Captain Picks Fantasy Football Game-week 17 – Fantasy Premier League 2015/16
I’ve been summoned out of my winter slumber to provide this captains article to you all. Some of you may remember that I would write the weekly MLS column here… but since my Portland Timbers won the title, everything has been a bit foggy (could be the scotch or actual Portland fog), and I have to wonder if the events of this last year actually happened. But they assure me that I was indeed a writer here at one point, and that I’m signed on to be a writer for a while into the future. I think we celebrated a wee bit much here, because I may have already forgotten how to blog and craft an article. But they wanted me back anyway, so let’s see how this goes.
Now before I give my picks, you may also recall that I had previously submitted an article for capos way back in GW6. My picks on that day were Riyad Mahrez, Andre Ayew, Aleksander Kolarov and Alexis Sanchez. Mahrez scored 11 points that week, but the rest were all duds. So you can stop reading this article now and choose your own captain, or you can safely assume that picking one of my selections will be a 25% shot at some great points this weekend. I say let’s gamble.
1) Riyad Mahrez and Jamie Vardy (away vs Everton)
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[/three_fourth]Right out of the gate, I’m taking the easy way out and making a double pick. So what’s the deal with Leicester? First off, Leicester is hard to spell for an American. Secondly, the two stars of the team can no longer be considered a fluke. Crazy as it sounds, this team has earned their top of the table position with that ancient footballing trick of putting the ball through the goal more times per match than their opponents. Not many teams are sticking with the old ways of winning football matches — coaches like Mourinho abhor an antiquated strategy such as this.
But Mahrez and Vardy have really taken to the ‘score more goals’ strategy. The problem for fantasy players is that everybody and their mother owns this pairing now in their squads. But captaining them isn’t a bad idea. In the last five matches, Mahrez has averaged 9.4 points per game, but he’s been saddled with a pair of 2 point efforts. Mahrez really is feast or famine then when getting points. Vardy has been more steady; he’s averaged 7.4 points per match over the same timeframe. The difference with Vardy is that he hasn’t scored below 5 points in that stretch — but neither has he scored more than 9. Take Vardy for the steady return, take Mahrez if you’re looking to make your head to head opponent cry.
Does the fact that this duo play an away fixture in Everton scare me much? I love Everton more than I love the Timbers, and even I can admit that a clean sheet doesn’t look likely after Everton have conceded to the likes of Bournemouth and Norwich in the past three weeks. Leicester will get their goals I think.
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2) Romelu Lukaku (home vs Leicester)
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[/three_fourth]The other half of the aforementioned game actually does feature one of the hottest strikers around — and with his recent form, I can’t even be accused of making him my homer pick. Lukaku has scored at least a goal in his last six matches, and even though Leicester have that habit of routinely scoring more than their opposition, they are still not completely resistant to conceding goals themselves. Of all the teams in the top ten of the Premier League table, Leicester have conceded the most goals with 22 shots finding the mark. Everton look likely to score at least one or two in this match, and the powers that be in Goodison are probably besides themselves with glee that Lukaku is building in a massive price rise for himself before the club eventually sell him and break all our hearts.
From a completely subjective view, Lukaku looks to have turned a corner in his career this year. It’s easy to forget that he’s only 22 years old, so the fact that it took him a couple of years to really find his footing in a man’s league isn’t surprising. The best part of Lukaku right now is that he’s only once missed out on Bonus Points during his scoring streak — but he’s racked up 11 extra points for his owners during that stretch regardless. It’s hard not to pick him this week.
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3) Georginio Wijnaldum (home vs Aston Villa)
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[/three_fourth]Now bear with me on this one. I can already feel the jeers coming at me for even mentioning a Newcastle player while there are so many other top-tier players on the board. But let’s face facts: everybody owns Vardy, Mahrez and Lukaku. If you’re looking for that differential captain, I think you could honestly do worse than Wijnaldum.
First off, the sad fact is that Aston Villa will probably be relegated this year. They are a massive dumpster-fire mess of a squad right now. And that is funny, because that’s what we’ve been saying about Newcastle all year. But Villa are coming into GW17 on six points, and they have a goal difference of -17. And what we’re also finding out is that Newcastle maybe weren’t quite as bad as we thought they were — they’re just much more prone to losing a match by simply pouting and throwing tantrums.
I’ve bet against Newcastle two weeks in a row now and it’s bit me each time. The truth is that after beating Liverpool and Tottenham, they have proven that there is a bit of talent in the squad that can be effective if appropriately motivated (and what motivates a Newcastle player more than the January transfer window being ever so close?!).
My pick to really build on their recent momentum and further dash Aston Villa is Wijnaldum. He’s the best bet to play all 90 minutes, and he really possesses the ability to turn in a massive performance when the conditions are right — let’s not forget that he’s had scores of 25 and 14 points already this year. I don’t think Villa have an answer for any attackers coming their way right now, and I think Wijnaldum has the pedigree to really capitalize on that this weekend.
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4) Mesut Ozil (home vs Man City)
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[/three_fourth]If you really can’t decide on a pick, Ozil should just be your default one going forward for a steady return of points and an occasional flash of brilliance. For the last ten weeks, Ozil has managed to score at least 5 points in every match. If your goal is to have a double digit captain each and every game, set your cap to Ozil and just let it ride.
