Fantasy Football Tips Gameweek 2
Two phrases I’ve learned and hated my entire adult life – ‘think outside the box’ and ‘introspect’. As though it mattered much, since my own life was involved in finance and statistics, where you actually look inside ‘boxes’ (and not those of the nice kind mind you) and introspecting gets you called a lackadaisical weirdo. We left that to the office shrink. But a new season of fantasy football is upon us. A lot of bets have been placed. Some (unjustifiable) ego and pride are at stake. Many of us are just a tad bit short of a suicidal Japanese-workaholic. And the only thing keeping us from tearing our hair out and sticking a pen in Slick Joe’s eye, as he lathers up yet another pretty new intern with his smooth words, hair, gestures and just the right touch on the elbow, is the fact that we get a few wry smiles and some resentful gesture of congratulations from those in the office pool every now and then. Then so be it! Think-out and introspect we shall.
A few things to deliberate right off the bat. Gameweek 1’s total average score of 53 from nearly 4.87 million accounts registered in Fantasy Premier League is quite high. Someone who is fantasy-football-geekier needs to help us out here with past years’ Gameweek 1 numbers. Regardless, the advice to new entrants is to keep close to the weekly global average (a little below it, match it, or even outdo it) if you want to salvage any of the things that you’ve wagered above – wages, pension, pride, wives, etc. It’ll keep your personal scores respectable, and might even help you win your office or ‘friends’ pool. The average score of total players is not always going to be this high, believe me (or don’t).
A lot of early punts have paid off. This is for those of you who are mesmerized by the person(s) who Triple-Captained United’s Shaw. There’ll be many such miracles over the course of the season. Not that Shaw is a bad player. He actually is a decent fullback, when he is off his KFC addiction. The fact that his dining-mate Rooney is no longer at United also helps. But the thing is – a lot of such accounts are one-week punts. Keep an eye on the number of Total Players. It will keep increasing every week from now on as these ‘one-week punters’ keep creating new accounts, buy the Gameweek’s most in-form players with the best fixtures, and outscore all else for just that one week. Or better still, keep an eye on the account(s) that triple-captained Shaw, or are in Gameweek 1’s Top Ten. They will disappear faster than the fifteen seconds glory that they had. Forget the miraculous punt on Shaw, even those of us average-Joes who took a chance with Neves, Jorginho, Kante, Jota, Fraser, any of Southampton’s defenders, Wan-Bissaka, Pereyra, etc (not Fulham’s Cairney) paid off significantly. The midfield looks especially attractive this year. And, not only because no forward player scored more than 8 points in Gameweek 1.
One last thing about punts, check out Gameweek 1’s Top 10 players – all with 131 to 137 points each. Every single one has used their Bench Boost tickets. Now this could be a viable strategy to get an early lead in the short run or they could be one of these one-week-punters. But, the Bench Boost and Triple Captain tickets better serves you at the end of the season, in my humble opinion. Like yesteryears, there’ll be a backlog of games due to the weather, cup competitions, internationals, Pogba’s hair, Kane’s claims, Mourinho’s moans, etc, etc. Therefore, if planned properly, boosting the bench or triple-captaining during those Double Gameweek (DGW) games will certainly raise your standings locally and globally. Comeback szn, Wrong Direction, SAZ F.C., my choice’ Jarcia’s PDAFC, #hashtagproblem, Lion UTD, Team_2, Clownprinceofcrime and Have it! FC … the current Top Ten, will make interesting case studies for an early Bench Boost (if nothing else) I’m certain.
Another phrase that I’ve learned and hated my entire life – “be patient”. It’s hard to be when FPL drops and raises its players’ prices every single week. Where you find you can afford Kun, Auba and Lukaku one week, you find you can’t afford any of the three the next week. But in the wise words of Master Yoda, “Patient, you must be”. If you have set up your GW1 team a certain way using nearly a month’s worth of research, tinkering, discussions, FF247’s feedback, downright kneejerk reactions, shamans, soothsayers, at 1 am in the backseat of your car after a fight with your missus; chances are the returns from this team will be better and bigger than just a few days’ tinkering. The caveat being that – if the players who have performed big in GW 1 are going to keep doing so in the middle and long-terms, then you’ll be priced out of a chance to cash-in on their price, points or form. I myself have been a fan of setting a team out for the mid and long terms and seeing how that plays out. It has served me well sometimes, and not so the other times. This year though, it seems the usual bets are going to pay off. A lot of fantasy leaguers have tripled-up on the big teams of Manchester City and Liverpool. I also see at least two players from other top teams like United, Chelsea, Tottenham, and Arsenal; and from good safe bets like Crystal Palace, Everton? Sounthampton? and Wolves. Which is why, if I were given an option, I would wait, save those Free Transfers (FT) over a week or two before pulling the plug.
