Captains Picks Fantasy Football Gameweek 13 – Fantasy Premier League 2014/15
There’s no time for fluffy introductions this week guys and gals. No, no, no. This week we’re just talking hardcore fantasy football FACTS and STATS! No personal stuff just to help hit a word count target. No chance. Just an article full of statistic after statistic to help you make the right captain choice for this week. That’s what matters to you, and so that’s what matters to me. No waffle. Just facts. There’s no time to reminisce anymore about my glory days on the Saffron Walden High School playing fields. Nope, they’ll be none of that this week. We’ll be far too deeply engrossed in Shots-on-Goal %’s to worry about the rest of my story from last time out, where my team eventually won a match that went down in legend as the most violent lunchtime game in the school’s history. No sir. Not on my watch. We’ll be far too busy wading through EA Sports Player Performance Indexes to tell you that my own personal performance on that day was enough to win the affections of the (widely acknowledged) 3rd hottest girl in year 10. Definitely nowhere near enough time to tell you if that Year 9 kid ever made it out of the stinging nettles. And don’t even think about asking me what happened to Diego Pele (may he rest in peace) after I gave him his big break as my first pick in the aforementioned epic lunchtime match up. Nope, just stats. How many so far? 250 words? Already?! Perfect.
So here we go…..
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[/three_fourth]Diego Costa and Eden Hazard (Chelsea. Away vs Sunderland)
First up, Diego. He’s back, he’s healthy, and he’s scoring goals. 2 in his last 2 games for the Spanish Brazilian, and he’s looking sharp and rested. (He was unlucky not to have had at least a hat-trick in his last game.)
Of all the Premier league players that have played a reasonable number of games, he tops the ‘% of Shots on target’ league table with an impressive 63.6%. (See, stats, I told you). Don’t be put off by the fact that Chelsea have lost their last two games against Sunderland. They’re clearly the form team of the Premiership, and Diego wasn’t playing in those previous games. He’s scored 11 goals (still no assists) and has picked up 9bps so far this season, and it’d be a brave man to bet against him adding to his goal tally this weekend.
Costa’s also 2nd in the official, accredited, proper stat based, EA Sports Index. I thought you’d want to know that. Granted, I am not exactly sure what that is, or how it’s calculated, but any organization that can produce John Madden ’94 on the Sega Megadrive/Genesis carries a lot of credibility in my house. Look it up kids. It puts all other games to shame. Anyway….
Another wise captain choice this week would be Diego’s team mate – 4 goal/2 assist/12 bps…. I give you, Eden Hazard. Aka the most fouled player in the Premier League. The diminutive midfielder has hit form in recent weeks (2 goals in his last 3 games) and whilst that form on the pitch hasn’t always translated into fantasy points, a big fantasy score can’t be far away. He was definitely playing more centrally against WBA last weekend, and should that continue, it will further his chances for shots/goals. Despite Sunderland becoming somewhat of a bogey team for Chelsea, Hazard actually has a good record against them (2 goals in his last 2 appearances). He’s the league’s most successful dribbler this season (65% success rate), and before you ask, of course I know where he is on the EA Sports Index. He’s 3rd.
And finally, in case you’re one of those (like me) already chasing down a big lead in your mini league, it might also be worth noting that Hazard still has a relatively low ownership at just 17%. Could be a nice differential option if he scores big.
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Wayne Rooney and Angel di Maria (Man Utd. Home vs Hull)
If the Chelsea boys don’t do it for you this week, then maybe you can find a recipient for your captain’s armband in this rather tasty match up at Old Trafford. Hot off their victory at the Emirates, Man Utd face a Hull side that haven’t beaten them at home since 1952. Now that’s what I call a bogey team!
The first of the two stand-out United players is Wayne Rooney. He’s looked really sharp since his return from suspension, with two goals for England against their neighbours north of the border, and a breakaway goal to finish off Arsenal on Saturday.
