Fantasy Football Tips Gameweek 3
Welcome to Fantasy Football Tips Gameweek 3!
Want a tip? Don’t WC In GW3. I should know. I’ve done it 5 times. This is my 6th season of FPL. Be better than me.
That said, it’s easy to do. Looking at this week’s price rises it’s clear that the tide has turned. Or at least you would think so given the ludicrous rate at which some players are being snapped up.
You can’t blame the masses though. Lukaku scored on his debut, he could have had a hatful. Fixtures? Pah. Buy him and buy him now. Tsimikas scored 12pts. But he will be on the bench next week. I can’t hear you. Get in my team.
Duffy is 4.0 and scored 15pts. But he’s not nailed, he’s 58 and Brighton would have sold him in the summer if anyone had shown even the slightest of interest. Shhhhhh. Let’s all buy him right this minute.
You get the picture. It’s early doors, can we all settle the f@ck down?
So, should we follow the crowd? Do our own thing? We all have 2FTs right? Course you do, nobody makes a transfer in GW2 right? Oh, you did. Well, that’s ok, no judgment here (cough casual cough). Just teasing. Tips anyone?
Smash – Defenders and Keepers
It’s unlikely you’ll be shopping for a new goalkeeper this game week with both popular choices Sanchez and Martinez having solid starts and remaining decent picks going forward. However, if you are shopping for a new stopper then it should be noted that Spurs have back-to-back clean sheets, with Hugo Lloris (£5.5m) sitting pretty as the keeper with the most FPL points, collecting maximum bonus on both occasions. The Frenchman has already made 10 saves this season, again a total no other goalkeeper can beat.
Alternatively, Sa (£5m) at Wolves could be a good option as they have only conceded two goals so far against Leicester and Spurs. He has a good run of fixtures United (H), Watford (A), Brentford (H), Saints (A), and Newcastle (H). He’s also made 9 saves in just two matches.
Trent Alexander Arnold Is the stand-out defender with the stand-out price. He’s £7.5m for a reason as he’s the best defender in the game to own. 21 crosses (2nd) 9 successful (1st), 10 Chances Created (1st), 2 Big Chances Created (2nd) & an xA of 1.22 (1st) In fact, he’s been unlucky not to get more attacking returns. With the return of VVD in defence and Liverpool having fit centre-backs (in general) TAA is THE defender to own and one that does not need to be downgraded to fund another attacking big hitter. Zero goals conceded so far for Liverpool and with the Tsimikas dream coming to an end imminently. Whisper it quietly could Joel Matip (only £5m) be a cheap double up or alternative to Trent for Liverpool? 4 shots in the box so far is the 3rd best for a defender so there could be a goal coming soon.
Sometimes we overcomplicate it with defenders. Which two teams have the best defences and generally concede the least goals? Chelsea and Manchester City have the best xGC of 0.63 and 1.24 respectively and have been largely ignored by many. Reece James (£5.5m) scored and came away with an assist in the last game and is playing for in the best defence in the league. 4 goal attempts (3rd) 4 chances created (6th), 9 crosses (6th) are pretty impressive stats for a man who has only started one game so far. There is currently a lack of competition for the RWB position at Chelsea too. Liverpool(A), Spurs(A), and City at home in the next four might not look pretty on paper but with two clean sheets out of two so far they could be fixture proof. The fixtures after look very good. Tony Rudiger (£5.5m) is a more nailed alternative.
At City Ruben Dias is the least likely player to be rotated. At £6m he really is a set and forget asset. Just watch the clean sheet points roll in. He even had an assist last time out against Norwich on top of the (customary) clean sheet. The next three are Arsenal (H), Leicester (A), and Saints (H). Don’t be surprised to see two or three clean sheets there. Kyle Walker at £5.5m is the cheaper alternative. The team that finishes above City will win the title so why wait on getting a City defender in your team?