I’ve scored 88 points for GW1. It’s pretty decent. I am not a regular blogger, expert, commentator, or even writer for this site like Cookie, innittowinit, Raz, AT, Gallant Pioneer, Kop Warrior, Rosco, and et.al. But I have contributed an article before and have been invited to do so again. I guess any gobsmack has a niche these days. I have cracked the Top 1000 once before (it would‘ve been Top 500 but I got cocky). And if all this is not enough credibility, I have a free FF247 T-Shirt to prove it. Cheers and have an awesome season ahead!
Thanks for reading A Midsummer Night’s Fantasy … (Football Musings). This article was written by Punk Dragon
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Nice article Punk. Thanks.
For now, Patient I am.
should I hold fire or get someone in this week?
with iheanacho, i was inspired by one of AT’s many drafts and ended up drafting him in. regret it big time now with vardy back this week and him being on the bench lol
any1 got thoughts on the above? upgrade ihneacho to zaha and downgrade eriksen to bsilva?
Iheanacho may start alongside Vardy this weekend against Wolves (opening home game so likely to be going all out for the win). Best to see how the manager lines them up before deciding. I would move Peltier to first sub just in case and you have W-B as the auto sub in case Ih and Pelt don’t play. The rest of your team looks good. I would hold Eriksen as your only TOT cover (you already have Mendy and Aguero)
Feeling good about my squad’s depth for the next 10 weeks or so… my City and Liverpool players are basically fixture-proof, and looking at fixtures, I feel like I have plenty of decent options to bench players when they have a tough game.
I think Tosun will potentially be out for Zaha next week, but other than that, I expect my team to stay much like it is for the first part of the season…
Only real concerns are my lack of Spurs and Arsenal coverage…
Any thoughts?
Do you have enough funds to bring in Lucas Moura (TOT)? With Son away on Asia duty, Lucas have have a solid few weeks. Don’t worry about ARS coverage for now – wait and see how the team and new manager bed in before jumping onto that bandwagon. Otherwise the team looks strong.
Hey guys, good to be back! Took a different approach to fpl this summer and didn’t pay attention to twitter or my team until the very end. Think it paid off with not questioning myself or changing my team countless times. 78 points from this team and plan on holding my transfer unless an injury occurs. My goal this season is to take less -4 hits.
In other news… Word on the twitter street is that KDB injured his knee
KDB suffered a knee injury in training and could be out for 2 months plus according to reports on twitter.
I’ve just seen this as well.
Panic stations for plenty of people if true.
I have B Silva. Hopefully he will get rotated less now. Although never trust pep.
It is true, sadly…
Who do we think this benefits the most? B.Silva, Mahrez, Sane, Sterling?
My guess is two of Mahrez, Sane, Sterling play each week. With KDB out B.Silva could be the main beneficiary?
Or maybe it’s even further back, i.e. Gündogan?
I don’t know it I can trust any other player in that midfield.
Should be D. Silva?
I think the answer is Gündogan.
I think B.Silva.He’s the form player anyway and offers more than Gundogan.When D Silva is ready to go i think him and Gundogan are more likely to rotate.
agree with brooky above ^^
oh ffs
Bloody hell! Is the news about KDB creditable? Should I make the transfer now or wait till pressers?
I’m in same boat here! Gotta sell but for who? Mane perhaps then… Couldn’t have had a worse start for this season :rant:
Yeah I’m well pissed now! I don’t trust any other City midfield but I also don’t trust Kun to be my only City attack as he’ll probably get dropped too.
Lol, this is exactly my thought process. Sterling, think 11m is too much. The rest are risky, probably B.Silva edging it for me, but reluctant. And have Kun but not comfortable with him alone as he might get rotated. Annoying!
Almost certainly will be to switch KDB for Mane and risk only one city attacker until a couple more GWs until we know more.
Yeah that’s something I’m considering myself. It’s either Mane, Bilva or Dilva for me.
I’ll be taking a hit to replace KDB
Probably going with B.Silva.
As long as his price isn’t about to drop wait for more information.
I think by tomorrow he could be close to dropping. Right now reports say 2-3 months.
Same boat mate. Will see what transfer I want to make, if they become difficult without the 0.1m (if he drops), then will transfer him out early depending on fplstatistics – currently have him at -12.1% (mostly muppets selling him after first gw I bet).
No need to make your transfer just yet Matt,wait till Friday at least.If the Kdb injury has proved anything, its going early on transfers is a mistake !
There’s two ways of looking at this, Brooky. Waiting till Friday could cost 0.2m or so in team value as KDB’s price may fall and a good replacement’s price will surely rise. I’d ship out KDB and bring in Pereyra pronto.