Captain Picks Fantasy Football Game-week 32 – Fantasy Premier League 2015/16
Since I don’t have to write an MLS article this week because of their extended DGW schedule, I figured I may as well write up the weekly FPL captains article. Also, I wanted to get my turn on the capo’s doorknob done quickly so that I didn’t get stuck having to write the DGW version of this piece. That’s just too much pressure. And I feel that my tendencies in picking capos ranges from the obvious to the completely unexpected – and I honestly believe that if I were to write this all out for a DGW… people may think it was a satire instead of an actual advice column.
If you remember correctly, I picked Sergio Aguero and Enner Valencia as my top two picks for GW24. Neither was a bad pick on the whole, both scored 5 points and should have had a bit more against their competition. But I completely whiffed on picking either Kane or Barkley that week. My bad. Prior to that, I wrote up an article for GW17 that had Vardy, Mahrez and Lukaku as my top picks – and they scored a combined 29 points. But that same week I had to be some kind of fantasy hipster, and I also included Wijnaldum as a potential pick against Villa. He scored 2 points that round. What can I say folks? I call ‘em like I see ‘em, and I love to bet on the underdog pick every now and again. Expect more of that here today.
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#1) Sergio Aguero (away vs. BOU) – The most obvious pick
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Aguero is consistently the most obvious pick isn’t he? And we fall for it more often than we should. Full disclosure: I add Aguero to the top of this list because if I left him off of it, the Kun apologists would be in an uproar about how much ‘potential’ he has. And they’re right. Nobody besides Aguero could have pulled off the 5 goals in 65 minutes trick he did earlier in the year. And yet, the frustrating thing about Aguero is that his capacity for hitting his potential on a weekly basis (hell, a monthly basis) is almost nil. He’s been wildly inconsistent this year, and there just isn’t any way around that fact.
Only once this year has Aguero scored more than 10 points in a road fixture (12 points vs. WHU) – yet Aguero has 8 road fixtures in which he’s scored 2 or fewer points. But we hold onto that potential don’t we? We absolutely love his potential to do the magical, and so we continue to give him the armband expecting a fireworks show. And maybe he’s due. His last three road fixtures have been totals of 5, 2 and 2 points (SUN, LIV, NOR). Surely he can’t give us another blank on the road can he? But here’s the thing, those teams I just listed aren’t that great. Maybe Liverpool have a bit of talent now, but how much better are these teams than this week’s opponent in Bournemouth?
Plain and simple, Aguero tops my list this week because he really could do more than anybody else on the board if he chooses – but we’re betting on his potential this week, not his actual stats.
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#2) Harry Kane (away vs LIV) – The “never leave a heater” pick
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Do Euro folk have that saying, ‘never leave a heater’? If you don’t, it’s a gambling term that advises against walking away from a slot machine that just can’t miss. When you think about it, it’s probably a saying that the casino made up themselves to get people to give back their winnings – but that’s an entirely different story.
I think the term applies here rather nicely though. Who is the most in-form striker available right now? It has to be Harry Kane. Over his last three matches, Kane has 5 goals and an assist. But maybe more importantly, Tottenham look good as a whole right now – so their cohesive play probably makes Kane look like a better pick than Aguero. Aguero will probably have to snatch chances on his own, Kane has the benefit of great team play to give him a boost.
Also, as of the writing of this article, Kane is owned by 46.6% of all managers. And that’s saying a lot considering the fact that Tottenham don’t have any doubles on their horizon. If that many managers own Kane, he’s at least the safe pick to keep pace with the crowd.
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#3) Alexis Sanchez (home vs Watford) – The powderkeg pick
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I’m not an Arsenal fan at all, but I’ve seen enough of them to know a couple of things. The first thing is that they’ll always be more injured than any other team in the league – and just looking at their fantasy team sheet, eight of their players have red tabs indicating serious injuries. But the second thing I’ve come to know about Arsenal is that they always have the talent to be explosive, and they can really have strong stretches when they figure things out.
Look at last year for example, they won all six matches they played in March (all competitions) with a GD of +10. And in April of last year, they won three and drew a match with a GD of +5. They always have the ability to pull off runs like this, and it will be interesting to see if they can replicate their previous Spring this time around. And if something great is going to happen for them, Alexis will have to be at the centre of that push.
Alexis hasn’t done anything really spectacular in league play since late fall, but he seems to be turning that corner now that he’s fully back from injury. In the past three weeks he’s provided a goal and 2 assists – and those scores came against better competition than Watford. Now I know what you’re saying, “Watford have a better defence than you’re letting on.” And you’d be right. Watford have been fantastically consistent this year, only once have they given up more than 2 goals in a league match. But that one time that Watford was really hurt was a 0-3 loss… to Arsenal. And in that match, Sanchez had himself a goal and 2 BP. So here’s to thinking history repeats itself.
