Fantasy Football Fixtures Gameweek 6 – Fantasy Premier League 2014
Your weekly ‘Fixtures’ article is having an overhaul! Nothing drastic but we feel that it may be easier and more pertinent to concentrate on the next three fixtures of each team rather than spread it too thinly over six fixtures. Time moves so quickly in fantasy terms and a hot property now may be a dead duck come five weeks time so we are going to keep it tighter, which may hopefully be of more use to you. We will still display the next six fixtures for each team in the fixture tracker graphic but in our analysis we will look at the next three as a priority for the time being .
Before we examine the fixtures ahead, here is a reminder of a couple of essential Fantasy Football tools that you may wish to refer back to.
Mito produced some outstanding and detailed analysis on the best rotation pairs for the season which can be found here –
Rotation Analysis Home and Away and Favourable fixtures
Calvin Clyne devised an ingenious interactive fixture tracker which can be found here –
Fixture Tracker – Fantasy Premier League 2014-15
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And so onto the teams and fixture themselves. Let’s begin with a very straightforward fixture tracker…
We have colour coded the fixtures in a simple fashion to allow you to judge your transfer and team selection plans accordingly:
[highlight_green]Green[/highlight_green] – We deem these to be winnable fixtures for the given team and should, in theory at least (!), harvest good fantasy points for you in the opening games. Aim to have a good nucleus of these players in your initial squad.
[highlight_yellow]Yellow[/highlight_yellow] – These are the fixtures that could go either way and do not stand out as being either particularly good or poor. If you have a player from a team in this category then do not be afraid to play them but take a considered view that it may not be an explosive week for them.
[highlight_red]Red[/highlight_red]- These are the teams that we consider to have a difficult fixture and as such may be best avoided from a fantasy perspective. Aim to minimise any players that have a run of reds in the opening games.
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FAVOURABLE FIXTURES
Southampton – QPR (h), Tottenham (a), Sunderland (h)
Southampton took a massive step forward in our eyes this week. They have looked impressive so far, particularly in the two games prior to this with big wins over West Ham and Newcastle. A game away at fellow high fliers Swansea looked like a test but they came through that with flying colours. Ok, so it was a 0-1 win on the back of playing against 10 men for the most part and one that had little immediate fantasy impact but it showed that whilst they may be able to turn it on at home they are also capable of keeping it tight when needed away from home against opposition who are intent on attacking. That all bodes well if you own a Saints defender.
Two home games in the next three should see them cut loose a bit though, especially give the opposition – QPR and Sunderland. They will take the game to both of them and don’t be surprised to see the likes of Tadic and Pelle get points from both of those. The Spurs game in-between will probably represent more of their Swansea form and performance as per this weekend as they keep it tight whilst trying to nick a goal.
Pelle and Tadic look good prospects here with the two home games while the likes of Clyne and Bertrand offer both clean sheet potential and their usual attacking threat. Alderweiereld was omitted at the weekend due to a hamstring problem but it isn’t thought to be serious and he is expected back for GW6.
Burnley WBA (a), Leicester (a), West Ham (h)
Burnley seem to have settled on an early season policy to keep things tight. A first day defeat to Chelsea was inevitable but then they tried out the ‘0-0’ game plan at Swansea and came up short by just 1 goal. Since then they’ve nailed it in fine fashion – three consecutive 0-0’s. Some teams come up from the Championship and feel that a gung-ho approach is best. Read Blackpool circa 2011. Whilst they were great from a fantasy perspective with the likes of Charlie Adam they were ultimately relegated. There are many ways to skin a cat and Burnley seem intent on a defence first approach which is equally dangerous. It smacks of a lot of narrow defeats if we are being honest.
That said the next three games look ideal candidates for a 0-0 scoreline in each! The three beyond that look more difficult but for the immediate future we would not hesitate to play a Burnley defender.
Manchester United – West Ham (h), Everton (h), West Brom (a)
They’d turned the corner they said. They’re back, and a force to be reckoned with they said. All this was on the back of a 4-0 home win against QPR. Well we could have had twenty stabs at the scoreline away at Leicester and probably still wouldn’t have come up with a 5-3 defeat! The new philosophy seems to be built around the old Keegan / Newcastle mantra of ‘you score 4, we’ll score 5’ which is mainly due to this summer’s transfer policy of buying loads of fantastic attacking players but ignoring the fact that the likes of Evans, Jones, Smalling and Blackett really just aren’t up to the job of replacing the departed Ferdinand and Vidic. The result is that we may all have some fun watching United this season and it may actually lend a hand to fantasy managers, so long as you pick their attacking players that is!
