Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 1
No pressure! Here I am with the first of the ‘traditional’ articles run at FF247, at a time where there is still great upheaval from the ‘C’ word – by ‘C’ word, I, of course, mean Covid-19 and not the politician who first comes to your mind! However, at least we have the benefit of the return to three substitutions, along with a more normal-looking – albeit delayed – calendar. That is great news to me anyway, as that crazy period when the league restarted, where I was also on holiday and had less FPL focus, saw my rank plummet to the worst finish in seven years.
So, looking ahead – as we particularly must do at the moment – I trust you are all ready for the rollercoaster that will no doubt be the season?! Not that there has been much of a wait! There may still be no fans in the grounds, however it will be great to be keeping an eye on the price rises, joining in the chat on the forums here and pondering for hours over who stays on your substitutes bench, who is captaining who and which teams have the finest fixtures, on paper at least, to try and make the most of. That leads me on nicely to present you the good, bad and ugly – along with a duo of teams you ought to keep on the radar.
FPL FIXTURE TRACKER
But first up that all important Fixture Tracker itself…
The Good
Arsenal – Fulham (A), West Ham (H), Liverpool (A)
As the first match of the season will be the Gunners versus the Cottagers, as the West London side makes its return to the Premier League after a one-year absence, it makes sense to mention Arsenal first. Before we even focus on their fixtures, you are reminded that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been on fire in the preseason, as his two goals in the 3-2 defeat to Aston Villa were on the back of 70 scored in his first 109 appearances for the North Londoners. In addition, this will be the first full season Arteta has been at the helm. The Spaniard will be eager to properly make his mark and the new signings of Gabriel and Willian, along with seven others, will no doubt help that vision to finish higher than eighth as the Community Shield and FA Cup wins have been set as a foundation stone.
Scott Parker’s side, meanwhile, have only made three signings ahead of the season this time, perhaps learning from the mistake of signing half the market and then wondering why the new personnel didn’t gel when they were last promoted. Aston Villa almost had the same conclusion after doing the exact same thing. Ahead of this weekend’s game, the lads in white have lost 39 of their 57 meetings with Arsenal, of which the last five have been straight defeats – conceding 15 in that time. The previous factors mentioned make you think that Saturday could be the sixth consecutive loss, with the average of three goals conceded also kept intact. Not quite the open-armed welcome to the Premier League Fulham would like. Not that open-armed welcomes are appropriate at the moment, I suppose.
Back to the Emirates, Arteta and his team will go for a fixture against West Ham, a team that appears to be in a bit of chaos if the Mark Noble tweet is anything to go by. Looking back over the last 10 games across all competitions, it’s been two draws and one win for the Hammers as the Gunners have come away victorious in seven, netting 23 over the entire period. Liverpool will then be a tough challenge for Arsenal and so that could be a chance to decide if the Gunners assets are bringing in the points or may need to make way for someone else from the likes of Man United or Man City.
Spurs – Everton (H), Southampton (A), Newcastle (H)
Whilst I have a bit of a soft spot for this side, they’ve been off the radar for me over the various drafts of my FPL team. That was until I started to research in preparation for this article – whilst I was on holiday in Dorset – and, suffice to say, the latest version now has Son sat in midfield!
Before the season has begun, the North London side has had a mixed time of it recently, having lost 2-1 to Watford but also having beaten Ipswich, Reading and Birmingham City 3-0, 4-1 and 1-0 respectively. Their transfers have, as usual, been few and far between, as a load of players have been released and the trio of Matt Doherty, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Joe Hart have been signed.
So, looking to the fixtures and it’s Everton who first visit the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this campaign, as the Toffees have also seen a whole load of players leave the club with just one signing so far made. As good as Carlo Ancelotti is as a manager, he will need fresh talent to at least offer competition for places, so their current situation isn’t particularly great. The Merseysiders don’t exactly have the best record when it comes to away days at Spurs either, as you have to look back to 30th November 2008 for the last time they travelled back up north with a win from there.
