Fantasy Football Fixtures Gameweek 1
Welcome back to the first of our regular season-long articles. The aim of this one every week is to present to you the teams that we feel have both the best and worst run of fixtures ahead of them so that you can plan your team, squad and transfers accordingly. Before we continue it is worth noting that since the FPL was relaunched a few weeks back we have had all manor of articles, almost daily, addressing many key issues ahead of the season so it is worth checking back over them all, although we make no apologies if it is overwhelming as the amount of info, stats, charts and advice may be enough to make the average fantasy manager burst at the seams…
It seems like only yesterday that we bid you all farewell and a happy fantasy free summer back in GW38 but alas it is upon us already and this Saturday sees the start of the circus again. Truth is we haven’t stopped all summer as many of you will know having taken part in the World Cup shenanigans and we all had some great fun along the way, so a massive thanks to all those who participated in that. For those that didn’t and decided to take a break, then all the more respect to you for your willpower in doing so, but also welcome back regardless and it’s great to see so many familiar faces now coming out of the summer woodwork ahead of the serious stuff again.
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Before we embark on the Fixtures GW1 article it is worth pointing you in the direction of two relevant articles that we have featured already. Both were massive hits both on here and on twitter and go hand in hand in with this one –
Mito21 produced a seriously good article that talked us through, at great length, the best rotation pairs for the season ahead…
Rotation Analysis Home and Away and Favourable fixtures
Calvin Clyne provided us with an interactive fixture tracker of epic proportions that was a massive hit on both here and social media alike. Take the time to save your own copy and use it as you wish as we expect from the reaction it got he may be copyrighting it as we speak!
Fixture Tracker – Fantasy Premier League 2014-15
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And so onto the teams and fixture themselves. Let’s begin with a very straightforward fixture tracker…
We have colour coded the fixtures in a simple fashion to allow you to judge your transfer and team selection plans accordingly:
[highlight_green]Green[/highlight_green] – We deem these to be winnable fixtures for the given team and should, in theory at least (!), harvest good fantasy points for you in the opening games. Aim to have a good nucleus of these players in your initial squad.
[highlight_yellow]Yellow[/highlight_yellow] – These are the fixtures that could go either way and do not stand out as being either particularly good or poor. If you have a player from a team in this category then do not be afraid to play them but take a considered view that it may not be an explosive week for them.
[highlight_red]Red[/highlight_red]- These are the teams that we consider to have a difficult fixture and as such may be best avoided from a fantasy perspective. Aim to minimise any players that have a run of reds in the opening games.
It’s always difficult to predict who will start well and who won’t in a new season but based on what we know – last season’s performance, summer signings, pre-season form and expectations here is our take on who to possibly jump on and who to give a wide berth to for the opening fixtures…
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FAVOURABLE
Chelsea Burnley (a), Leicester (h), Everton (a), Swansea (h), Man City (a),Aston Villa (h)
Any serious title contender that starts the campaign against two newly promoted teams has to be deemed to have a good chance of getting off the mark well and given Chelsea’s pedigree, allied to some fantastic summer business with the purchase’s of Costa, Fabregras and Luis Filipe we feel that some Chelsea investment will be near vital given their opening fixtures. They face a couple of toughies in GW’s 3 and 5 with trips to Everton and City but the other four are definitely winnable as they face Burnley, Leicester, Swansea and Villa. We suggest you be wary of their defence but only in so much as there are five players vying for four positions and Jose has the luxury that at least three of those can play in different positions across the back. The odd injury or two to John Terry in the next few days, whilst unfortunate, wouldn’t go amiss. In more ways than one.
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Manchester United Swansea (h),Sunderland (a),Burnley (a), QPR (h), Leicester (a),West Ham (h)
Manchester United couldn’t really have asked for a kinder opening schedule to the season. They begin with Swansea at home and then travel to Sunderland and that’s about as tough as it gets in the first six as they then face all three newly promoted sides back to back and end the sequence with a home game against West Ham. If LVG had hand picked this start to the campaign he couldn’t have done it any better himself. Whether clean-sheets are part of the equation we will have to wait and see but certainly the likes of Mata and Rooney should flourish here and maybe Ashley Young at a mere £5.5m and his new wing-back role may combine to be the early steal you need.
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Southampton Liverpool (a), WBA (h), West Ham (a), Newcastle (h), Swansea (a), QPR (a)
LVG isn’t the only new Dutch manager to be welcomed to the Premier League this season as fellow countryman Ronald Koeman has taken the reigns at Saints. He’s had to rebuild the squad from the summer wreckage and he seems to be doing a very tidy job of it with the acquisition of the likes of Tadic and Pelle. His new team begin with a very apt trip to Anfield to face the Southampton class of 2013 who have all swapped life of the glorious South coast for a slum on the River Mersey. Don’t worry about them though, they’ll all survive on that extra £50k a week. Whilst that looks difficult on paper don’t forget that Liverpool’s laser like attack is built on a bed of quick sand so don’t be afraid to throw in any Saints attacking players you may have picked up. After that their schedule is actually one of the best around. In fact they don’t actually run into a top side and a game that isn’t winnable all the way through until GW13. At which point they get Man City, Arsenal and Man Utd in a row but hey let’s worry about that later.