This really is turning into Ozil’s year at Arsenal. Before even getting into January, he already has more assists than he has earned in either of his previous years at the club. And from a fantasy standpoint, Ozil looks set to double his previous total points mark — and he’s already accumulated as many Bonus Points (18) as he did in his best scoring season at the club.
Maybe Ozil just accepted the fact that people around him are going to drop like flies — because even casual American fans know that Arsenal players are exponentially more prone to injury than most any other club. Instead of waiting for Sanchez or Ramsey or Walcott to be fully healthy, Ozil has really taken to delivering superb passes to any player in a red kit making a run. The strategy of trusting the players in front of him — regardless of the number on their kit — has really paid off for him this year. Most superstars tend to go into the mode where they try to assume the burden of scoring everything themselves when other players are held out, but Ozil has been smart enough to be trusting of his entire squad, and his 13 assists on the year are a real testament to that.
There you have it folks. Point and laugh at me if you must, but I stand by my picks this week. And once again, thanks to the staff here at FF247 for keeping me in mind for the occasional article. Good luck all.
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Triple Captain Chip
Just a quick word on the new feature this season. It pretty much does what it says on the tin and trebles your points for your captain on whichever game-week you choose to deploy it. We shall touch on this as and when we feel the opportunity presents itself to use it effectively but this in all likelihood is one to save for when we encounter double game-weeks later on in the season.
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Thanks for reading Captain Picks Fantasy Football Game-week 17. This article was written by Guy Sanchez (FootyFantastic)
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Capos is LIVE! Welcome back Guy! For anyone who passed over on our MLS stuff then let me introduce Guy again. For me he’s been the ‘find’ of 2015 and he won’t forgive me for saying that as we weren’t the only ones to find him as he’s catapulted himself to MLS stardom really this year by featuring on the MLS Fantasy Boss podcast and various other sites as a writer but wherever you come across him he’s quality and we were delighted and honoured that he was both able and willing to do our MLS previews every week for us on here and hope he will do so next year too if he doesn’t snare some TV gig before that!
He’s also a massive FPL fan so it felt rude not to let him loose on this and we hope he will do more as the season progresses. My favourite part of reading Guy’s articles is being able to read them in his accent and tone having listened to him on the pod all season! If you haven’t had the pleasure then just do so with a guttural west coast American accent laced with sarcasm and wit. Enjoy!
Huge +1 on this.
Guy’s articles are always a brilliant read and having listened to just a part of one of the podcasts last season, I feel I majorly missed out. I’ll be all over them next time.
Well done on this captains article Guy, I really enjoyed it.
I was all about the Timbers in the final solely for you mate.
When eye root …..
(I hope that lands with you)
I love that I sound guttural. That’s incredibly accurate now that I think on it.
Thanks again for the writing space. It’s been awesome.
A good read for sure.. Cheers GUY..As I’ve committed before, mahrez all the way for me..the guys ball is on fire..
Will be sticking with Lukaku, was very unlucky didn’t get 3-4 goals last week and both are attacking teams and think will be a high scoring match 😉
Btw great article and Wijnaldum is definitely a differential player as well as captain! Congrats for first article
Guy, I think Lukaku for me. I wonder if Leighton Baines tendency to get forward will leave them deceptive to a Mahrez counter attack all day :/
One of those two for me!
Don’t worry about defence, both teams will try to outscore each other imo
Morning all.
Guy, huge thanks and welcome to the Captain club!! Loved the article and I was contemplating bringing in Wijjy as a Hazard replacement and you may have just convinced me – Villa at home is certainly a nice starting point.
Think I’m set on Lukaku as capo however Mahrez is a very strong pick also…….now, who can I jinx the most?!!
Cookie
Morning mate. I can’t call a captain. Why don’t we join forces and ruin 2/5ths of the field?
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Morning GP, ok sounds like a plan! Which one do you want?!
I’ll leave you with the one with the highest ownership rate. You are the master after all 😉
Oh yeah righto….master of what?!!
Really tempted to fall in the “Wijnaldum Trap” by bringing him in, but i think Ill resist it.
I would if I buy him B.
Me and Raz had fallen into the trap after he scored 5 goals (or 4 don’t remember :P) and he blanked next two weeks, finally gave a assist before I removed him :3 Not at all consistent
Not consistent, but explosive…at home. In for 2 home games, then he gets shifted. Everyone banging on about Ramsey, Coutinhho etc – I don’t see the point in buying them this week, especially Ramsey who will have to stay back vs City – they’re not playing Villa this week. Coutinho arguably a better bet but I’d rather have an explosive player in a form team home vs Villa.
Yeah. And it seems like his returns are not based on fixtures. He has shown consistency against the big boys, but he has a small chance of getting a big haul against bad teams. So against AV, he will either rip apart FPL or blank.
Rip it Wijjy
I think I’ll be bringing him in for Firmino — so for me the choice is easy.
He’s the earlier version of lukaku in midfields.highly unpredictable. Had him for 3 weeks post 4 goal haul. Didnt have the courage to keep him after 3 blanks. He might give a double digit after every 4-5 weeks.but, thats not the best proposition i guess..