Fantasy Football Fixtures Game-week 24
Let’s talk strategy! We are talking ML strategy. And by ML we mean mini-league strategy. And by mini-league we mean that one you are in with your mates at work or maybe even just your weekly football game, the one that you talk about, the one that probably means the most to you. The one you want to win, for kudos sake, if nothing else. Well, we want to help you win it. There are just 15 game-weeks left now and so we feel it is time to start concentrating on what is important to you rather than the overall position. Ideally, overall position and ML glory go hand in hand but in reality that is only if your overall rank is such that the opposition cannot touch you. Let’s cut straight to the chase here – if you are in the lead then just carry on doing what you are doing as that is most likely working and why you are doing so well. Basically, let them chase, look for differentials, and probably fail in doing so! But what if you are the Benny Hill in the given scenario?
Well, then that’s different. And difficult. But certainly not an impossible lost cause. The obvious temptation is to simply go differential but that’s not necessarily the right answer. The answer probably lies in doing some planning, preparation and research. Planning and preparation are what this article is based upon, planning ahead given the fixtures and factoring in form. The research bit we cannot teach but we can at least preach….
By research we mean looking at your opponents team/s, analysing their squads in relation to yours, looking at their chips and whether they have used them and using this information to your gain if possible. As a real life example we analysed a ML last week, one that is important to us and one that we win every year. One that we are currently sat in 6th place in. We analysed the top 5 teams and found that the majority of them had already burned their Bench Boost, Triple Captain and second wildcard. We concluded that this may be why we were sat in 6th! The interesting thing was that the bloke in 5th was concurrent with us in terms of points and general chip usage, or rather lack of.
Very interesting. And maybe crucial. In this new world of chips it’s difficult to tell how you are doing in relation to others until you analyse it closely. Our conclusion here was to actually just concentrate on that bloke in 5th as we feel that once the chips have come into play, unless anyone else has an amazing run of captains or something else, that we along with 5th place will be competing at the top come the final few weeks. We adjusted the team accordingly this week and rather than just blindly buying a differential we noticed he had Alli and fancied he may get a jump on us if we didn’t cover it. And so it proved.
This is all apropos of nothing really but we just thought we would share some strategy thoughts with you on a quiet week! Anyway, enough waffling and onto the main feature. Fixtures ahead, good and bad…
The Tracker…
We have rated each teams fixtures on a sliding scale. Remember that this is just our opinion and you may feel differently but if nothing else it gives you a nice easy visual aid as to each teams upcoming games…
We do have a comprehensive library of other useful trackers including the all singing, all dancing interactive one from Calvin Clyne and you can find them all here – Fixture Trackers
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FAVOURABLE FIXTURES
Tottenham – Norwich (A), Watford (H), Manchester City (A)
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Another week another stroll for Spurs. Sitting top of the form table again this week, with just the one defeat from the last six, Spurs extended their lead over fifth placed Manchester United to five points last weekend by putting Palace to the sword. A very productive cameo from one of last seasons budget midfielders, Nacer Chadli, bagging a goal and assist, Harry Kane’s solitary strike and a wonder goal from Dele Alli was more than enough to defeat out of form Palace and cement Spurs’ place in the top four. Pochettino will be delighted with how this season is panning out, especially as long as the forever wobbly United are the next best, position wise, that the league can offer. Looking ahead there are still plenty of excellent games for Spurs as well as some key, and more difficult encounters too. Our three featured games mix in a bit of both so lets get on to the games themselves and see what lies ahead…
Not a bad start. Despite remaining on their travels for Game-week twenty-four Kane and co will again be up against weaker opposition and we wouldn’t be at all surprised to see a similar scoreline to last weeks result against Crystal Palace. Norwich is the destination and if last week is anything to go by then the visit of Spurs, in particular young Alli, who has posted scores of 9, 12, 1, 8 and 13 from the last five away days, looks a juicy FPL prospect. Back to White Hart Lane next and tricky Watford are the visitors for what should be a good game but one we’d favour the home side in for sure. Pochettino’s men have been letting it slip at the back in recent weeks with no clean-sheets in five and they will have to remedy that against Watford or risk being run ragged by Ighalo and Deeney. If Watford are a team to be wary of, then our last featured fixture for Spurs is the ultimate team to be wary of. Back on the road for this one, it’s the daunting trip to the Etihad for a tussle with Manchester City, who are now equipped with a fully functional, fully charged Sergio Aguero. City have had lots of fun with Spurs in recent years but this time around things might not be so one sided. City took a 4-1 spanking earlier in the season and their defence still isn’t water tight so although this is one of the harder games of the season, a team in Spurs’s form, or at least the attackers, remain good prospects for this game.