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#4) Gylfi Sigurdsson (away vs Stoke) – The pick that makes you question my credentials
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I know what you’re thinking, of all of the players I could put here, I put down Siggy? This is kind of my thing, folks. I don’t put this pick here as a joke, either. There’s some method to the madness.
Let’s start with the obvious, Sigurdsson’s last three scores are 10, 9 and 5. And as a part of those scores, he’s done enough to earn himself 2 BP on two occasions. So we can at least agree that he’s on some kind of form, right? Now the piece that makes this all look a bit suspect is the away fixture to Stoke, and I totally get it. So let’s start out with the fact that Stoke have just lost their keeper, Butland, for the foreseeable future. This match will be the first start for whichever of their backups they choose to go with. But even with Butland in, Stoke haven’t been performing well in defence over the last ten rounds anyway.
Stoke have only kept two clean sheets over the last ten rounds – and on three occasions they gave up 3 goals. Add that wrinkle of poor form to the uncertainty of having a new keeper in the mix, and you start to feel a bit better about a pick like Siggy. And then when you consider that Shawcross and Pieters are still coming back from injury and won’t be fully match fit for a while… you have a perfect storm brewing which will leave Stoke open to an attacker in form.
Look, we all know that you’re going to pick Aguero or Kane (or maybe a Leicester player) as your capo. But if you want to shoot up the saloon and dance on the tables, Sigurdsson might be your guy.
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Thanks for reading Captain Picks Fantasy Football Game-week 32. This article was written by Guy Sanchez
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Nice one guy. Love that ideia of shooting up the saloon and dance on the tables! Not sure if siggy is the route to that, but he does have goals and assists on him as yesterday’s game against greece shows with two setpiece assists!
Him being on everything favors him to get something on any Swansea goal. Attacking wise Swansea are really poor, so everything really has to be coming from him.
Gabriel a safe bet for the DGW? I can field Sanchez if I get him. This is what I can field with 1 hit.
Darlow *
Gabriel* – Jagielka* – Olsson*
Ozil* – Sanchez* – Payet* – Lennon*
Kun* – Lukaku* – Kane (or Mahrez)
10 DGW players and I could cap Sanchez for the DGW!
Hey Raz when are you using your WC ?
GW36. 😉
That’s decent enough Raz but if you are not going to bb on 34 you need to be ready to lose some ground which you may or may not recover on 37. Even if you TC sanchez on 34 imo.
Personally, I’m not sold on wc now, but surely am looking at bb on 34 so I can use non doublers such as Alli, Mahrez and Kane to balance the fact that I wouldn’t have 15 doublers as many would.
No pool ? Would rather have Mahrez than Lennon and not sure on that defence but quite like Ozil AND Sanchez,which I had a go at doing but couldn’t afford if I kept Kane.
I see both Elliot (new injury) and Cech (still injured) are in my team…
GREAT….
Any news on either?
Elliot is out for the season PP. The latest on Cech is that Wenger was “hopeful” he can play this weekend – will find out more Thursday or Friday at the presser.
Cookie who will replace Elliot ? some talk it might not be Darlow
Silvers, the chat I’ve heard is that Darlow is likely to start at the weekend. That’s the local press. Where have you heard different?
Have they got someone out on loan reports do suggest Darlow will replace him though
They have 2 other keepers in their squad, Darlow and Woodman, which means under FA rules they are not allowed to loan in an emergency keeper.
It will be one of those two that starts.
Cookie,
Who was on the bench when Elliot started?
Darlow, PP
Cookie,
Surely Darlow will start then… #FPLLogic
I would assume so, yes PP
Cheers Cookie
Afternoon all looking to play wc next week.
Unsure who to transfer in ?
WC or no WC, Payet missing stands out.
Shane, for this week I think that Alli -> Payet or Stanislas -> Willian.
Any one thought TC Luk GW 33 if using WC 36
It could go boom and it could blow up in your face. I don’t trust Everton.
Has crossed my mind yes silvers. That one, arsenal’s dgw34 and westham’s dgw37 seem the best shouts at a triple capo at the moment.
at the moment i’m tempted with this move too.. it’s risky as hell but i can see the potential in it 😉
on the other hand you cannot use the WC in the same GW…
Silvers, I see some danger in this. I think that BB in 34 is better as there are more teams with something to play for. Come 37 there may not be anything for Chelsea, WHU, ManU & Liverpool to play for. I could see a lot of DGW players being rested in one match that week. In my opinion you’re better off BBing in 34 and then picking a TC in 37 from a DGW team that still has something to play for.
Hear what your saying Pancho and I agree you still thinking off WC GW 32 ?
Hey guys,
I’m planning on WC 33 and BB 34.
For this week I could do with some advice though. I’ve 1 FT and 0.7m in the bank.
I’m thinking of possible bringing in Ivanovic for the easy fixture???
Honey,
Ivanovic sounds like a decent enough punt my friend.
Cheers Cookie!