Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16
Welcome to Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. It’s a quick turnaround this week and in terms of ‘tips’ this week if you read no further, or indeed read nothing else this week, do yourself a favour and read the next sentence only. The deadline for GW16 is Tuesday 13th December at 6.45pm UK time. Many won’t realise or even be aware of it. We always see posts or tweets after a midweek deadline from people saying they didn’t know or forgot. Let’s just hope that happens in your mini league! Lots of people walking around their offices this week whistling quietly and touching their nose. And then asking very loudly who their co-worker captained ‘this week’, two minutes after the deadline. Sly lot you. Anyway onto GW16 itself and we shall start with some housekeeping just to manage peoples expectations really. This article will deal with some tips for midweek. After that we will post the site team at some time on Monday evening or Tuesday morning and that will be it for the week really before Live Match chat kicks in again and we can all enjoy the action itself. There will be no Around The Grounds ahead of GW16 as it takes forever to compile and it’s unfair to ask Cookie to do 3 in a week! We will endeavour to tweet the relevant news as it comes through so keep your eyes on that feed but if you have anything specific you need to know then just ask in the comments section. You will get an answer. After that it’s another short turnaround prior to GW17 and we intend to post a Tips / Captains combo article as well as the Site Team and there will be the usual Around The Grounds on Friday. Here’s our take on GW16 for now anyway. We are going to split this one quite simply into attackers and defenders and recommend either teams who we would be looking at for GW16 alone based upon either their opponents or their own stats in terms of scoring or defending. Capiche?! Probably not, but bear with us, it’ll make sense. Hopefully…
The following stats and analysis relate purely to goals scored or conceded either at home or away, depending on which one the team is doing in GW16.
Goalkeepers / Defenders
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best defensive record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents scoring one…
4 – Spurs have the best defensive record in this respect this week having only conceded 4 at home all season. And those were in just 3 games meaning they have kept 4 clean sheets at The Lane. Their opponents Hull have only scored 5 on the road which ranks them 18th for that particular stat. Yes we’d buy a Spurs defender with confidence this week. Screw it, buy two!
5 – Arsenal and Everton have both only conceded 5 but we wouldn’t be so confident on either keeping a clean sheet this time around and this is why – Arsenal have the best away record for goals scored with a whopping 18 and Everton themselves have scored 10 at home, not the best by a long stretch but they haven’t failed to score in a home game this season.
7 – Chelsea and Middlesbrough have the next best records but what of their opponents scoring prowess? Well Chelsea face Sunderland who have scored 10 at home this season and have only failed to score in 1 of those 7 games and that was against Everton. The only other real opponent of note was Arsenal and they did score but lost 1-4. As for ‘Boro they face Liverpool who have the 2nd best away record with 16 so we would dismiss them out of hand really.
Midfielders / Forwards
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best scoring record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents defence…
18 – Arsenal have the best record this week as we have mentioned previously with 18 goals on the road. We don’t know what to make of this as Everton have only conceded 5 at home and that includes keeping both Spurs and Man United down to a goal apiece. They’ve had 6 games at home and kept 2 clean sheets. It probably won’t be a goal fest is the best we can offer really.
16 – Liverpool come in 2nd place with 16 scored away. Thy have had 8 games away and failed to score in 2 at Burnley and Saints but have also notched 4 goals twice and 3 once. Their opponents ‘Boro rank highly on the defensive home stats as we have said but you always fancy Liverpool to score in any given game. Their only problem is whether it’s more than the opposition!
14 – Bournemouth and Spurs. Bournemouth are probably a surprise inclusion here but evidently they like a home goal! The stats are possibly slightly skewed as they have scored 10 of those 14 in just 2 games (6 vs Hull and 4 vs Liverpool). They have however failed to score in just 1 of their 7 home games this season. Their opponents Leicester have been appalling away from home with 18 conceded so far. Whether they turned a corner last week though remains to be seen. Spurs seem a no brainer this week as they have a good home record and their opponents Hull have conceded 17 on the road. Spurs have scored in every home game, Hull have only kept one team out and that was Swansea, back when they were bad. Or at least worse than they are now!
12 – Chelsea are surprisingly low on this one given that they are now the team that everybody fears. They’ve only failed to score in 1 away game though and that was at Arsenal back when they were still trying to find their identity. Said identity has been well and truly established since though and they have won 5 out of 7 away. Efficiency has probably been the key word away from home rather then potency as a 1 goal margin has been their preference so far in most games. That may change this week as their opponents Sunderland have the joint worst home record with 14 conceded.
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The turnaround between GWs is short, yet Init has been busy researching and writing up some vital stats that are invaluable as we contemplate the midweek game-week starting Tuesday.
Many thanks Init, it looks like finally i”ll be buying a Spurs defender…..just as I was planning to get a Chelsea one
Brilliant stuff mate, thanks!
Cheers Init.
It’s great that you still managed to go through those stats and end up with another very informative and helpful article.
You guys have all our supports in sharing any info that will be worth considering FPL wise just to offload some burden from your shoulders.
We are one, one for all, all for one
Wondering what to do with this lot. Thinking of Fuchs to cresswell. Also wondering what to do with firming. Keep him for this week or take a hit to get eriksen. 1FT and 0.2 in the bank !
With Hammers conceding 16 times in the last 6 games I wouldn’t even think of him specially at that price bracket mate.
Fixtures are great but 5.3mn is some good money for a defender.
Monitor him for one or two weeks may be.
Save the FT. Will come super handy during the busy period
Sounds good ! Very tempted to get a defender but will probably make 2 changes next week ! Thanks !
Who to take out for Alonso?
(buying price in () )
A) Mcauley (4.7)
B) Pieters (4.4)
C) Holebas (4.5)
mardeal
That’s tough – they all have their own merits: McAuley’s goals, Pieters clean sheets and Holebas’ assists.
I think it might have to be Pieters though.
Init,
Appreciate this info and you do now have me thinking about doubling Spurs at the back. Got Lloris but the numbers look good don’t they?
Thanks for the article mate.
Thanks for the article. Impressive given the short time interval between both GW!
What would you do with this team? 1FT, 1.6 ITB.
I had a bad GW15, but I would tend to keep my front 8. I know that Iheanacho, Gundogan, Pedro and even Firmino were not convincing, but I would like to give them a little time. I believe they could fire soon, except for Gundogan but who sits on my bench anyway.
So I would tend to improve my defense. First choice would have been Alonso, but I already have 3 Chelsea players.
So I consider Smith->Walker. Great prospect for the next 2 GWs, less interesting afterwards…
Alternatively, I could store my FT for the busy end of the year and to gain freedom to accomodate Aguero later. But it hurts to let these 1.6M sleep in the bank!
Thanks for your feedback!
Vinci, Smith to Walker makes a load of sense, as per Init’s analysis above.
+1
Smith has lost his influence
Plus Walker remains high in the BPS and he poses threats too apart from the CS potential
+1
Cookie, Nishant, Matt: thanks a lot!