Spurs under Nuno are yet to concede, with 1-0 wins over City and Wolves. Watford(h) and Crystal Palace(a) are next for Spurs which could see another two clean sheets. Reguillon (£5m) is the defender to own from Spurs if you want more than clean sheets having created two chances already. However, these attacking stats might not be worth the £0.5m saving you could get from Eric Dier who seems slightly more likely to keep his place over Davinson Sanchez, with new big signing Romero expected to come in for one of them.
Shane Duffy (£4.1m) really is good value if he continues to get starts, that’s the big question though. Over the two GW’s has most shots in the box for the Seagulls(7), with xG of 0.61. Seven goal attempts is the best of all defenders. It should be noted, however, that Veltman (and the now training again) Lamptey should see Duffy back on the bench soon enough. He also had a poor season last year at Celtic and was not fancied by Potter as a ball-playing CB so be wary with this one. Two wins out of two for Brighton and their decent defensive stats have continued as they left off last season. BHA had an xGC of 0.4 (2nd). Conceded just 1 Shot on Target (2nd) with 0 Big Chances conceded (1st) in the last GW. It could be worth a short term risk.
Livramento is my tip for the best £4m defender. He’s started the last two for Southampton and has impressed. Last match he was even awarded the MOTM award against Manchester United. He has a big reputation from his Chelsea youth days and could be a regular all season if he keeps up his early form.
Lastly, I will finish on a differential. Matt Richie (£5m) has been posting good attacking numbers. 9 chances created (2nd), 9 corners (2nd) 21 crosses (1st), and xA 0.84 (2nd). These stats suggest he’s been incredibly unlucky not to get more than one assist so far. Southampton (H), United (A), Leeds (H), Watford (A), and Wolves (A) are not the worst fixtures for an attacking defender punt. Special mention to Brentford who have yet to concede a goal. They have several decent £4.5m defenders and the Bees have an xGC of 1.73 (the fifth-best in the league). Can they keep it up though?
Matt – Midfielders
I think I could have written exclusively about Manchester United midfielders this week, but I feel obliged to give you other options. I will still give you the two options that not everyone has, although this could change very soon. I will be leaving Bruno out (as most have him) and you all know how good he is. Mason Greenwood (£7.6m) is the key player I think we should all pick up ASAP. He has two goals in two games, looks to be on fire, and should be nailed with Cavani not yet back in, Rashford out for months and Martial being a bit rubbish. Greenwood has been very attacking; 5 shots, however, only one of those was on target, it did hit the back of the net so I guess this just means he is very clinical!
The one player that seems to be the ultimate tease in FPL is Graeme Souness’ best friend, Paul Pogba (£7.7). Pogba got 4 assists in the GW1 and another at the game against Southampton. Clearly showcasing the talent we all know he has. Pogba wasn’t just trying to assist goals he was having shots too, coming second to Greenwood for most shots taken vs the Saints, 4.2 of those were wide and the other 2 were blocked, but if Pogba can stay on this form and stay in what appears to be his best position (on the left-wing) then he could be a brilliant option! Bruno, Pogba, and Greenwood triple-up, anyone?
I was thinking a Spurs player might be a must this weekend. The main reason for this thinking is that Watford has conceded 4 goals in 2 games and Bachmann has made one save… ONE! There were five shots on target against Watford, meaning Bachmann stopped just one of those, the other four hitting the back of the net. Goal conversion rates should be high for anyone who can get a shot on target which would be great for most sides. However, after just seeing the stats of the Spurs vs Wolves match, I’m no longer dead set on it.
Before that Wolves game, I was tearing my hair out trying to figure out how to get Son (£10m) in and he may still be an amazing option, but he only had a single shot on goal which was saved. Spurs were woeful in the first half and their only shot was the penalty which Dele Alli (£6.5m) took. In the second half things started to pick up for Tottenham and they got another seven shots, but no more goals. We also saw the return of Harry Kane which will take Alli off penalties but that’s only if Kane is on the pitch and more importantly, at the club, which following his statement, it appears that he will be.