Up next for them it’s West Ham at home. You’d have to expect that United can score well here, on paper at least. West Ham actually looked quite impressive last time out and managed to get three goals against United’s ‘partners in comedy defending’ Liverpool. With this in mind we could be looking at another cricket score here. Same goes for the next game really as Everton are leaking goals left, right and centre also. West Brom away is anybody’s guess but the three fixtures all point to goals for us fantasy managers. The obvious thing here then is that United attackers are at a premium but if you have any of their beleaguered back-line we would stay away. It’s worth noting that Falcao started against Leicester along with both Rooney and RvP, while Mata was the one to drop out and the Colombian grabbed an assist too. This saw Rooney drop deeper throughout and it remains to be seen how this dents his fantasy appeal, but if Falcao is now nailed on he could be fantasy gold in the Costa mould if United continue with the ‘Keegan way’.
It is worth noting though that after the next three games United then face Chelsea (h) and Man City (a) so maybe plan to capitalize upon them short term.
Leicester – Crystal Palace (a), Burnley (h), Newcastle (a)
It seems quite apt then that we move straight onto United’s conquerors Leicester. The newly free-scoring Leicester. We shall point out the obvious here – they won’t play United every week! In fact they had only scored four league goals prior to that game so maybe don’t get too excited, but at the same time, maybe get excited about one guy in particular. Jose Leonardo Ulloa. He’s now got 5 in 5 and at £5.7m he is promising to be THE bargain of the season. He seems to have appeared out of nowhere so it’s maybe worth a quick look at his recent history to see whether this is a flash in the pan thing or if he has the pedigree to stay the course. (He does! 😉 ) –
His last three seasons stats prior to this, according to Wiki at least, are –
Castellon, played 78, scored 30
Almeria, played 90, scored 39
Brighton, played 50, scored 23
That shouts consistency regardless of the level and he’s clearly picked up the pace at Premier League level. The next three games suggest opportunities aplenty. Palace have shipped 10 goals thus far, Burnley have been frugal with just the 4 but Newcastle are bottom and have seen 11 go in. We fancy Leicester and in particular Mr ‘who are you?’ Ulloa will do well in the upcoming games. Don’t let that £5.7m tag put you off – you don’t have to cost the earth to be a fantasy God sometimes. If you can’t stretch to £5.7m (!) then perhaps James Vardy is also worth a look. At just £4.9 Vardy was surely the best value for money player around this week racking up an astonishing 21 points!. This was his first start this season but given his overall performance he will surely have done enough to cement his place. After all not many players can claim to have scored one goal and assisted four others in one game, never mind against Man Utd.
LESS FAVOURABLE FIXTURES
Aston Villa – Chelsea (a), Man City (h), Everton (a)
Ah, and so finally we get to the point where there is only so much a scary bloke with a badger beard can do… We kept putting Villa in this section and they kept making us look silly. Not just us to be fair – they made Liverpool, Hull and Stoke look equally as daft recently but they finally came unstuck in a ridiculous three minute spell against Arsenal towards the end of the first half on Saturday. Those three minutes aside you could argue that they had been dogged throughout and done what they have been doing so far which is keeping teams at bay and counter attacking with pace to good effect.
Roy may need to perfect his scowl from behind Lambert’s cloak in the coming weeks though as their fixture schedule still looks daunting. Chelsea, City and Everton in the next three still looks incredibly difficult for them. Villa have posted 10 points on the board already which is roughly a quarter of their target for survival, which is surely their No.1 priority, so they may view the immediate games ahead as ‘nothing to lose’. That may be as well and we expect they will. Certainly against Chelsea and Man City in the next two. Still no love for any Villa players here though given their run ahead.
