Captains Picks Fantasy Football Gameweek 13 – Fantasy Premier League 2014/15
There’s no time for fluffy introductions this week guys and gals. No, no, no. This week we’re just talking hardcore fantasy football FACTS and STATS! No personal stuff just to help hit a word count target. No chance. Just an article full of statistic after statistic to help you make the right captain choice for this week. That’s what matters to you, and so that’s what matters to me. No waffle. Just facts. There’s no time to reminisce anymore about my glory days on the Saffron Walden High School playing fields. Nope, they’ll be none of that this week. We’ll be far too deeply engrossed in Shots-on-Goal %’s to worry about the rest of my story from last time out, where my team eventually won a match that went down in legend as the most violent lunchtime game in the school’s history. No sir. Not on my watch. We’ll be far too busy wading through EA Sports Player Performance Indexes to tell you that my own personal performance on that day was enough to win the affections of the (widely acknowledged) 3rd hottest girl in year 10. Definitely nowhere near enough time to tell you if that Year 9 kid ever made it out of the stinging nettles. And don’t even think about asking me what happened to Diego Pele (may he rest in peace) after I gave him his big break as my first pick in the aforementioned epic lunchtime match up. Nope, just stats. How many so far? 250 words? Already?! Perfect.
So here we go…..
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[/three_fourth]Diego Costa and Eden Hazard (Chelsea. Away vs Sunderland)
First up, Diego. He’s back, he’s healthy, and he’s scoring goals. 2 in his last 2 games for the Spanish Brazilian, and he’s looking sharp and rested. (He was unlucky not to have had at least a hat-trick in his last game.)
Of all the Premier league players that have played a reasonable number of games, he tops the ‘% of Shots on target’ league table with an impressive 63.6%. (See, stats, I told you). Don’t be put off by the fact that Chelsea have lost their last two games against Sunderland. They’re clearly the form team of the Premiership, and Diego wasn’t playing in those previous games. He’s scored 11 goals (still no assists) and has picked up 9bps so far this season, and it’d be a brave man to bet against him adding to his goal tally this weekend.
Costa’s also 2nd in the official, accredited, proper stat based, EA Sports Index. I thought you’d want to know that. Granted, I am not exactly sure what that is, or how it’s calculated, but any organization that can produce John Madden ’94 on the Sega Megadrive/Genesis carries a lot of credibility in my house. Look it up kids. It puts all other games to shame. Anyway….
Another wise captain choice this week would be Diego’s team mate – 4 goal/2 assist/12 bps…. I give you, Eden Hazard. Aka the most fouled player in the Premier League. The diminutive midfielder has hit form in recent weeks (2 goals in his last 3 games) and whilst that form on the pitch hasn’t always translated into fantasy points, a big fantasy score can’t be far away. He was definitely playing more centrally against WBA last weekend, and should that continue, it will further his chances for shots/goals. Despite Sunderland becoming somewhat of a bogey team for Chelsea, Hazard actually has a good record against them (2 goals in his last 2 appearances). He’s the league’s most successful dribbler this season (65% success rate), and before you ask, of course I know where he is on the EA Sports Index. He’s 3rd.
And finally, in case you’re one of those (like me) already chasing down a big lead in your mini league, it might also be worth noting that Hazard still has a relatively low ownership at just 17%. Could be a nice differential option if he scores big.
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Wayne Rooney and Angel di Maria (Man Utd. Home vs Hull)
If the Chelsea boys don’t do it for you this week, then maybe you can find a recipient for your captain’s armband in this rather tasty match up at Old Trafford. Hot off their victory at the Emirates, Man Utd face a Hull side that haven’t beaten them at home since 1952. Now that’s what I call a bogey team!
The first of the two stand-out United players is Wayne Rooney. He’s looked really sharp since his return from suspension, with two goals for England against their neighbours north of the border, and a breakaway goal to finish off Arsenal on Saturday.
His stats against Hull are scarily good. (Look away now if you have a Hull defender.) Man United have scored 3 or more goals in each of their last 4 games against Hull, and Rooney himself has scored 6 in his last four games against them.
His stats overall this season aren’t that bad either. He’s clocked up the same number of goals and assists as Hazard (4 and 2 respectively), in just 75% of the playing time. He’s also got a low ownership at just 14%. To give that some context, Costa has an ownership of 59%.
The second of the United players worthy of captaincy consideration is the chap who looks like he should be stuck on the side of a church. Gargoyle Di Maria.
With poor ol’ Man United still struggling for fit strikers, Di Maria took up a central forward role against Arsenal on the weekend. (Something fantasy owners love to see their midfielders doing.) If this continues, it could further enhance his point’s potential in what we’ve already established as a fairly winnable fixture.