Southampton look to be a more formidable side nowadays, as they finished the last campaign 11th on the back of four wins and three draws. Spurs’ record against them has also been quite mixed recently, however Newcastle’s visit to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium could bring in the goals as Mourinho’s men will go into the match having scored 19 in the last 10 times they have faced the Magpies.
Chelsea – Brighton (A), Liverpool (H), West Brom (A)
Frank Lampard has been the most high-profile when it has come to signings before the new season has started, with Ben Chilwell, Thiago Silva, Malang Sarr, Hakim Ziyech, Kai Havertz and Timo Werner joining the ranks, as Pedro and Willian have been the most well-known departures. It’s very much the feast after the famine of their transfer ban, you could say, while Christian Pulisic will also available once he has recovered from that hamstring injury. Indeed, Frank’s team will need a turnaround from the losses in the FA Cup final and Champions League against Arsenal and Bayern Munich respectively, along with a 1-1 draw at Brighton.
Talking of the Seagulls, that is the very team the Blues will be facing in their first game of the new campaign. The south coast side has itself brought in a fair few players, and Adam Lallana is arguably the most high profile. As for their record against the West Londoners, it’s not exactly a long one with just 14 to look through. Of the six of those that have been this century, the 1-1 tie on 1st January is the only game that hasn’t been a loss, as 13 goals have been scored by Chelsea in the other five.
Liverpool’s visit back at Stamford Bridge, meanwhile, will be a big tussle – especially as it will be so early in the season and there will be the new players to bed in. The previous round will have no doubt seen Leeds try to make a good account of themselves at Anfield in their first Premier League game in 16 years, however the Reds versus the Blues will, on paper, be Salah and co’s first real challenge. It’ll be interesting to see how Klopp and Lampard greet each other after their bit of bickering in the last encounter! After that, a trip to the Hawthorns beckons, as part of West Brom’s baptism of fire into the Premier League. The Baggies will no doubt try to prevent a fifth straight defeat to Chelsea, with nine goals conceded across those four previous losses.
The Bad
Brighton – Chelsea (H), Newcastle (A), Man United (H)
Having mentioned their fixture against Frank Lampard’s side, it’s no doubt unsurprising that Brighton are within the ‘bad’ section. That’s further compounded with trips to Newcastle and then a return to the Amex to face Man United who could well be as lethal as they were at the end of last season – Messrs Martial, Fernandes and Rashford, among others, are no doubt ready to hit the ground running from Gameweek 2.
Leeds – Liverpool (A), Fulham (H), Sheffield United (A)
Sport can be so cruel. Sixteen years Leeds have been out of the Premier League and their return is marked by a trip to Anfield in what is, arguably, one of the most difficult games a team could face. They have, however, been busy in the transfer market with new signings including Helder Costa, Rodrigo and Robin Koch no doubt keen to make their imprint, but Gameweek 1 may be something to write off. Fulham, having played Arsenal, may want to then kick start their own campaign in Gameweek 2 in what may just be a close encounter at Elland Road, whilst a trip to Sheffield United – if they are anything like they were before lockdown – could also be tricky.
The next team Leeds will face after they have travelled to Bramall Lane? Man City. Ouch.
West Ham – Newcastle (H), Arsenal (A), Wolves (H)
As previously mentioned, it seems the Grady Diang transfer to West Brom – who may not be a million miles from West Ham in the table, come the end of the season – has not been popular with the Hammers players, Mark Noble in particular. Whether this is a one off or, more likely, the tip of the iceberg when it comes to how happy the squad is, it could be interesting to say the least on how David Moyes’ side begins the season.
Newcastle’s visit in the curtain opener could be the ‘easiest’, as they also haven’t been prolific in the transfer market yet at least, however it certainly doesn’t get easier as Arsenal and Wolves are then waiting in the wings.
The Ugly
West Brom – Leicester (H), Everton (A), Chelsea (H)
Whilst Leeds and Fulham have tough first games to get past, the last of the trio of promoted teams, West Brom, have got a mountain to climb. First up will be a Leicester side who will be looking at Jamie Vardy to kick off the season in style and add to the five wins over the Baggies in as many years, whilst a trip to Goodison Park and then a return to the Hawthorns to face Chelsea will be ties that could well and truly test their resolve.