QPR – Southampton (a), West Ham (a), Liverpool (h)
We worry for QPR. We don’t lose any any sleep over it to be fair as we couldn’t care less, but we worry about them in terms of their FPL prospects. We feel they are on the precipice of becoming the whipping dogs. If Harry gets a grip then maybe they won’t but the next three games are crucial to them. Southampton look great at home and we expect they will have more than enough to put QPR away. West Ham away will be difficult and then they pitch up at Anfield. Liverpool should in theory have Sturridge back by then and be firing once more. All in all we wouldn’t recommend any QPR coverage for your FPL team either in terms of attack or defence for the foreseeable future.
Everton – Liverpool (a), Man Utd (a), Aston Villa (h)
Truth be told we don’t actually know if this is a good or bad run for Everton. On paper, in previous seasons, seeing Liverpool and Man Utd away should be a poor run. Given that each is giving goals away like candy at the moment though we just don’t know! Everton themselves have conceded 13 so that would suggest high scoring encounters against both Liverpool and United.
If you have Everton defenders then it’s likely to be either Baines or Coleman and let’s face it you don’t play them to get clean sheets anyway – they are essentially midfielders and should be played every week regardless of fixtures so we would suggest you do so. If you have attacking coverage (most likely just Lukaku!) then again the same applies, probably best just to play him / them given the oppositions propensity to concede. So yeah, while they started life in the ‘poor’ fixtures section they may well be considered as having a decent run depending on your personnel…
Spurs – Arsenal (a), Southampton (h), Man City (a)
West Brom at home should have been a banker and many saw a Chadli / Adebayor ‘open goal’ which was understandable but Spurs managed to conspire an improbable 0-1 defeat. Much has been made of the Europa League hangover but in reality Spurs rested the majority of their team for Thursdays game but unfortunately the ones that did rest forgot to clock back in come Sunday.
The next three look particularly tricky too as they have a London derby against Arsenal up next followed by a difficult game against their managers former club and ‘in-form’ Southampton. Man City away rounds it off which speaks for itself. We wouldn’t be too confident on playing any Spurs assets throughout this run to be honest.
FIXTURE FUN
This week sees a raft of Capital One Cup fixtures. Our advise would be to wait until Thursday if you can to make any transfers once we have got these games out of the way. It is worth noting that any cards or suspensions incurred in this competition do count as a domestic suspension and could rule players out of the weekends Premier League games. The following all play this week:
Arsenal
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Everton
Hull
Liverpool
Man City
Newcastle
Southampton
Stoke
Sunderland
Swansea
Tottenham
WBA
The FBA Awards
You may have noticed a new banner on the right hand side of the site. We have been entered into the Football Blogging Awards in the category of ‘Best New Football Blog’. This is quite a prestigious annual event and we have to say we would love to win it! If you get the chance we would appreciate it if you would vote for us via the links. But that’s only if you agree!
Our friends over at Fantasy Football First are endorsing our bid in the ‘Best New Football Blog’ category and as such we encourage you to vote for them in the ‘Best Established FPL Football Blog’ category. We have, but again that’s up to you! To vote for Fantasy Football First simply copy and paste the following into a tweet and send it –
I’m voting in @TheFBAs for @fanfootfirst as the Best #FPL Football Blog
Thanks on both counts if you do.
Good luck this week everyone!
Thinking of changing Ivan > Taylor , Mata > Di Maria & Rooney > Augero for a hit what do we thk
Silver – Could be worth it as Mata’s game time is in question. Difficult week to drop Chelsea defence but in the long run i think those are sound moves.
Cheers NiN
Bitches. Got 1 FT and 0.7m in bank. What to do? Or what not to do? :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger: :finger:
That’s a whole load of fingers
Still coming short… 😉
There’s always room for another finger or two. Wait, that sounds really dodgy. Pretend i didn’t say that 😉
Sit on it Raz. The transfer that is 😉 Your starting 11 are great. If you’re going to use it then your subs suck monkey cheeks but the plan you laid out earlier was actually great and I’d stick to that.
I feel like Falcao will do a Di Maria sooner or later. He will be more and more involved. Already got 1 assist and I only see it getting better for him. Defensively United are a nightmare so I guess they have to score a lot every game (bit like Pool last year, haha).
The plan I laid out only works if I don’t lose too much money. Rooney will drop this week or the next, Terry will drop this week for sure. If that happens I can’t upgrade Rooney to Falcao no more, I could still do the Baines move though.
