Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16
Welcome to Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. It’s a quick turnaround this week and in terms of ‘tips’ this week if you read no further, or indeed read nothing else this week, do yourself a favour and read the next sentence only. The deadline for GW16 is Tuesday 13th December at 6.45pm UK time. Many won’t realise or even be aware of it. We always see posts or tweets after a midweek deadline from people saying they didn’t know or forgot. Let’s just hope that happens in your mini league! Lots of people walking around their offices this week whistling quietly and touching their nose. And then asking very loudly who their co-worker captained ‘this week’, two minutes after the deadline. Sly lot you. Anyway onto GW16 itself and we shall start with some housekeeping just to manage peoples expectations really. This article will deal with some tips for midweek. After that we will post the site team at some time on Monday evening or Tuesday morning and that will be it for the week really before Live Match chat kicks in again and we can all enjoy the action itself. There will be no Around The Grounds ahead of GW16 as it takes forever to compile and it’s unfair to ask Cookie to do 3 in a week! We will endeavour to tweet the relevant news as it comes through so keep your eyes on that feed but if you have anything specific you need to know then just ask in the comments section. You will get an answer. After that it’s another short turnaround prior to GW17 and we intend to post a Tips / Captains combo article as well as the Site Team and there will be the usual Around The Grounds on Friday. Here’s our take on GW16 for now anyway. We are going to split this one quite simply into attackers and defenders and recommend either teams who we would be looking at for GW16 alone based upon either their opponents or their own stats in terms of scoring or defending. Capiche?! Probably not, but bear with us, it’ll make sense. Hopefully…
The following stats and analysis relate purely to goals scored or conceded either at home or away, depending on which one the team is doing in GW16.
Goalkeepers / Defenders
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best defensive record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents scoring one…
4 – Spurs have the best defensive record in this respect this week having only conceded 4 at home all season. And those were in just 3 games meaning they have kept 4 clean sheets at The Lane. Their opponents Hull have only scored 5 on the road which ranks them 18th for that particular stat. Yes we’d buy a Spurs defender with confidence this week. Screw it, buy two!
5 – Arsenal and Everton have both only conceded 5 but we wouldn’t be so confident on either keeping a clean sheet this time around and this is why – Arsenal have the best away record for goals scored with a whopping 18 and Everton themselves have scored 10 at home, not the best by a long stretch but they haven’t failed to score in a home game this season.
7 – Chelsea and Middlesbrough have the next best records but what of their opponents scoring prowess? Well Chelsea face Sunderland who have scored 10 at home this season and have only failed to score in 1 of those 7 games and that was against Everton. The only other real opponent of note was Arsenal and they did score but lost 1-4. As for ‘Boro they face Liverpool who have the 2nd best away record with 16 so we would dismiss them out of hand really.
Midfielders / Forwards
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best scoring record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents defence…
18 – Arsenal have the best record this week as we have mentioned previously with 18 goals on the road. We don’t know what to make of this as Everton have only conceded 5 at home and that includes keeping both Spurs and Man United down to a goal apiece. They’ve had 6 games at home and kept 2 clean sheets. It probably won’t be a goal fest is the best we can offer really.
16 – Liverpool come in 2nd place with 16 scored away. Thy have had 8 games away and failed to score in 2 at Burnley and Saints but have also notched 4 goals twice and 3 once. Their opponents ‘Boro rank highly on the defensive home stats as we have said but you always fancy Liverpool to score in any given game. Their only problem is whether it’s more than the opposition!
14 – Bournemouth and Spurs. Bournemouth are probably a surprise inclusion here but evidently they like a home goal! The stats are possibly slightly skewed as they have scored 10 of those 14 in just 2 games (6 vs Hull and 4 vs Liverpool). They have however failed to score in just 1 of their 7 home games this season. Their opponents Leicester have been appalling away from home with 18 conceded so far. Whether they turned a corner last week though remains to be seen. Spurs seem a no brainer this week as they have a good home record and their opponents Hull have conceded 17 on the road. Spurs have scored in every home game, Hull have only kept one team out and that was Swansea, back when they were bad. Or at least worse than they are now!