“Waffle!” “Conjecture!” “We want facts!” Wow. Tough crowd. Here you go then my little stat goblins…
ADM has racked up 3 goals, 6 assists and 7bps so far this season. He has put in the second most crosses of all Premier league players. (Tadic with the most). He puts through 3.1 key passes per game (That’s more than Messi and Ronaldo, and is the 3rd most in the Premiership), and takes the 3rd most shots from outside the penalty area. His shot accuracy is 48%, which isn’t bad either. Especially when you consider his attempted dink over the Arsenal goalie. Awful.
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[/three_fourth]Alexis Sanchez (Arsenal. Away vs WBA)
It may not be quite as tasty a match up as the Utd vs Hull game, but this one is still a pretty nice fixture for the Wenger boys to get a much needed win after their home defeat on Saturday. WBA haven’t beaten Arsenal at the Hawthorns since 2005, when Darren Carter volleyed in a 20 yarder to claim a 2-1 win. A goal that won him the WBA goal of the season competition that year, and proved to be a career high for the youngster who now makes a living at lowly Northampton. Poor old Darren. I digress. Where was I..?Sanchez. Ah yes. Sanchez is in rich vein of form to say the least. 6 goals in his last 5 games, and has only failed to pick up all 3 bonus points once over that period! His season total stats show 8 goals, 2 assists and 15 bonus points, and his EA Sports Index (I know it’s growing on you), is currently 4th. He has one of the highest Shots-on-target %’s in the league and is 5th in the percentage of successful dribbles. You can feel safe with the armband on Sanchez this week.
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Joey Barton (QPR. Home vs Leicester)
Just look at his stats.. He’s just played his first 90 minutes since August, so he’ll be fresh and raring to go. He’s averaging 2.8 key passes per game this season. (Di Maria only averages 3.1!) He’s had 6 shots so far this season. He once scored direct from a corner in the Europa League for Marseille, so you know the talent is there. This week’s matchup is against lowly Leicester City. He averages a goal every 10 games, and hasn’t scored for the last 30. Which means he’s due a hatrick this weekend!!
Errr…yeah. So finally this week, in what (I hope you’ll agree) has been a stat-filled feast, I would like to insert a small word of caution by reminding you that stats can tell you whatever you want them to say. Not to say I’ve made them up. I haven’t. The EA Sports Index is real. I promise. My point is that there are so many stats / advice / trends / info out there, you can talk yourself into (or out of) anything. Case in point being the scouse intellectual cage fighting philosopher, Mr Joseph Barton.
Sometimes, you’ve just got to ignore everything else and go with your gut.
Good luck this week everybody. I’ll be placing my trust in Diego Costa.
Thanks for reading Captain’s Picks Fantasy Football Gameweek 13. This article was written by Chins
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WooFBet
After the success of last weeks FF247 tournament we are delighted to announce we are teaming up with WooFBet again ahead of Gameweek 13. The tournament will again be free to enter and have another €150 prize-pool to be split between the highest finishers. Jamie from WooFBet will be along later in the comments to explain a bit more and will be asking how our members would like the competition structured going forward with regard to splitting the prize fund etc. Please extend him the usual FF247 welcome!
Thank you to those that entered last week, we are sure you found it a fun and simple experience and we are glad to say 17 of you were able to win some real money from it! Particular congratulations to Tommy Tilt, who out of 94 entrants, went and won the whole thing with a prize of €37.50.
Over on the WooFBet website they also have a bunch of other free and paid entry tournaments to enter. Running from Gameweek 14 to Gameweek 19 is a ‘Decembers Best Manager’ tournament, which is also free to enter and has a whopping €500 up for grabs.
To enter, visit woofbet.com and sign up (no card details required). Navigate to the Tournament section and click participate on the ‘Decembers Best Manager – €500 FREEROLL’.
Isn’t it time your fantasy manager job finally paid off!
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Don’t forget to vote on our Captains Poll
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As it a Champion’s League night, don’t forget The Banterbury Champions League that Start’s in the New Year http://t.co/XZEkW2BTl3
Next weekend is Banterbury Help For Heroes Cup 4th Rd,the last 32, the draw with take place on Thursday 4th Dec from 8pm @FantasyFooty247 with @PottyProcky http://t.co/FgcSjen5ku
And finally your Banterbury Leagues in Association with FF247 : Game-week 12 Results/Tables http://t.co/ovHsmt7zEf #FPL
Bench
Excellent mate thanks for it.
Both top of our leagues I see?
I have a better points difference , mind you 😉
Hi guys!
In a bit of trouble with my team. I have a few yellows but I’m not sure how serious they are.
I have 1 FT and 0.7 in the bank. Can anyone see players that won’t get points that need to be transferred?
Any help would be great, cheers!
Hi makeya, I have the same four yellows and it seems we don’t have another option but to wait for the pressers to have some more info.
+1. I am guessing that you will need to get rid of Downing or Chadli. If the latter then Siggy is the obvious choice.
I really need some help here guys!
My team is:
Forster / Guzan
Baines / Duff / N. Taylor / Hutton / Wisdom
ADM / Hazard / Sanchez / Zaha / Cork
Aguero / Pelle / Austin
1 FT and 1.0 ITB
I need to get Zaha out and thinking about bringing in Jedinak instead.