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Arsenal – Southampton (h), Bournemouth (a), Leicester (h)
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Bottle? January? Blame it on whatever you like but it’s certainly consistent. A disappointing home loss to Chelsea only served to fan the flames of what is becoming a running joke now. Every year they trip themselves up at this stage. That loss sees them without a league win since GW20 and just 2 points from 9 means they have now slipped down to 3rd. Playing with 10 men for the majority against Chelsea clearly didn’t help but they need to arrest this slide before it becomes a slump.
They’ve had mixed fortunes against their upcoming opponents in the reverse fixtures earlier in the season, beating two of them and getting hammered by the other! The good news is there were 13 goals in the 3 games, 7 of them coming from the Gunners. First up is Southampton to whom they inexplicably lost 0-4 to just a few weeks ago. The Saints are on a good run now too so this will be a test for sure. Next it’s Bournemouth and you cannot have serious title aspirations if you don’t win games like these. The third is a fascinating one and could either put Arsenal right back in the mix or indeed catapult Leicester to within reach of the unthinkable.
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West Ham – Aston Villa (h), Southampton (a), Norwich (a)
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The Hammers are a bit of an FPL oddity. Despite sitting 6th in the league and having notched a very decent 36 goals you have to go all the way down to 27th place in the FPL points standings to find their top ranked player and even he (Payet) missed seven games on the bounce between GW’s 13 and 19 which says it all about the others really. Had Payet played all 23 games and maintained his points per game ratio he would be sat on 129 points and up there with the big boys so he really is worth your consideration if you haven’t already done so. Aaron Cresswell is his nearest contender on 84 points and may be worth a shout but as we say he’s actually played 6 games more.
West Ham have a good run coming up now and it begins in GW24 with a Villa side who have shown signs of life in the last few weeks but who have still managed to ship 24 goals on the road with just one win and eight defeats away from home. Next is a trip to Southampton which will be trickier but the Hammers have already put one over on them earlier on in the season with a 2-1 win. The third is again an away trip, this time to Norwich who have now lost their last 4 games in all competitions, conceding 14 in the process. It’s possibly also worth noting that after this little lot they have another potentially favourable game with a home tie against Sunderland.
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Liverpool – Leicester (A), Sunderland (H), Aston Villa (A)
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There’s just no predicting what this Liverpool team will get themselves into in any given minute, let alone entire game! The monotonous farce that was the Liverpool of a few months back is now one that is beginning to show the lunacy of it’s manager! Who else could get into a nine-goal thriller with Norwich? Not even the wide open Leicester of early season could achieve such a crazy scoreline. Anyone who had defensive cover in this game did awfully for the most part but it did however shine a bit of light on the attacking side of things, especially for Liverpool. Either side of the one-nil defeat to United there have been high scoring affairs with a 3-3 against Arsenal and of course last week’s madness. Eight goals scored then and one Roberto Firmino has bagged four of them and chipped in with an assist, as well as five bonus points. If he can remain fit then these next three games provide us with good potential for FPL points – anyone for a punt? Lets have a peak first…
A team well accustomed to high scoring affairs this season, although most of the time they have been favourable, Leicester City amazingly remain top of the pile in England after twenty-three gruelling weeks. Three clear of Manchester City the Foxes will be dreaming of the impossible but they have a game on their hands this weekend. Liverpool will, in typical Klopp fashion, come to win and if they can get the first goal, and early, then this one could turn into another feast of attacking hauls to munch on. Wonderful fixture next, one that has hammering written all over it. Most fixtures involving Sunderland tend to have hammering written all over them though! We wont go too deep here as well know the story with this lot. They’re there for the taking and anything close to top form should be more than enough to put three or four past them. Maybe more. We started with the current league leaders, and we finish with bottom placed Aston Villa, a team who for all their popularity down the years look doomed. Although unbeaten in three, Villa are not looking like pulling out of this slump any time soon and we cant give them a sniff against Liverpool, or any team who isn’t in or around the bottom three. Even some of them teams should have little worry with Villa! There we have it, three good games with plenty of attacking potential for Liverpool. Punt away!