With Kane now focused on the club that pays his handsome wage, we may see the return of KaneSon, that deadly duo we all loved last year. I would still expect Spurs to beat Watford and with it being a London derby I think it could offer goals. If Tottenham carries the momentum they were building throughout the second half in GW2 into this Watford game then this could be a big haul for the Lilywhites.
Said Benrahma! (£6.1m) Do I need to say more? I suppose I do. Get this man into your team at whatever cost. He is on fire right now with everything seeming to flow through him. What a player! He had a goal and an assist against Newcastle in GW1, which saw him pick up 12 points. He followed that up with another goal and another assist against Leicester which got him another 12 points. Who’s to say he can’t do a triple and get 12 points in his next match, and considering the opponents, it’s possible.
West Ham come up against London rivals Crystal Palace this weekend and if West Ham’s form is red hot, then I would say Palace is tepid at best. They opened the season with a 3-0 loss to Chelsea before struggling to a 0-0 stalemate against Brentford. Looking at the stats it’s a wonder Brentford didn’t score to be honest. This means that West Ham and Benrahma could rack up quite a score against the Eagles, and if they do then I would expect the Algerian to be right in amongst the action.
Loud Atlas – Forwards
Now with 114 Premier League goals to his name, the return of a certain Romelu Lukaku (11.5m) was everything we had hoped it would be. He adds bulk to a dominant Chelsea side who are going from strength to strength. With eight shots, 11 touches in their box, and a 95% pass completion to add to his goal, it’s fair to say that he was all over Arsenal,
You’ll need to ask yourself if you’re going to tear your team to shreds to get him in or wait until GW7 when the fixtures get easier. But, thinking about it, are any of their games really that ‘hard’? Just watch Lukaku make an utter mockery of them all!
A quick word on one of the better mid-priced strikers so far: Danny Ings (8.1m). Two goals in two games (one pen and one acrobatic bicycle kick!) and he faces Brentford at home next. Ideal. But after the international break, he and Aston Villa face – in order – Chelsea, Everton, Manchester Utd, and Spurs. Oo-er. Keep him for Brentford but prepare to offload him soon.
Gabriel Jesus (8.5m) had a jolly good time against Norwich. With proud father-like tears brimming in his eyes, Guardiola was quick to heap praise on his striker. He had two assists against Norwich, along with 87 touches, nine touches in the box and three chances created. He was even awarded the Man of the Match award. But with all that, does that mean he starts against a beleaguered Arsenal? Probably.
If your team is missing an in-form player then look no further. Michail Antonio (7.7m) is becoming one of the must-haves this season. He’s cheap, nailed, and playing in a thriving team who are league leaders. He will face a pretty poor Palace team next who are yet to score and look perilously below par. So far this season he has three goals, three assists, and two sets of maximum bonus points. With favourable fixtures on the horizon, Antonio’s one to keep hold of for the long haul.
Thanks for reading Fantasy Football Tips Gameweek 3. This article was written by Rosco, Smash, Matt and Loud Atlas.
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Also, surprised so many getting rid of White? I mean I know it’s Arsenal but they’ve got a very favourable run of fixtures after the City game.
Yeah I don’t really get that either. That’s one of the few price drops I’m not worried about
+1. That price drop will reverse soon enough when their fixtures turn. They were a solid defence last season out and he will improve them. They don’t look good yet but the pre-season was disrupted too.
Hi guys sorry to jump in but, yeah I agree on White ….he’ll be brilliant value soon! I’m on a WC myself and been waiting for Tsimi’s price to go up and Whites to go down which it now has enabling me to do Tsimi to Livramento and Amartey to White. Only thing is, I can see Amartey getting a CS this week and White not playing…doesn’t effect my team, but over the break that could equate to another Amartey rise and/or another White drop which would bank 0.2. What’s better ….save the move for hope of an extra 0.2 or move now so can save/use the ft next week on something else
Thanks for the article all, some interesting choices there in Ritchie and Jesus, not sure I’ll be going in that direction but good luck if you do.
2FT, 0 in the bank, and I don’t really know what move to make now.