Planning to spend the money on upgrading Forster to Courtois.
However, I dont no if I could continue without Costa, and I feel the need to take out Pelle. But probably cant do this without taking out ADM, Sanchez or Hazard, which I would feel bad about too. Should i try a direct swap to Bony and lettting go of the Costa dream?
I would sleep uneasy without Costa on my team. I would drop Pelle for Costa but I’d be conflicted over who to sell to get the extra cash. I’m leaning towards shipping Sanchez from my side. With the way he plays I can’t imagine him surviving this hectic schedule without a knock. But that’s just my two cents.
Bony not a bad punt but with Chelsea’s fixtures I could see Costa form explode. That or his hamstring.
Good luck!
Hey guys, not the greatest GW but still around 15K overall.
Krul (Heaton)
Moore N.Taylor Baines (Wisdom Bertrand)
Di Maria Sanchez Siggy Chadli (King)
Austin Costa C, Aguero VC
1FT 0.3m itb
Now I am not sure what I should do…. And I dont mind taking a 4PH (havent taken any yet this season).
Who is more urgent…
1) Bertrand to Yun or Hutton and upgrade Moore next GW (Sell Bertrand before the price drop)
2) Basically I need to ship out Moore and Bertrand, think Bertrand 1st before he drops. But for who? I will have 9.6m to spend on 2 defenders.
3) For some reason I want to do Di Maria out for Hazard/Fab… Yes Di Maria has great fixtures, but he has been inconsistant (Yes people are coming back and he should improve) but look at Chelsea’s fixtures… Can Costa alone be enough cover??
Jeez I really cannot decide what to do… Help!? Suggestions?
Cheers Pan, here are my thoughts, in the order I would address them:
3) If you are going to ship Di Maria then I would do this first, and I would do it in favor of Fab. This would free up extra cash for you to use to address your defense. Personally, I favor Di Maria with their fixtures ahead & I’ll be keeping him in my side.
2) Assuming you keep Di Maria, I would keep Bertrand for now (he’s still trending upwards) and address Moore. Maybe Moore -> Hutton?
I don’t think Bertrand necessarily needs to be dropped. You won’t be getting the same number of clean sheets you were before, but you won’t get them with any replacement in the price range you have. As he’s a part of Soton’s attack, I would stick with Bertrand for now.
Cheers!
Hey everyone! Some help and advice would be appreciated! My current team is below or linked. I think it is about time to get Aguero which means Pelle out, Lloris to a cheaper GK and downgrading one of either ADM, Fabregas or Sanchez. What are peoples thoughts? Alternatively I could do Pelle to Jovetic as a differential and upgrade elsewhere. Thoughts?
I know one is a -8 hit but the two teams I could get are…
I’d vote for Option #1. I don’t know if its because he looks to me like a gopher or if its his XXXXXXXXXXXL-sized neck, but I’m not sold on Jovetic. I’m assuming Chadli & Neckboy would rotate? That might make more sense to me, though I would still fancy a different striker for you. And I would prefer Fabianski to Foster, but now I think I’ve talked myself into Option #2.
No, go with Option 1. I wouldn’t want to go forward without Aguero.
Cheers!
It’s a tough choice and I’m in two minds! Firstly there is more strength in depth to Option 2 and Jovetic set up the third goal last night and did well last weekend. This also means I have a very strong midfield. If I go with Option 1 yes I get Aguero but my midfield gets compromised so I can’t decide!
For me, I think there are much better differentials out there than Jovetic. The two that have two home games coming up are Bony and Rooney (I’m probably going to ship out Pelle for Bony once the European matches are out the way and I know nobody has killed any of my players)
I agree, one of your keepers needs to go as you’ve got cash tied up in expensive goalies. Either have a def starter (Forster, Fab, Courtois etc) and a non-starter at 4.0m or two 4.5’s that you can rotate depending on fixtures and form. My two are Krul and Foster, and tbh, they’ve done a sterling job so far! The only week I messed up was when WBA beat Tottenham away and I had Fozzy sat on my bench with a tonne of points.
Personally, I’d stay clear of spending your well earnt points!
Baines wasn’t mentioned specifically by Martinez in tonight’s presser, but the manager said, “some
of the injured players have a small chance of playing at the weekend.”
Probably not the most optimistic words we could have been told. Next stop
– Friday’s presser!
Are the West Ham and Burnley Conferences both Friday? They are the main ones for my team. Sakho and Duff in question.
If they are both fit I think I am going to go in with a double up on Chelsea defence.
West Ham is usually on a Thursday yes, Burnley varies. Apologies in advance but I won’t be around tomorrow to relay the info.
Thanks for the reply, I will keep an eye out for any info and I look forward to your brilliant summary on Friday that I always read with my Fish and chips. Great Friday routine.
Can’t beat Fish n Chip Friday, with you all the way there!