struggle for goals is music to the ears of anyone who still has a Jonny Evans or Craig Dawson lingering about, and indeed any of us who take a punt on these games as a short term differential. Rounding out the dodgiest teams in the league, it is of course Newcastle. Their struggles are well documented at this stage. Every season it’s either a massive battle to stay up or the odd surprise season where things click for a few months and it results in a decent finish. The former looks like the protocol this season, a big struggle. The Baggies have to travel for this one but if they get the results we think they should get in the next two then a trip to Newcastle should be that much easier for them, if it needed to be at all.
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Manchester City – West Ham (A), Sunderland (A), Leicester (H)
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[/three_fourth]It’s hard to know where City are at each week. Are they going to turn up and destroy the opposition with attacking flair and incisive play, or are they going to struggle badly and limp over the line against lame opposition? It’s anyone’s guess but one thing is certain now at least: Sergio Aguero is looking sharp and is instantly breaking our hearts once again. Sold him recently out of frustration? Merked. Weren’t quite sure if he was fit enough for a capo shout? Merked. A brace, an assist, and a scoop of the bonus points brought a haul of sixteen points, or a colossal thirty-two if you chose him to lead the line. Lord Pardew could do nothing as City dismantled his team with ease and in truth could have been a lot meaner if they wished. Just a point behind Leicester and Arsenal now, City have a fantastic run ahead and will hope to pull away from the pack – something that wont be all that hard if a certain someone can stay out of the treatment room and top off a lethal attack with De Bruyne, Silva, Sterling and Yaya Toure to back him up. Right, on to this fantastic run we mentioned…
In great form until last weekend, when they shockingly lost to Newcastle, West Ham aren’t exactly the basement dwellers we would like to see here but they are a team that can be scored against, especially by a powerhouse like City. Recent meetings have actually gone the Hammers’ way with two wins from the last three meetings, with the other being a 2-0 defeat. However, with the aforementioned array of stars all now fit, or very close to being fit, West Ham have their work cut out for them for ninety minutes and despite their best efforts, we feel like they will fall short this time, but might get a goal or two for themselves. Next up is “one of those games”. The ones we Fantasy managers drool over. All we can see is huge hauls from forwards and defenders and stupidly high capo returns, resulting in a beast of a Game-week. City have let us down in these games before but is it likely to happen again this time? It better bloody not! Sunderland are ripe for a beating and of all the teams in the league, City, along with Arsenal, are the ones who usually dish out the mega-beatings and this game has all the marks of one of those. Stock up for this one, for sure. Back to home comforts, City then entertain Leicester. The Foxes have started to come down from their incredible high of late. Just two wins from six is a long way from where they were considering teams like Bournemouth and Villa have not been dealt with well in the last few weeks. For a team who showed so much defensive frailty earlier in the season, they’d really want to get it together before they face an Aguero-led City, or it could be a confidence-killing, season-ending battering they receive.
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BE WARY OF…
Stoke – Leicester (A), Manchester United (A), Everton (H)
Now, before we begin, it’s worth stating that Stoke aren’t in a bad place just now. Much the opposite in fact. A solid seventh in the league and fourth in the form table is good going for Stoke. However, a number of tricky games lie in wait and it remains to be seen whether teams like Stoke can keep the pace and continue to pick up points. A trip to Leicester is one that no teams will look forward to and even if they are tailing off a bit, they’re no mugs and will happily kill off any team who isn’t on their game. This game could be a good watch, actually. Another away trip to United next. On paper it’s a tough game but we’ll see about that. United are on a major wobble but they should be beating Stoke at home. Shouldn’t they? The solitary home game might just be the hardest of the bunch – Everton are the visitors and they’ve shown some great stuff this season, as well as some bad, but mainly good. Have to fancy Everton in this one although it might be tight.
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Southampton – Manchester United (A), Arsenal (A), West Ham (H)
Back to winning ways recently after two and three-nil wins over Watford and West Brom, Southampton look to have come out of their slumber and have played some nice stuff. Another victim of back-to-back away games, it might not be the time to invest in Saints cover unless it’s a punt on the incoming Charlie Austin, who served so many so well the last time he was available to us. Old Trafford first and a game that will again be determined by which United turn up. United will at least be favorites going in to the game and, again, should be winning these games. From Old Trafford to the Emirates and a clash with league leaders Arsenal. The Gunners’ form has slipped a little recently but we’d have to favor them against Southampton at home, especially if Mesut Ozil has returned to the starting eleven, accompanied by Alexis Sanchez. A Payet-led West Ham then travel to St. Mary’s for what looks to be a pretty even match-up to be fair, one that could go either way. Considering the two that precede it, leaving Southampton cover be for a few weeks looks the best route just now.