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Stoke Aston Villa (h), Hull (a), Man City (a), Leicester (h), QPR (a), Newcastle (h)
We honestly never thought Stoke would feature in one of these but they are and for good reason. Not only have they had a decent pre-season they have managed to capture one of Barcelona’s, once upon a time, ‘bright young thing’s’ in Bojan. Let’s not forget that this is a player who ousted Thierry Henry in his prime from the line-up at one of the biggest clubs in the world at one point. He’s hit the ground running as well with three goals in pre-season and started tongues wagging with his price tag. He also rotates exceptionally well with Sigurdsson should you wish to give yourself an option of switching between 3-4-3 and 3-5-2. Bojan aside Stoke’s fixtures see them face Man City in GW3 which is actually their only encounter with a ‘Top 4’ side until GW13. If you can figure out which defenders are nailed on for them then you may have a nice cheap route into a traditionally miserly defence with great fixtures.
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UNFAVOURABLE
Aston Villa Stoke (a), Newcastle (h), Hull (h), Liverpool (a), Arsenal (h), Chelsea (a)
Villa have a new manager too in Roy Keane. Well ok, he’s not actually the manager yet, he’s ‘assisting’ the current manager Paul Lambert. Probably to the exit door. It all looks rosy now but trust us this is a story in the making and smacks of Roy Evans / Gerard Houllier all over. Fixtures wise, to be fair Villa’s first three games aren’t all that bad facing Stoke, Newcastle and Hull and it would be hard to pick a winner from all of those but it is GW’s 4 to 6 that worry us. Liverpool, Arsenal and Chelsea on the bounce points to zero points in that period and probably no clean sheets. Maybe grab a Villa defender for the first three if you must, but be prepared to transfer or bench them for that horrendous run ahead.
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Leicester Everton (h), Chelsea (a), Arsenal (h), Stoke (a), Man Utd (h), Crystal Palace (a)
New boys Leicester come up as the champions from the Championship and so whilst they certainly know how to win they may find the top division a completely different kettle of fish. Despite being champions they are in fact many bookies favourites to go straight back down and their opening schedule will do nothing to help them in that respect. Everton, Chelsea, Arsenal and Man Utd in the first six will probably see them languishing at the foot of the table come the end of August we feel. Tread with caution here.
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Everton Leicester (a), Arsenal (h), Chelsea (h), WBA (a), Crystal Palace (h),Liverpool (a)
This is a right mixed bag for the Toffees and may explain tentative investment in them thus far. They begin with a newly promoted side in Leicester which on paper should be their’s for the taking but it’s away and these new teams can put up a fight especially in their first PL game and at home to boot. They follow that with two real toughies with Arsenal at home then a trip to Chelsea. It eases for two in theory with West Brom away and Palace at home before they run into Liverpool away. They got battered in that one last season. We suggest if you fancy an Everton player then maybe be prepared to rotate them given the schedule.
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Hey guys, would appreciate a RMT for my latest draft!
DDG Foster
Felipe Debuchy Rio Duff Coloccini
Mata Ramsey Sterling Eriksen
Costa Rooney Bojan
0 itb.
Downgrade DDG to Krul. He and Foster rotate well. Get Long or Austin in for Bojan
keen to have utd and arsenal defense in there, going to keep ddg and downgrade krul to a 4.0. feel like taking a punt on bojan, succumbed to all the pre season hype around him :p
No problems there. Who’s your 5th mid?
ahh forgot to add that in, its cork.
if you have DDG in net you may as well free up 0.5 by changing Foster to a 4m keeper. You could then upgrade Coloccini for Ward or upgrade Sterling to Fabregas/Silva.
thats true, thanks for that! leaning towards upgrading a defender though – dont see fabregas/silva as an upgrade to sterling!
This is my team after draft number 2742…
Wasn’t sure whether to go with Hazard or Fabregas but I went with Hazard in the end for the first few GWs at least to see where/how well they are playing. If Fabregas plays in no.10 role then I can easily change Hazard for him.
Any suggestions/advice/criticism welcome!
Nice team.
Downgrade Cahill to Filipe, upgrade Bojan to Austin/Long.
Dan! Dan! DAAAANNNN!
Gotta love Alan Partridge.
Hi Dan,
Nice team, but i’d suggest a few tweaks…
Don’t go with both Newcastle GKs. They had one of the worst defences last season and you’ll lose out on a lot of clean sheets sticking with only them.