Aah yes, if I do everything as planned now I have 0.1m in bank. I do need to replace Rooney with Falcao before he drops and hope that Terry doesn’t drop from 6.4m to 6.2m before GW7. Aaah yes, and Baines is not allowed to rise… A lot of if’s… if Baines scores and assists versus Liverpool (which is possible) things might not work out. Sighs.
On that note. TotalFPL claims Baines is protected? I mean? Whut??????????? Why? 7,151 people brought him in today… >.<
They’re making a lot of ‘claims’ this season. The NTI is probably, probably, legit but the rest is off the wall.
Oooh NiN, that could completely destroy my plans. Having Baines will be key, I think.
Raz, one thing i have noticed on TFPL this season is that random players are ‘protected’, when they haven’t been injured at all, like Baines. It was happening a lot when i was logging in regularly, haven’t been for a while now but i presume it’s still the same. I would guess that he wont rise unless he does well against Liverpool. Just a guess though.
Ah yes I remember now Raz – the plan was excellent (and I was proud of you when I read it 😉 ) until the 0.1 bit crept up which was when I thought – no chance! May be worth jumping in and securing a couple of those moves early even if it means a hit as I honestly can’t see it panning out without the rises screwing it all up at some point. Great plan, just do it sooner.
Hmmm yeah. Have to figure out when to do it. I don’t see Terry or Rooney dropping tonight or before thursday/friday or maybe even saturday. Really don’t know what will happen with Baines though… >.<
Agree Raz good team save FT I have taken Rooney out playing to deep for me as a fwd but your call
This is the plan I laid out ”monkey”. 😉 Copy paste from a few pages back. 😛
”Oi guys. This is the team I have lined up for GW6. Used 1ft already to replaced DDG so now I have 1FT left. Unsure if I’ll use it. Trying to plan ahead. I could do Rooney to Falcao this GW, replace Chambers with Moore for GW7 and replace Terry with Baines in GW8. Solid plan? After GW7 Everton will have great fixtures. Plan can only be ruined if pricechanges mess it up. If I make those 3 transfers now I have 0.1m spare. I don’t think Terry will drop 0.2m or that Baines will rise before GW8, but you never know. That could screw up my plan and I could be short on money.”
hey guys, only got 1 FT. want to make a LOAD of changes, but resisting my WC for as long as possible (or at least until at till the international break!)
these price-rises are killing me! all the popular players – who I want (NEED) to get have already gone up 0.1 this GW, so need to get players in fast before I can’t afford them!
for this GW, would you do:
1) Marney -> ADM, rooney -> ulloa…………… for a -4
2) Marney -> ADM, rooney -> pelle, chester -> duff………… for a -8
3) any others??
don’t want to oust rooney, but need funds for ADM
also want to get rid of: De Gea, green, terry, dummett, Naismith
thanks for any input guys!
I’d go with option 1 if any.
cheers raz, ‘if any’ meaning you don’t favour the options? would you leave the team as it is?
Well, you could look at my team which is posted 1 above yours. I like my team and I already made a few changes I’d like to see in yours. 😛
I noticed you want to up Marney? So you’re going to play 3-5-2 and bench Naismith? Your midfield and attack is still solid. Ramsey doesn’t have the same form as before though (well he hasn’t scored in his last 2 games, I think?), Rooney is indeed playing too deep.
Your team isn’t all the bad when I look at it. Only take a hit if you think it will pay off. I took 1 hit this season 2 weeks ago, replaced Ramsey with Sterling and Mata with Di Maria. Worked out really well for me. I don’t want to take hits for defenders, unless there is no other posibility and it’s Baines I have to get…
Hi papercut, personally I’d do Ramsey to ADM and leave it at that this week.
cheers innit. was contemplating getting rid of ramsey, but was thinking about the derby fixtures… arsenal will be fired up for the spurs game at the emirates and might put a few past spurs? ramsey might be involved in a few of those… unless it becomes the ozil and Walcott show again..
what you reckon??