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Chelsea – Arsenal (A), Watford (A), Manchester United (H)
Four draws and two wins from the last six games isn’t all that bad but, when looking at the opposition, Chelsea have failed to beat Watford, West Brom and Everton, all at home, and United away. One of the victories was against Sunderland so that doesn’t count – things don’t look all that good all of a sudden. Eight conceded in that time doesn’t bode well for some of the coming games and none more so than the first one, Arsenal away. Usually a cracker, this fixture looks more favorable for Arsenal as things stand but you never know in these big games. The potent Watford strike-force follows and another game that will test big Gus’ team. The Hornets have performed above expectation so far and sit a full ten points above the drop zone, and can score in the blink of an eye through their two dangerous strikers. A tough game ahead then. Lastly, the battle of the has-been’s! Not long ago, these two were battling it out for titles and these games were crucial six-pointers. How the times have changed, eh? It’s not easy to put a prediction on this one but some sort of sh*tty, boring to the point of depression draw sounds about right.
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Sunderland – Bournemouth (H), Manchester City (H), Liverpool (A)
Is there even any point in going over this lot? Probably not, but we’ll persevere nonetheless. A few Sunderland players have been doing well recently, namely Jermain Defoe who has five goals to his name in recent weeks and Patrick Van Aanholt, who has somehow managed to score in three weeks running, and pick up an assist! This may tempt many of us to take a punt on the dirt cheap differentials and hope to gain ground, but one look ahead suggests turning our attentions elsewhere would be a wise move. Home to Bournemouth doesn’t sound too bad but with the Cherries having found a bit of form, this should be a tough game, with form suggesting Bournemouth are actually the more likely team. We covered this next game earlier so just a quick reminder. A laughable game against City. ‘Nuff said. The third, and final fixture is Liverpool at Anfield. The ‘Pool have built a hilarious habit of tripping up against weak teams at home but we cant see it happening this time. At least with Klopp in there there’s a team that will attack the bejaysus out of Sunderland and steamroll to a 1-0 victory.
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One Week Wonders
All of the above is intended to give you an overview and an aid to planning ahead but we also appreciate that some managers take things week by week and so here are a couple of games that we feel may offer up some decent fantasy points for this week alone…
Watford v Newcastle
We feel there may be points on offer for Watford here, and at both ends of the pitch. The reason being is that Newcastle haven’t travelled very well this season and have scored just a paltry 5 on the road this season. That is, suffice to say, the worst in the league and in their 10 away games they’ve failed to score in 6 of those. They don’t mind conceding a few too and only 1 team outside of the bottom 3 has conceded more away from home. It’s possibly worth noting though that they did concede 11 of those 21 in just two games against Man City and Palace, although it’s hardly a recommendation is it?! Basically, if they capitulate they do do it in grand fashion. To further hammer the nail home though they also lost away to two teams in the bottom three (Swansea and Sunderland) by a net score of 0-5.
Everton v Swansea
Martinez loves a goal and doesn’t seem to mind which end it is at! Winning comfortably and just need to see the game out to it’s logical conclusion? Not a problem, send on some strikers and take off some defenders and midfielders, that should do the job… Everton should win this one, and it should be by a few goals to nil. Only Man City have scored more home goals and Swansea have only scored 8 away from home, the joint worst effort in the league (with West Brom). So again, attackers and defenders from Everton may be very popular and wise transfers this week. Just don’t forget to factor in the Martinez effect once they are 3-0 up and cruising!
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Fixture Fun
The game-week 23 DEADLINE is 23rd Jan 11.45am GMT
There are a few teams involved in FA Cup replays this midweek –
Tuesday
West Brom
Aston Villa
Wednesday
Leicester
Spurs
Liverpool
Be sure to monitor those games for any injuries or suspensions that may arise as a result should you have players from any of the five teams.
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Naismith to Norwich! All aboard the Naismith train! Choo-choo
*Init cries*
1.2 Mill ITB with 1FT. I have enough to transfer Ozil to Sanchez when the Chilean is ready.
Any suggesstions or leave as is?
I was thinking downgrading Cech to Hennesy and upgrade Ali to Payet
I could also do Cech to Butland to get Wij in for Ali.
I feel Wij is a keeper for this season and price is good.
Comments please?
charl
I wouldn’t go transferring Cech out at all. You could play him every match between now and the season’s end and not have much worry.
I think you are a little light at the back bearing in mind that Targett is probably not yet cemented a place in the Southampton team. If he plays through the next lot of tough matches, then yeah maybe you could hold him.