Players I’m happy to move on soon are Toney (1 more week to return), Shaw (poor fixtures), Tsimikas (not a starter), White (Arsenal, though great fixtures) and maybe Coufal (not sure worth the £5m with European football) and Ings (poor fixtures).
Players I have my eye on are DCL (form & fixtures), Benrahma (form), Livramento/Tsolis/Dennis (cheap enablers), Chelsea players (from GW7).
With the above in mind, Ings to DCL is the main move I’m eyeing up next week, which will require at least 0.2m.
Move this week then could be:
a) Tsimikas to Livramento (will still require 0.1m at least next week)
b) White/Coufal to Livramento (will give money itb for the DCL move next week)
c) Raphina to Benrahma (don’t want to rid of Raphina and Benrahma may be missing games for quarantine, but he more than passes the eye test and gives money itb)
d) Toney to Dennis (would like to give Toney another week but this would free up some cash)
Thanks in advance all!
With that in mind
Personally, I would consider Tsimikas to Livramento and roll the other. Your team is good for the weekend ahead and with the IB coming you’ll be glad of the banked transfer I suspect. White will come good in time I think. Shaw is good til GW7 I reckon, he’s involved himself going forward. Are we sure Dennis is nailed / that Watford are any good / you want to play him every week?
Agree it makes the most sense, but makes me nervous on who to move on to afford DCL next week. Livramento in definitely seems like the sensible, calm move though, thanks Pippin.
I don’t wanna gamble on Dennis this early no, but would likely be part of a swing to 3-5-2, or 4-4-2.
Think my personal path would be to do Tsimi to Livramento, Toney to a 4.5, Brownhill to Ben and Ings to DCL. Know that’s more moves than you want but could that work over 2gws?
Yeah that’s a 2/3 week plan for sure, provided Benrahma doesn’t miss games for internationals, and triple West Ham is viable when Europe starts.
GW 3: Tsi to Livramento
GW 4: Toney to enabler, Ings to DCL, play 4-4-2
GW5: Brownhill to Ben
GW6/7 onwards: United assets out, Chelsea assets in
That sounds like a plan Bean
Potentially looking at moving Havertzs > Benrahma. Then next week upgrade either White, Toney or Manquillio to a playing 4.0m.
Any suggestions on the best move here or hold for time being.
Rogue
Are you planning to get Lukaku soon?
If not, Havertz isn’t a bad payoff for him.
I was going to try and get Lukaku in after the liverpool game
Which if i’m being realistic simply won’t happen. If i am to get lukaku it it would take a few weeks and multiple downgrades in the team i believe
Well in that case Havertz to Benrahma isn’t a bad start.
1FT 0.5m
Barnes – Pogba
Toney – Armstrong
Or roll FT
Thanks
Roll it or maybe just Tsimi to Livramento
You could roll that FT.
Thanks
Would you play James over Ayling?
I think I would. I liked how he played against Arsenal (9 penalty area touches). Liverpool of course are a different beast to Arsenal but they do play with a rather advanced LB too.
Maybe Raph for Barnes but I’d roll
Please rate my team below
I have no FT and 0.4 in bank
I get Benrahma & Alli instead of Harrison & Barnes
Also whom to captain
Keep your captain and Vice as they are
Current team. I’ve pressed the WC and done Mahrez/Son/ESR/Tsimikas/Perica to Grealish/Benrahma/Raphinha/Livramento/DCL.
Any other suggestions?
Do I do Amartey to White now while on WC so I’ve got a FT to use at international break, or do I do it next week in the hope I make another 0.1-0.2 on those 2 rising/dropping again?
Ps….have I got much to worry about with this team re internationals and isolation etc?
The biggest thing is the Lukaku-sized elephant in the room….
Yeah I know …he can wait for me tbh! Grealish downgrade would get him in but tbh with TAA, Salah, Bruno and Lukaku it seems weakened so he’ll probably come for a swap on one of those depending on form and fixtures!
What do you think on the White move?
I’m not impressed by Arsenal therefore I wouldn’t be buying White.