It’s a tough one mate. Ramsey looked good in the City game to be fair and was up top supporting in most attacks. The Ozil switch to the centre again may deny that I’m not sure. Walcott will be on the bench for a few weeks at best I feel getting minutes at the end until he’s fit again. ADM just looks class though . And it’s a decent fixture. Up to you ultimately as I’d be gutted to say do that and see Ramsey score. It’s what I’d do personally and effectively did 2 weeks ago. It’s worked out so far but a couple of Ramsey goals and some good fixtures and I’ll be working him back in there no doubt!
sorry meant to say ozil and welbeck (not Walcott!)
just checked the stats on arsenal vs spurs and looks like ramsey has just scored once against spurs in the past few years… maybe in those games wenger may want the defensive qualities of ramsey as oppose to the goal scoring abilities- which he can utilize sanchez,, ozil, welbeck, cazorla etc…
i think everyone picked up on this waaaaaaaaay earlier than i did!
so looks like i might do ramsey to ADM after all!!
He said in 1 sentence what I meant to say. Sighs.
papercut – Really tough to pick a mid to lose for Di Maria, that’ll be personal preference. I really have no idea what i would do there. Option 1 leaves you with a fantastic midfield, but both Ulloa and Naismith up top? I’m not so sure. Could get a bit tasty if the expensive strikers start kicking ass.
Can u do -any mid other than fab to Adm and Naismith to Ulloa?
I would pick Rooney over Di Maria. Of all the MANU players, Rooney is guaranteed starter. He looks fit and playing well. Nothing wrong with having both, especially as MANU don’t have any European football this season.
Bit early to be thinking about (c) picks, but what do we think of Aguero this week? Default Costa is the obvious choice but i have a feeling Aguero will run amok soon, could well be this weekend.
Fearing Kun’s wrath when I don’t have him and fearing for his glass body when I do have him. CAP HIM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I’m very tempted mate. Very tempted indeed.
great fixture against hull, so a good choice.
I was thinking maybe someone from the darby fixtures- from the Liverpool or arsenal contingent?? darby’s are usually a goal fest (USUALLY!)…
Ha, i have no Liverpool or Arsenal players! Not going with Adebayor again that’s for sure
Kun will destroy someone sooner or later. Hmm.
NIN don’t say that I can’t afford him! There’s a definite pattern developing here in both FPL and MLS. You always seem to be able to afford anyone you want and I’m on rations. You got a secret stash of cash somewhere?!
Haha, i got him on my wildcard in gwk 3 😉 He’s gonna go boom sooner or later but it’s a dangerous week to go without Costa (c). Reckon Aguero (c) could pay off/worth the risk?
Re MLS, you lost huge value earlier in the season if i remember rightly. You’ve done well to hold rank and build it back up. Kudos 😉
Yeah I wasn’t really paying attention / bothered early doors as we had too much going on here that was taking up the time but I wish I had now as I spewed a shed load of points and value early on as a result! Now I’m left fighting it out with the nearly rans for a top 100 place 😉 :hippo:
Haha :finger:
Yeah you could easily have been up there with Mito in the hunt for it all. Still fairly impressive to be so high though. I think i’m doing good for a first timer, cheeky bugger ya
😉
My team seems to look good on paper but have not performed for the past two weeks
Any suggestions welcome for any potential changes for GW6
Foster
Chambers, Wisdom, Lovren
Sigurdsson, Milner, Fábregas, Sterling, Ramsey
Diego Costa, Balotelli
Bench
Krul, Adebayor, Dummett, Dier
Dazza – Welcome to the club, i like my team too but it’s floundering. These things happen. Have you any FT’s or money in the bank?
No money or FT, still have WC but do not want to use it yet, had to throw Milner in this week and take out my Spurs players as They are playing arsenal this week
Right, in that case i would leave as is and hope that Liverpool come good. Well, Balotelli and Moreno as Sterling is playing fantastic football just now. Milner is an interesting choice, hopefully it pays dividends
Cheers
Dazza I’d play Ade over Milner regardless.
I swapped him out because I thought he would do nothing against Aresnal, and Thought a city player may have a better chance of points this week
Nin – u weren’t tempted by the homecoming in Kerry? Good by all accounts.
Dreamers – Is this something to do with the hurling? It never caught on with me, nor the GAA.
Ah nin. Football. gaa. all Ireland yesterday. Yesterday.
I don’t follow it mate. It never grasped me. I honestly couldn’t name one hurler or footballer, not one!