My move here would be to go KDB to Silva, retaining your double City and use the extra funds to upgrade Steven Taylor to a playing defender.
Charl I agree with GP. Your back line is pretty weak mate so KDB to Silva would give you that bit extra to upgrade Steven Taylor.
Thanks Mat, i will consider that option!
Which defender is best value for money from the list below?
Daniels for me or Wollscheid
I would narrow that list down to Daniels,Williams and Evans.
Daniels – I’ve just been told he has been taking penalties recently(and long may that continue) I do know that he gets forward a lot so has attacking potential.
Williams – He’s captain so is guaranteed his place no matter this new manager. That is the downside that with this new manager we don’t know how Swansea are going to be defensively right now but Williams should be good individually.
Evans – Nice Fixtures! Pulis hasnt been able to get the same returns at the back that he had before at former clubs but maybe that will change. Evans can get forward at corners as well.
Who’s the best Bournemouth defender? And should I go with one of them over Targett??
Hi Matt
I’d say it has to be Daniels based upon seeing him playing a very attacking role in their latest match and his penalty taking. I also believe he is assured his place.
Targett could be a great little bargain if he stays in that team. Do you need to use either of them right away?
Hey GP – I didn’t realise Daniels was on penalties as well. Think he’ll definitely be the one I bring in then.
As for Targett I think it’ll be a great bargain too that’s why I’m thinking of bringing him in.
This is my team I have 2 FTs so I’ll bring in one of them for sure. So I think I might bring in Targett first so I can get any price rises from him. Then I think I’ll do Nyom out for Daniels should I do them both now?
He’s taken the penalties recently. Whether with Afobe and Iturbe in there now, he remains on them we’ll have to see. But even if not, he is still playing like a left winger in some of the games.
It’s a bit of a gamble with Targett but Saints are winning so I like it :thumbup:
Daniels has Sunderland next so I’d bring him in this week if you are planning going for him at all.
Cheers GP, I think I’ll do them both this week so I can have the price rises as well as the benefit of Daniels playing Sunderland. Would you sell Nyom or Souare? Already selling Rangel for one one them.
Matt
Each of their teams are on a poor run so it’s very difficult to call. I think I’d hold Palace and Souare just.
Yeah that’s what I’ve gone with. Cheers GP.
Matt – I’ve gone with Daniels for now, if targett continues to start then he will also be coming into my team
Ye I’ve gone with both because Rangel would have been sitting on the bench anyway so at least now I’ll get the benefit of price rises from Targett.
63 points last week which was not bad, got 0.2 itb and 2 ft to play with this week, need to sort out my keepers and defence so thinking mccarthy to howard and ivanovic to evans, would anyone suggest anything different, cheers
bunn mccarthy
bellerin ivanovic rangel davies ward
ozil alli mahrez kdb payet
aguero lukaku kane
canu
Not so keen as a few Evertonians are, with Howard just now. I’d go Lloris for McCarthy and Davies to Daniels.
I want to transfer out ivanovic and de bruyne to make the fund for aguero
I have 0.5m in the bank and 1 free transfer left
Any Suggestion wiould be appreciated
hochoki
Kane to Aguero and De Bruyne to Eriksen or Alli?
what about ighalo to aguero from gw 24 and making funds from other transfer ??
hochoki
That could work. That would leave you a brilliant front three which would be hard to better.
Evening all
So for the first time since I have been playing FPL I have got 2 FT and I don’t know what to do with them!
Got 3.6 itb and the only thing I can think of doing is either ighalo to Kane or Moreno to Baines but tbh neither really excites me.
Any thoughts or other suggestions?
I’m usually taking hits not worrying about losing FT’S!
Attaching team is always useful lol
hammers
I’m struggling as well. I’m not a Moreno fan (recent owner) so maybe would let him loose. How about West Brom for the net little run?
Yeah I find attaching the team helps a lot! Haha
Hey hammers you’ve got a great team there and I would do Ighalo to Kane personally as that’s the front three I have. Maybe Simpson or Wollscheid upgraded is another option but then you could end up with selection headaches.
Cheers guys, quite like Simpson and wols as enablers as they do seem to pick up the odd cs so it would probably be Moreno that’s a goner from the defence.
Is Baines worth it? Their fixtures are pretty good, but so are pools.
Watfords aren’t bad either if thinking about ighalo to Kane.
What looks the better combo:-
Ighalo & Baines or Kane & Moreno?
For me Liverpool’s fixtures are just slightly nicer than Evertons so I’d stick with Moreno but it’s how you feel about their fixtures overall.