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BE WARY OF…
Newcastle – Everton (A), West Brom (H), Chelsea (A)
Not good times for Newcastle fans. Stuck in the bottom three in both the league table and the form table, Steve McClaren must be wondering if there is anything he can do turn this season around, or whether it’s just a matter of time before the inevitable chop arrives. Just one win from six, including five defeats, says everything about where they are at the minute and the fixtures ahead do not look promising. Game-week 23 villains, Everton, are first up and despite their own frailties recently, they should be dismantling Newcastle with ease. Next we’ve got West Brom travelling to St James’ and they will be aiming for the win for sure, but would probably settle for a horrid 0-0. An away day at Stamford Bridge completes a difficult trio of games for Newcastle – Chelsea are unbeaten in their last six and although far from being back to their best, there’s already enough there to brush Newcastle aside. Easy picking for the home side.
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Sunderland – Manchester City (H), Liverpool (A), Manchester United (H)
From bad to worse! One of only two teams below Newcastle in the league, neighbouring Sunderland have it really tough in the next few weeks. Seriously, really tough! This weekend sees the visit of City for what could be an all out thrashing. Many FPL Managers will be choosing their Game-week twenty-four Captains from this game, and rightfully so. Next it’s the trip to Anfield that we covered previously so we’ll skim over that one and look at the last featured game, a home tie with Manchester United. Okay, so United aren’t fooling anyone anymore. The fear factor is gone and teams have been turning up expecting to get a result for some time now, but Sunderland are not a team that even United should be fearful of. Anything other than a win for the away side would be a major surprise.
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Norwich – Tottenham (H), Aston Villa (A), West Ham (H)
Three league defeats on the spin and eleven conceded in that time – it hasn’t been a good year so far for Norwich. Just a couple of points above the drop-zone, Alex Neil will be well aware of the now desperate need for points on the board but looking ahead, a couple of really tough games lie either side of a relegation six-pointer so the pressure is on. Spurs will have no fear this weekend and in truth could put this one to bed early if they start fast. A clash with bottom side Villa is next and this is a must win game. For both teams. We should be favouring Norwich in this one but after seeing how bad things have been for them recently, a tepid draw sounds a bit more likely. Home comforts may not be much of an advantage for our last featured fixture as West Ham are the ones to pop round for some points this time. A few more games under Dimitri Payet’s belt wont do him any harm and we fully expect him and West Ham to be dealing with Norwich handily enough.
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Watford – Chelsea (h), Spurs (a), Crystal Palace (a)
Keeping your Watford assets (Ighalo) proved to be a wise move last week as they (he) did the business against Newcastle but many will now be in a quandary as to what to do with them (him) as their fixtures stiffen considerably. As well as the tough looking run above they also face Man United and Leicester in two of the following three. It’s possibly worth considering how they have fared previously against these seemingly tougher opponents and it doesn’t make for good reading! Of the aforementioned five teams they managed to get just one point out of them which was a draw against Chelsea and even that was during one of Chelsea’s bad spells (aka the 2015/16 season). They lost the other 4 and scored just 3 goals in doing so.
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Leicester – Liverpool (h), Man City (a), Arsenal (a)
Yes we know, they’re top and seemingly back to some semblance of form but there’s no denying that these next three are challenging. Their previous results against the three opponents above show two defeats and a 0-0 draw with just two goals scored and six conceded. It may be a good time to take a brief Leicester hiatus but if you do then please also note that after these three games they then play both Norwich and West Brom at home followed by Watford away.