His stats against Hull are scarily good. (Look away now if you have a Hull defender.) Man United have scored 3 or more goals in each of their last 4 games against Hull, and Rooney himself has scored 6 in his last four games against them.
His stats overall this season aren’t that bad either. He’s clocked up the same number of goals and assists as Hazard (4 and 2 respectively), in just 75% of the playing time. He’s also got a low ownership at just 14%. To give that some context, Costa has an ownership of 59%.
The second of the United players worthy of captaincy consideration is the chap who looks like he should be stuck on the side of a church. Gargoyle Di Maria.
With poor ol’ Man United still struggling for fit strikers, Di Maria took up a central forward role against Arsenal on the weekend. (Something fantasy owners love to see their midfielders doing.) If this continues, it could further enhance his point’s potential in what we’ve already established as a fairly winnable fixture.
“Waffle!” “Conjecture!” “We want facts!” Wow. Tough crowd. Here you go then my little stat goblins…
ADM has racked up 3 goals, 6 assists and 7bps so far this season. He has put in the second most crosses of all Premier league players. (Tadic with the most). He puts through 3.1 key passes per game (That’s more than Messi and Ronaldo, and is the 3rd most in the Premiership), and takes the 3rd most shots from outside the penalty area. His shot accuracy is 48%, which isn’t bad either. Especially when you consider his attempted dink over the Arsenal goalie. Awful.
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[/three_fourth]Alexis Sanchez (Arsenal. Away vs WBA)
It may not be quite as tasty a match up as the Utd vs Hull game, but this one is still a pretty nice fixture for the Wenger boys to get a much needed win after their home defeat on Saturday. WBA haven’t beaten Arsenal at the Hawthorns since 2005, when Darren Carter volleyed in a 20 yarder to claim a 2-1 win. A goal that won him the WBA goal of the season competition that year, and proved to be a career high for the youngster who now makes a living at lowly Northampton. Poor old Darren. I digress. Where was I..?Sanchez. Ah yes. Sanchez is in rich vein of form to say the least. 6 goals in his last 5 games, and has only failed to pick up all 3 bonus points once over that period! His season total stats show 8 goals, 2 assists and 15 bonus points, and his EA Sports Index (I know it’s growing on you), is currently 4th. He has one of the highest Shots-on-target %’s in the league and is 5th in the percentage of successful dribbles. You can feel safe with the armband on Sanchez this week.
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Joey Barton (QPR. Home vs Leicester)
Just look at his stats.. He’s just played his first 90 minutes since August, so he’ll be fresh and raring to go. He’s averaging 2.8 key passes per game this season. (Di Maria only averages 3.1!) He’s had 6 shots so far this season. He once scored direct from a corner in the Europa League for Marseille, so you know the talent is there. This week’s matchup is against lowly Leicester City. He averages a goal every 10 games, and hasn’t scored for the last 30. Which means he’s due a hatrick this weekend!!
Errr…yeah. So finally this week, in what (I hope you’ll agree) has been a stat-filled feast, I would like to insert a small word of caution by reminding you that stats can tell you whatever you want them to say. Not to say I’ve made them up. I haven’t. The EA Sports Index is real. I promise. My point is that there are so many stats / advice / trends / info out there, you can talk yourself into (or out of) anything. Case in point being the scouse intellectual cage fighting philosopher, Mr Joseph Barton.
Sometimes, you’ve just got to ignore everything else and go with your gut.
Good luck this week everybody. I’ll be placing my trust in Diego Costa.
Thanks for reading Captain’s Picks Fantasy Football Gameweek 13. This article was written by Chins
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WooFBet
After the success of last weeks FF247 tournament we are delighted to announce we are teaming up with WooFBet again ahead of Gameweek 13. The tournament will again be free to enter and have another €150 prize-pool to be split between the highest finishers. Jamie from WooFBet will be along later in the comments to explain a bit more and will be asking how our members would like the competition structured going forward with regard to splitting the prize fund etc. Please extend him the usual FF247 welcome!