I’m not a fan of having to play Bojan every week. Best to have him to rotate with Siggy for the easy fixtures in my opinion. Although we could really do with some well thought out reasoned research to support this….
Anyway, changes i suggest are as follows:
Hazard to Fab. (Hazard hasn’t had much of a pre season so might not play 90 from the start)
Use the 1.0m to switch Elliot to Pants/Mannone and El Ahmadi to Davis of Southampton.
Sorted.
Thanks thats really helpful
And yes Alan Partridge>
Ok,
here is my team, well for now, I keep tinkering.
Krul (Mannone)
Fillipe Luis, Shaw, Lovern, Cissokho, (Coloccini)
Mata, Ramsey, Fabregas, (Sigurdsson)
Diego Costa, Rooney, Nugent
What are peoples take on Shaw and Rooney? Don’t know whether to drop them and use the money to strengthen somewhere else?
IS mannone guaranteed to start over pantillimon?
No
Can someone please make a well researched argument for Bosan being nailed on?
Yep I will.
A guaranteed starter for a club with a good set of opening fixtures. Rotates well with a popular choice with Siggy, meaning you don’t have to play him in the tougher games.
Preseason form has been good, not that is necessarily a true guide but its better than not scoring and not settling in to a new club.
Is he going to score 20 goals this season? No probably not.
But what he does do is allow the 4th midfielder to be a Mata or Sterling or Silva etc rather than a Davis, bearing in mind that many are going with Rooney and Costa.
Is it ideal ? No of course not, but in budgetary terms he can do a job for a few weeks.
You try and get Rooney, Sturridge and Costa in and see what it does to the squad.
I’ll add what I know about his career, and why this whole “he’s a flop” stuff is a load of bollocks.
He was at Barcelona and had a lot of faith in him from Rijkaard, he had a great debut season at about the age of 17, scored 10 goals, and was overall impressive. He performed well in big games too, not just as a late sub. Pep Guardiola took over from Rijkaard after that season, Bojan’s relationship with Pep was a bad one, they didn’t get on, and Pep was bitter that Bojan refused to join the B team. Because of this Pep limited his playing time, Bojan spoke to journalists about how it was affecting his game, and at some point I’m sure he even mentioned openly to being depressed. The fact he’s addressed his issues with his development and personal problems gives me the impression he knows he needed a move to the likes of Stoke to get game time, and finally get his head straight again. At 23 he isn’t past it, and Thierry Henry saying “I don’t know why I’m getting played ahead of him, he’s a much better player” speaks volumes. At £5.5 he could be a steal, as Cookie mentioned he rotates well with a few others teams (check the fixture article) and allows for a lot to be spent on the midfield. There aren’t any other reasonable strikers in the £5-7.5m range I’d choose over Bojan anyway, so he’s worth the risk.
I’m by no means discounting him as a reasonable selection. I just think there needs to be a balanced view for the newer Managers on this site to refer to.
Sure thing, you asked for a positive view on him as opposed to the negative one posted further up, this was my interpretation of his career I have no idea he’ll be a nailed on starter, however, under Mark Hughes Stoke have certainly moved away from their hoof it to the big guy up top. He’s there for a reason, and it isn’t to win headers.
Is he a guaranteed starter though Cookie? As I just posted above, Diouf is obviously the preferred main striker. With Bojan playing wide right in their final PS game. With Crouch and Odemthingy around the place I’d be very concerned.
Yes, absolutely, if he was nailed on, then he is a great shout. Try to work out a surgery strategy if he’s not though!
Correct me if I’m wrong but he’s started all the preseason games? Can’t go on much more than that. I get the Fletcher argument also.
The point is. Is it a viable strategy to start with? Yes I think it could be worth a shot? Does it present issues trading out of it if it doesn’t work? Yes, will take some surgery. But to be honest, how many of us get it right from GW1 anyway? Hence the no of early wildcards in the previous two seasons….and also why so many are looking at 3/4/5 weeks of fixtures then planning on wildcarding.
Great debate, I’ll post mine below for everyone to criticise (constructively of course) 😉
Good debate guys and I was in no way trying to right him off completely, i stated that Bojan has something to prove and this could be his time to do it. I was thinking about putting him in my team so did some research and thought i’d share what i found. I just thought it was a bit of a red flag what happened last year at Ajax.
Bojan Krkic
silva ramsey or sterling? Taarabt or mutch?
ok new team!
DDG Gilks
Felipe Debuchy Rio Duff Coloccini
Mata Ramsey Sterling Tadic Cork
Costa Rooney Bojan
1mil ITB.
Replaced Eriksen with Tadic based on fixtures, where would you i be best off spending the last 1M? keen to keep bojan in there so either upgrade cork or defense?
Would appreciate any suggestions!