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Fixture Fun
The game-week 24 DEADLINE is TUESDAY 2nd Feb 18.45pm GMT
There are no games this coming weekend due to the FA CUP but we resume next Tuesday for GW24 and then GW25 follows quickly on Saturday –
The game-week 25 DEADLINE is SATURDAY 6th Feb 11.45am GMT
The League Cup semi-finals conclude this midweek with Liverpool, Stoke, Everton and Man City all in action.
The weekend itself is taken up with FA Cup fixtures and a good majority of Premier League teams will be involved so as ever be sure to check on your players availability once all of this over. Any suspensions incurred will count toward the league.
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Arsène Wenger has revealed the latest team news ahead of Saturday’s FA Cup fourth-round clash against Burnley at Emirates Stadium:
on the team news…
Mertesacker is out because of the red card, and everybody else is available, apart from Jack Wilshere and Santi Cazorla. After that it is just a question of selection and decision-making, that is the key.
on Wilshere and Cazorla…
Jack and Santi are progressing well but they are at least a few weeks away. But these two apart, it is just about competitiveness and match fitness.
on Welbeck…
Danny Welbeck is not completely ready but he is not far. He needs a game or two because he’s been out since last April. The Stoke [under-21] game is too soon because he only had one session with the team, and that is too short.
on Coquelin and Rosicky…
Francis is available to play now because he has passed two weeks of full training. Tomas is also available for selection.
I’ve been doing some looking forward and my defence of cresswell, dawson, nyom, simpson and walker looks very vulnerable in couple of gws time going forward, what changes should I be looking at once gameweek 25/26 comes around to the backline?
Williams, Dier and Daniels are good options
Hey guys
Am I set for this wknd?
Done Ozil > Sanchez
Cech
Ward / Alder / Daniels
Mahrez / Sanchez / Payet / Alli
Lukaku / Aguero (c) / Kane (vc)
Subs Gk McCarthy / Barkley / Wolly / Morgan
+1 from me, looks good!
anyone fancy Andre Ayew for the upcoming weeks?
I’d go for siggy before Ayew
Yes i transferred him, he’s midfielder who is playing as a striker, what more you can ask for?
cheers guys
yes Siggy is a great option
but Ayew somehow edges it for me
appreciate your thoughts guys
KDB out for a minimum of 6 weeks.
minimum wow! Not good at all
Noooooooo KDB come back ye ginger bastard 😯
Cheers Cooks
that looked like a 6 month injury to me
what are your thoughts on Ayew as his replacement?
Nishant, he’s in nice form so it could work well, fixtures are OK for a couple of weeks. In all honesty I find Swansea a bit too inconsistent for my liking but I guess he’s a decent option in the Firmino, Barkley, Payet price range.
thank you Sir for your elaborate explanation
guess i will play it safe and just get in Firmino for Kdb
Nishant, you should follow your gut not listen to me! Bear in mind Firmino’s blank GW27.
Ah this cruel game
I brought in Ayew for Arnautovic
KDB > Payet done.
B)
great transfer mate
https://twitter.com/FPL_Fly/status/692818956743229440
GayDeeBee injury forces me to buy back Allison, wit gw 27 in the back of my mind I’m not touching Silva, Firminhooooooo or Berkley.
Same here Raz. Now question is do I go Lukaku > Kun this week for -4 or hold til next week?
Luka goes down and Kun goes up tonight.If you can afford it then wait but if you can’t go for it.I did Luka to Kane and KDB to Sanchez as I could not afford the reductions.
Owww Shit. People crazy for selling Lukaku massively. Kun is a must though. Ack. My hit didn’t fokking pay off. Yours is a cointoss.
Raz – what hit you take?
I wudnt see any reason to lose Lukaku. AGuero is must have though
@Raz, I agree. While selling him for Kun is understandable, selling him before Newcastle and without knowing for sure if GW25 is a double for him, is really taking a major chance. I can see many of the people who are selling him this week, turning right around and buying next GW if he has a double. That would be a big shame to sell him for a Newcastle home game and possibly take a hit the next GW to bring him right back.
some stats from @arshifpl11 on Twitter via Opta
Thanks Mito, interesting stuff that. Bloody Lukaku, still not forgiven the goat for last week’s failure