Captain Picks Fantasy Football Game-week 17 – Fantasy Premier League 2015/16
I’ve been summoned out of my winter slumber to provide this captains article to you all. Some of you may remember that I would write the weekly MLS column here… but since my Portland Timbers won the title, everything has been a bit foggy (could be the scotch or actual Portland fog), and I have to wonder if the events of this last year actually happened. But they assure me that I was indeed a writer here at one point, and that I’m signed on to be a writer for a while into the future. I think we celebrated a wee bit much here, because I may have already forgotten how to blog and craft an article. But they wanted me back anyway, so let’s see how this goes.
Now before I give my picks, you may also recall that I had previously submitted an article for capos way back in GW6. My picks on that day were Riyad Mahrez, Andre Ayew, Aleksander Kolarov and Alexis Sanchez. Mahrez scored 11 points that week, but the rest were all duds. So you can stop reading this article now and choose your own captain, or you can safely assume that picking one of my selections will be a 25% shot at some great points this weekend. I say let’s gamble.
1) Riyad Mahrez and Jamie Vardy (away vs Everton)
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[/three_fourth]Right out of the gate, I’m taking the easy way out and making a double pick. So what’s the deal with Leicester? First off, Leicester is hard to spell for an American. Secondly, the two stars of the team can no longer be considered a fluke. Crazy as it sounds, this team has earned their top of the table position with that ancient footballing trick of putting the ball through the goal more times per match than their opponents. Not many teams are sticking with the old ways of winning football matches — coaches like Mourinho abhor an antiquated strategy such as this.
But Mahrez and Vardy have really taken to the ‘score more goals’ strategy. The problem for fantasy players is that everybody and their mother owns this pairing now in their squads. But captaining them isn’t a bad idea. In the last five matches, Mahrez has averaged 9.4 points per game, but he’s been saddled with a pair of 2 point efforts. Mahrez really is feast or famine then when getting points. Vardy has been more steady; he’s averaged 7.4 points per match over the same timeframe. The difference with Vardy is that he hasn’t scored below 5 points in that stretch — but neither has he scored more than 9. Take Vardy for the steady return, take Mahrez if you’re looking to make your head to head opponent cry.
Does the fact that this duo play an away fixture in Everton scare me much? I love Everton more than I love the Timbers, and even I can admit that a clean sheet doesn’t look likely after Everton have conceded to the likes of Bournemouth and Norwich in the past three weeks. Leicester will get their goals I think.
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2) Romelu Lukaku (home vs Leicester)
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[/three_fourth]The other half of the aforementioned game actually does feature one of the hottest strikers around — and with his recent form, I can’t even be accused of making him my homer pick. Lukaku has scored at least a goal in his last six matches, and even though Leicester have that habit of routinely scoring more than their opposition, they are still not completely resistant to conceding goals themselves. Of all the teams in the top ten of the Premier League table, Leicester have conceded the most goals with 22 shots finding the mark. Everton look likely to score at least one or two in this match, and the powers that be in Goodison are probably besides themselves with glee that Lukaku is building in a massive price rise for himself before the club eventually sell him and break all our hearts.
From a completely subjective view, Lukaku looks to have turned a corner in his career this year. It’s easy to forget that he’s only 22 years old, so the fact that it took him a couple of years to really find his footing in a man’s league isn’t surprising. The best part of Lukaku right now is that he’s only once missed out on Bonus Points during his scoring streak — but he’s racked up 11 extra points for his owners during that stretch regardless. It’s hard not to pick him this week.
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3) Georginio Wijnaldum (home vs Aston Villa)
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[/three_fourth]Now bear with me on this one. I can already feel the jeers coming at me for even mentioning a Newcastle player while there are so many other top-tier players on the board. But let’s face facts: everybody owns Vardy, Mahrez and Lukaku. If you’re looking for that differential captain, I think you could honestly do worse than Wijnaldum.
First off, the sad fact is that Aston Villa will probably be relegated this year. They are a massive dumpster-fire mess of a squad right now. And that is funny, because that’s what we’ve been saying about Newcastle all year. But Villa are coming into GW17 on six points, and they have a goal difference of -17. And what we’re also finding out is that Newcastle maybe weren’t quite as bad as we thought they were — they’re just much more prone to losing a match by simply pouting and throwing tantrums.
I’ve bet against Newcastle two weeks in a row now and it’s bit me each time. The truth is that after beating Liverpool and Tottenham, they have proven that there is a bit of talent in the squad that can be effective if appropriately motivated (and what motivates a Newcastle player more than the January transfer window being ever so close?!).
My pick to really build on their recent momentum and further dash Aston Villa is Wijnaldum. He’s the best bet to play all 90 minutes, and he really possesses the ability to turn in a massive performance when the conditions are right — let’s not forget that he’s had scores of 25 and 14 points already this year. I don’t think Villa have an answer for any attackers coming their way right now, and I think Wijnaldum has the pedigree to really capitalize on that this weekend.
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4) Mesut Ozil (home vs Man City)
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[/three_fourth]If you really can’t decide on a pick, Ozil should just be your default one going forward for a steady return of points and an occasional flash of brilliance. For the last ten weeks, Ozil has managed to score at least 5 points in every match. If your goal is to have a double digit captain each and every game, set your cap to Ozil and just let it ride.