Worth the Wait
Not playing in Gameweek 1 has been very annoying for the likes of managers who want Man City and Man United assets in their squad! It’s up to you if you want to have the players sat on your bench or if you have a plan to then bring them in later on, as it could be as soon as Gameweek 2 for Anthony Martial and co and Gameweek 3 for the likes of Kevin de Bruyne and Raheem Sterling. No doubt more will be covered when Jamesimmo sits in the fixtures hot seat next week.
Man United – BLANK, Crystal Palace (H), Brighton (A), Spurs (H)
Once the blank is out the way, it’s then Crystal Palace – a side the Red Devils have only lost against on one occasion out of the last 15 meetings. You’ll have also read that Brighton are not on the right side of the statistics in the game against Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men, whilst Spurs’ visit to Old Trafford could be quite the indicator of how the two sides have progressed. Head to head, too, the last five encounters in Manchester between the two teams have seen four wins and one loss for the home side.
Man City – BLANK, Wolves (A), Leicester (H), Leeds (A)
As previously mentioned, the Wolves game could actually be one you wouldn’t rush to bring in any Cityzens as their record against Nuno Espírito Santo’s men in recent times has been rather eye opening, with two defeats in the last duo of Premier League games, going down 2-0 and then 3-2. Leicester and, in particular, Leeds in Gameweeks 3 and 4 could, however, see Pep’s men show their teeth. We may even have a better idea of who will be in their starting XI as well!
Thanks for reading Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 1. This article was written by Swirly
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My current draft and the one I’ve been on for a few days. I like this the most but it would really make getting Bruno awkward. Some small tweaks may be needed with Vinagre and trying to get a good 4.5 mid
Biggest question I keep ask in myself is Dot or Davies/Dier? That extra mil can do a lot for this team and gives me lots of options.
Reed can be upgraded to a 5.5, Jimi can be upgraded to Martial, Barnes can become Greenwood (if he is playing), Mitro can become Wilson (as I think he’ll be priced 6.5)
Any thoughts?
It’ll be interesting to see if we have the Doherty we knew at Wolves now he is at Spurs, whether he’ll be able to play like he has and get among the assists and goals. For what it’s worth, he is the second-most owned defender at the mo and so you do have the benefit of ownership in having him.
Team looks nice, though. I’m not sure in Barnes and I’d be more tempted by ASM over Armstrong, after Newcastle’s signings today, however the rest of your team looks really even. Oh and are you going to keep Ferguson?
Yeah that’s kind of what I’m thinking, I just don’t see Dot getting forward as much under Jose but I have seen the heat maps for Aurier and he seemed to get forward too! I could keep him for the first little bit and then downgrade if he isn’t getting forward. It would just mean possibly screwing myself out of Martial if a price rise happened.
Oh yeah I’m pretty sure I’ll be swapping Jimi and Armstrong to Ings and ASM. With Jimi losing pretty much every wing back Wolves have I’m not sure what supply from the wings will be like for him. Obviously he’ll still have Neves and Moutinho but Ings could be safer until we see how Wolves settle. Plus like you say Newcastle have made some nice signings today!
I think I will keep Ferguson, Palace fans seem to think he will be the number one RB when fit so I’m just hoping they are right. I have a bit of backup there as I can swap Vjnagre to another 4.5 and Reed might become Stephens for safety so I’m not too worried about Ferguson.
Never thought I’d see people advocating a Newcastle player in light of our transfer activity.. especially not in the Ashley era.. but yeah.. I concur!! :good:
I like it. I must admit I’m not sold on Barnes and prefer ASM to Armstrong but he’s not a bad pick
Yeah I keep coming back to Barnes as I don’t see anyone else at the price that interests but I’m not sure either
Kind of a placeholder for Greenwood though when you think about it and that’s no bad thing. Or VDB if he’s attacking
Yeah that’s what I’m thinking when I’m on about downgrading Dot as Greenwood can come in and if VDB is as good as hyped in the Prem its a easy swap, plus he can be downgraded to a 5.5 or 6 as there are a few interesting options in that price range
It’s a nice side. I misread ‘Reed’ as ‘Bread’.