Thank you to those that entered last week, we are sure you found it a fun and simple experience and we are glad to say 17 of you were able to win some real money from it! Particular congratulations to Tommy Tilt, who out of 94 entrants, went and won the whole thing with a prize of €37.50.
Over on the WooFBet website they also have a bunch of other free and paid entry tournaments to enter. Running from Gameweek 14 to Gameweek 19 is a ‘Decembers Best Manager’ tournament, which is also free to enter and has a whopping €500 up for grabs.
To enter, visit woofbet.com and sign up (no card details required). Navigate to the Tournament section and click participate on the ‘Decembers Best Manager – €500 FREEROLL’.
Isn’t it time your fantasy manager job finally paid off!
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Don’t forget to vote on our Captains Poll
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Howdy folks. Thoughts on this lot? Forster -> Fabianski is the transfer i have in mind. Mannone and King need sorting too. 1 FT, 0.1m in the kitty (loaded ).
NiN assuming you want to keep Downing even if he is possibly out this GW, I like the move. There are concerns over Costa also, so something to keep your eye on.
6 team sheets will be released before GW14 and with possible rotation in place, perhaps having two transfers in the kitty is not the worst idea when the deadline rolls around. So that could also be an option.
Thanks Mito. Yeah i’m hoping to keep Downing for a while yet, hopefully he’s fit for Saturday. Has Costa been injured again? I haven’t heard anything about it if so.
NIN
Costa withdrawn last night against Schalke with “a knock”. I don’t think it will be anything serious and I’m sure he’ll play at the weekend.
Assuming your Everton boys make it through tomorrow nights game against Wolfsburg, I’d think the goalie trade is a sensible one.
In the long/medium term I think you’d be better off with only one of Baines/Coleman (Baines for me) and upgrading your bench. Like Mito alluded to December will see plenty of rotation and injuries and you don’t want to get caught with a crap bench
Thanks GP. Doesn’t sound like there’s much to worry about there :thumbup:
SAF – Cheers, King will be going soon enough hopefully, same with Mannone. It’s proving difficult to get them out what with all the recent injuries and that.
Anyone online who can help with my two free transfers? Team is linked, was thinking Downing and Pelle out for Rooney and Jedinak.
Good idea or no……
Or maybe just Pelle out for Bony?
If you can afford the two moves, it’s a good idea right now – at least for Rooney because he seems to be bang on form for club and country.
Full time
I think those are very decent moves with United’s fixtures in the near future.
I’d hold off though incase you have injuries to deal with. Here’s hoping Duff and Baines will both be fit.
Full time, yes, i think both of them are good moves.
Good luck for this weekend.
Cheers mito
Chins you legend hahaha Ive only just read the intro and loving it already!! I’ll let you know how the rest of the article is tho
Thanks Migs!
I wouldn’t bother reading the rest. It goes downhill quickly.
Chins
Barton? Whatever put that notion in your head 😉
Brilliant article mate. Enjoyable read especially the non-waffle intro.
Thanks TGP. I’ll leave the concise fact based ones to you and Calvin.
Chins
I bluff it. Thank goodness no one yet checks my stats or I’d be out on my ear.
Hi guys,
How does Clyne-Taylor sound?
Morning Tom
If you are getting rid of Clyne, then either Chelsea or Swansea are the best options.
Taylor on four yellows though so make sure you have a back up incase he is suspended for one.
yeah, he would be on my bench anyway. I can cover him
Tom
If you are only bringing in Taylor for the bench then I’d question whether the transfer is worth it at all.
Clyne is a great attacking option to own and Taylor if you get him, surely you’ll use him when he has a great run of fixtures?
rethought my team. Taylor would probably rotate with Hutton on and off the bench, (i am getting Hutton in next week)