12 – Chelsea are surprisingly low on this one given that they are now the team that everybody fears. They’ve only failed to score in 1 away game though and that was at Arsenal back when they were still trying to find their identity. Said identity has been well and truly established since though and they have won 5 out of 7 away. Efficiency has probably been the key word away from home rather then potency as a 1 goal margin has been their preference so far in most games. That may change this week as their opponents Sunderland have the joint worst home record with 14 conceded.
Thanks for reading Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. This article was written by inittowinit
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Fixture Tracker – the next 6 games
Austin is out for 3/4 months as he needs surgery – who is left at 6.7 or less to compare?
Right now I’m trying to decide between Vokes, Origi or Wilson.
Wilson is not a bad shout
Colonial, I’ll add Carrol to that list. I think he’s pretty much fully fit now and with Antonio and Payet and Lanzini playing providers I could see him grabbing some goals with his awesome upcoming fixtures!
Cheers for this Init. Pretty sure I’m covered with most of these teams in each area but I need to do something with Austin. Best replacement for him at 6.7 mil??
Llorente if you are not a Siggy owner
Or else Origi
Cheers Nishant. I looked at Llorente but wasn’t sure if anybody other than Siggy was worth it from Swansea.
Origi or Llorente are my main options I think.
Origi should be it then
I don’t have Llorente or Siggy but their fixtures do look appealing if they can play like they did at the weekend.
Loving this week of epl coming up! Any changes needed? Who to Putin goals and who to put in defence? Cheers
obrigado
I think you maybe have the strongest eleven already. McAuley to Pieters is close but I couldn’t say for sure on that one.
Cheers, just anxious that I don’t own Hazard or Sanchez. Trying to steer away from them and hope they don’t score well at least for another few weeks ha ha
I was only commenting on the defence really but I think on their day, your midfield can all be awesome.
I would consider Sanchez though for Ozil but you have Costa covering Hazard so that’s OK.
Cheers for the tip, I’ll sneak Sanchez in next week. Hope he gets injured though 😉
I agree that would be fun for FPL but the Arsenal supporters would faint!
Or even a straight red would be fine
obrigado – I wouldn’t trust my goal to Putin. Unless the opposition had Trump in attack.
Putin has the best defence in the world, well at least that’s what he thinks. Hopefully he can get a few clean sheets and dodge a few grenades
some input on my team? I am looking at Alonso in for Coleman in defense. that is about the only change I am looking at making.
charlcupido
Makes perfect sense to me. Chelsea and Everton just can’t be compared for clean sheets. Gets me vote.
As you have Iheanacho, I would stick with him until Aguero is back – don’t be discouraged by a poor day at the weekend.
thanks Mate, I am with you on that, I believe Nacho will come good and Watford at the Etihad is tasty.
Any other nailed OOP defenders around 5 mill which rules out Chelsea. I have got Brunt and Smith(Bou) and thinking Janmatt when fully fit. Don’t fancy Sunderland or any of the other relegation fodder .Not much to ask!!
Kruz
Holebas maybe?
Thank you for this tips article init. Much appreciated. Debating my getting a spurs defender options. Is Walker the better option, or is it Rose? Rose is some 20 pts shy of Walker but with less games and they have the same PPM ratio with 4.1 which tells me that when on the pitch Rose is indeed realiable. He also assisted Kane in spurs 3rd for champions league the other day while walker hasn’t produced anything attacking wise since gw4 (rose since gw7). Nothing seems to separate them really, bar the all important £0.2 and perhaps some little better form from rose? Any relevant underlying stats you came across between these two? No?
Hummm
DMC, One underlying factor that would lead me towards Rose is that Ben Davies has been injured and so his natural replacement is not likely to rotate in for him. Walker will likely be rotated at some point and I wouldn’t be surprised if it was Wednesday.
But I haven’t checked the injury news on Davies this week, so maybe look into that before pulling the trigger.
Cheers Pancho. Yeah that he can’t be rotated as easily as walker would also favor him! Ben Dinnery does not have Davies injured though…
I agree with you on this Pancho, Pochettino likes to rest his full backs when possible and might view Hull as an easy fixture for Walker to sit out. Hench I am in two minds who to transfer in this week Walker,Rose, Vertonghen or David Luiz at Chelsea. Will probably side with Rose.