I’ve flirted with Barnes but in the end went big in defence instead. I have Justin though, just in case Leicester get off to a flyer.
Reed might not stay now that they also signed Lemina!
Justin is waiting in the wings in case Vinagre swans off to Porto!
I like this a lot, I’m envious that people can have no ‘no bruno’ Jitters and put out a great side, feel I’m hamstring by the FOMO!!
As posted earlier, just think about Bruno S.
It helps, believe me. Your anxieties will disappear.
Oh I’m going back and forth the last few days! I’m worried United will get loads of penalties like last year but I think I’m going to try go for balance this year and if it doesn’t work out Salah and Auba are easy ways out plus downgrading a forward is an option too
Yeah this and hope Martial is decent for less
There seems a lot of love for Werner and Fernandes, but wouldn’t Havertz and Martial with an extra 2.5m to spend elsewhere be the better option? Anyhow I think they are all decent value and I’m planning on having all 4 early on.
I’m moving towards Werner and Martial! Mainly due to the fact the team looks better with 2 premiums in fwd and mid
Yeah potentially I agree. I’ll want three players from United and Chelsea though I’d expect and not having Bruno allows for that. Can always get Bruno instead of like Salah or Auba later
Or Ziyech and Martial if funds can’t stretch far enough.
I’m on Greenwood and Werner at the moment. The plan’s to move Ings to Martial for GW2 (original idea, eh?!)
I want all four to be frank, and I think I’ll go for it (not from GW1 though)…
Cracking article Swirly to kick us off for the GW1 countdown. Can’t really argue with your selections though you won’t get me feeling sorry for Leeds! Saying that, accounts suggest they may be tighter than some are giving them credit for.
Great writing my friend, thank you. And hope you enjoyed Dorset!
Hey Swirls. Cookster’s post has reminded me I forgot to thank you for the cracking article. It was a great read mate and marks the “beginning of the end” as the era of unlimited transfers and endless tinkering starts drawing to a close. We’re approaching decision time now, peeps, but thankfully the familiar articles will be there to help us all 🙂
Thanks, guys, much appreciated! Yeah, Cookie, Dorset was fantastic, thanks – first time I’ve been down there and loved it. Thought of you as we headed through Bath!
You should have dropped in Swirls, you probably went very close by.
hey all,
leaving t late this year to go full on with my team tinkering so just a quick question to start with:-
kane & JWP or Ings & Ali?
cheers
The Kane option for me, hammers
+1 Kane good fixtures
Ings and Alli
Hey Swirly. Awesome article mate. Nice “regular” start to this season. Cheers
To Chelsea fans- Is Alonso still an option? If not him then what do we generally think of Chelsea def this season post Thiago signing? Azpi?
Maybe for GW1 but not beyond as Chilwell is in and I expect Alonso to be sold.
Cheets Initt. To the bin then. Chilwell should be a decent option i think. You set with your squad?
Nope. Got Auba so far, that’s as far as I’ve got! Unfortunately this has clashed with the kids footy starting again so pretty much all my free time has been taken up with that. Even had a game tonight, on a Monday. Nothing now until Saturday but even that needs prepping for. I dare say I’ll pick a team this week at some point as I know Friday night will be taken up with the latter again. When you’ve got a sense of responsibility to 12 kids and about 28 parents / guardians it’s no contest as to where your priority lies.
Tell me about it.
Yeah. That’s totally understandable. Honestly, you’re lucky to have some real action. Don’t have that “luxury” this side.
I am also not sure with my team. Auba and Salah being the only confirmed ones yet. Even dwindling between Salah and Mane sometimes. Anyways, I think, things must be clearer post GW1.
Are you watching Cricket nowadays? ODI starts from 11th.
Yeah, got an eye on that. Ashes next year to defend and then obviously the T20 WC, hopefully.