This really is turning into Ozil’s year at Arsenal. Before even getting into January, he already has more assists than he has earned in either of his previous years at the club. And from a fantasy standpoint, Ozil looks set to double his previous total points mark — and he’s already accumulated as many Bonus Points (18) as he did in his best scoring season at the club.
Maybe Ozil just accepted the fact that people around him are going to drop like flies — because even casual American fans know that Arsenal players are exponentially more prone to injury than most any other club. Instead of waiting for Sanchez or Ramsey or Walcott to be fully healthy, Ozil has really taken to delivering superb passes to any player in a red kit making a run. The strategy of trusting the players in front of him — regardless of the number on their kit — has really paid off for him this year. Most superstars tend to go into the mode where they try to assume the burden of scoring everything themselves when other players are held out, but Ozil has been smart enough to be trusting of his entire squad, and his 13 assists on the year are a real testament to that.
There you have it folks. Point and laugh at me if you must, but I stand by my picks this week. And once again, thanks to the staff here at FF247 for keeping me in mind for the occasional article. Good luck all.
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Triple Captain Chip
Just a quick word on the new feature this season. It pretty much does what it says on the tin and trebles your points for your captain on whichever game-week you choose to deploy it. We shall touch on this as and when we feel the opportunity presents itself to use it effectively but this in all likelihood is one to save for when we encounter double game-weeks later on in the season.
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Thanks for reading Captain Picks Fantasy Football Game-week 17. This article was written by Guy Sanchez (FootyFantastic)
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Seven of my players face eachother this weekend. But hopefully EVE-LIE and ARS-MCI will score the crap out of eachother!
Just not sure on who to pick, Baines or Skrtel. Don’t think anyone of them will get a clean sheet, but Baines might get some points in another way?
Morning Allan, yeah i agree, I’d pick Baines for sure.
Allan. Skrtel for me. There may be chances of him getting a CS. Won’t bet my money against Leicester attack.
+1 but Ozil at City over Kane vs Soton? Definitely form over fixture there
I just don’t trust Kane anymore!
And anyone can score against city these days, maybe even Kane;) They aren’t the same team that started the season so great. So Ozil stays! Rather bench KDB…
Baines would have small chance of CS.
Liverpool also conceded easily.
Stats would be Baines for me.
Thanks!
Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero has given Manuel Pellgerini a boost by returning to training ahead of Monday’s crucial Premier League clash with Arsenal.
Aguero has been out of action with a heel problem since the end of November, despite initial moves by the Argentine and Pellergini to play down the severity of the injury.
The City boss revealed ahead of Saturday’s victory against Swansea City that he hoped Aguero would be fit to return to full training at the start of this week, and that has proven to be the case.
Aguero trained lightly over the weekend but worked with the ball and resumed fast-paced exercises with his team-mates on Monday and Tuesday.
With the game at the Emirates Stadium held on Monday, there is extra time for the striker to work his way back to something approaching match fitness.
But with a busy schedule coming up over Christmas, including three games in eight days between December 26 and January 2, plus League Cup and FA Cup ties before February, there may be a temptation to start Aguero on the bench.
Let’s see what Pellegrini says on Friday
Oh the comment I posted earlier didn’t work.
Well anyways, cheers for this Snookie but ill be waiting till Kun can prove he can stay fit and get some games under his belt before I bring him in.
Thinking of benching Bellerin and Nyom this weekend and playing Souare and Dawson. Only thing that is stopping me is whether I should bet on Butland keeping a CS or whether I should double up and play Hennessey. Hoping for a 0-0 in that game.
Matt, how can you think of not playing Butland with Stoke in such great form defensively?
Better to spread the coverage and then you’re covered on both fronts. Hope for a 0-0!
Ye that’s what I’m thinking as week Cook but Palace have been nicking a goal most games but still staying strong defensively. But I think I’ll spread the coverage because 0-0 just seems more likely in my mind.
Draft league injury panic for this week—need to switch out Drinkwater.
Choices:
A. King
B. Stanislas
C. Lallana
D. Zaha
Courtois
Bellerin Clyne Kolarov Walker
Pedro Ozil Arnautovic
Pelle Kone Aguero
Bench: Begovic Payet Jones Drinkwater
That’s a tough one mate but I’d go with either Stanislas or Zaha.
Bob, A or B for me
King or Stanislas for me.
Leaning towards Stanislas, but now I see that Albrighton is also available. Is he better?
Difficult Captain choice this week.
Who would you go for:
a) Kane
b) Mahrez
c) Ozil
d) Lukaku
e) Vardy
f) KDB
Hello Aiyo, Mahrez or Lukaku for me
Ditto. Personally can’t see past Lukaku.
Great article Guy.
Going for Mahrez myself.
Bring Ramsey last week to play my AOA chip.
Ramsey did very well but KDB got 1pt cameo.
Still in doubt who’s to bench.
Any suggestion would be very welcome.
Viking, I would keep that line up that you have chosen.
Thanks Cookie.
Hoping big score game between Eve – Lei.
Maybe Kola for Bell? Doubt either will keep a CS but Kola seems more likely to get an attacking return.
Been thought about this one also.
But I’m afraid of game time risk with Kola, I would transfer him out next week for Baines.