Fantasy Football Tips Gameweek 5
Hello everyone and welcome to Fantasy Football Tips Gameweek 5.
I wrote my introduction copy for this article a few days ago. In it I lamented the International Break, threw in a few clichés about it being far too soon for FPL managers, and chucked in a few funnies about Luke Shaw banging his head, and how it may do more good than harm in his case. Then I read Cookies Fixtures article where he talked about the International Break in his intro, AT did likewise in his Captains article. All of which left my intro a little redundant. So here I am, a man with no intro, but in telling you why I have no intro, I have in effect given you an intro. How about we just get to the tips, eh?
Goalkeepers
I’m not a fan of rotating keepers. I’ve tried it, never works. Every season I start with my two £4.5’s and I invariably end up going back to a set and forget, usually a premium keeper; De Gea last season, Ederson this. Simple rules for simple boys.
So with the above in mind, this week I’ve picked out a keeper in each price bracket, so wether you’re a ‘rotator’ or a ‘set and forgetter’, there should be something for you. I bring you the good, the bad and the ugly.
The Good
If you’re going to ‘set and forget’ you have to go ‘premium’ right? Well if you do, you can’t go far wrong with Ederson Santana de Moraes . Sure, he looks like someone who would steal your car, not to mention your daughters… well you get the picture, but there’s no denying that the Man City keeper is a worthy fantasy asset. Not only does he play for what will likely be one of the tightest defences in the league once again this season, but we now know he gets assists too, goals may be next on his list. City still have an envious set of fixtures, lets face it we’ll be saying that all season, but I do expect him to add to his solitary clean-sheet in the coming weeks.
The Bad
If you’re going to ‘set and forget’ you have to go ‘premium’ right? Well no, actually. Lets face it, what’s the difference between having a premium set and forget and one that is £5.0 or even £4.5m? Not a lot, well apart from a few clean sheets less, but if you choose wisely, watch the fixtures and you’re keen to make savings at the back, then the right £5.0m keeper can be just as fortuitous as their more expensive rivals, from time to time at least. Kasper Schmeichelis the man who gets the nod in this bracket. Why is he ‘The Bad’? Well he’s only kept a single clean-sheet this season and kept just 8 all of last season. So why is he here? Well it’s those fixtures. Leicester face just one of last seasons top 6 (Arsenal in GW9) in their next 11 matches, their home fixtures look good, and their away ones don’t look too shabby either.
The Ugly
Oof, even I can’t believe I’m going here. Just the one clean-sheet thus far, but in GW4 Joe Hart managed 10 points in a 0-2 defeat thanks to his penalty save, 7 other saves and 2 bonus points. No longer burdened with the distraction of European competition, there’s a good chance we may start to see some better performances from Sean Dyche’s men. If Burnley can safely negotiate Wolves(A) and Bournemouth(H) in their next two, they then face Cardiff(A) and Huddersfield(H), both of which could yield clean-sheets. I’ll not be going there, but if you’re a cheapskate, he might be worth a punt.
Defenders
Stating the bleeding obvious…
I played my Wildcard in GW3 mainly to get in Marcos Alonso, regrets I’ve had a few, playing my Wildcard early? No Siree. Another Assist in GW4 takes his tally to 5 in 4 and 44pts for the season, he’s also scored and has two clean sheets, with more surely on the horizon. It’s not inconceivable to think he’ll break the 200pts barrier at this rate. At £6.8m, Alonso is a bargain, regardless of position.
‘I’m going with Trent, £6.0 is too much for Andrew Robertson and Trent could score just as well’, so said one fellow in my work mini league. Well no actually he won’t, but crack on mate. If you did go for TAA, I feel bad for you son, I got ninety-nine problems but Robbo ain’t one. Tricky fixtures up next for The Reds, but Robertson showed in GW4 that he’s more than capable of getting a return even when the clean-sheet is thrown away by your ‘too cool for school’ keeper.
Manchester City have kept just a solitary clean sheet in their opening 4 matches. It’s not right but it’s ok, because Benjamin Mendy still has 32pts on the board. Like Alonso, Mendy notched his fifth assist in GW4. With Fulham (H), Cardiff (A) and Brighton (H) up next, Mendy will have plenty of opportunities to add clean-sheets to his repertoire.
Life outside the template
Guy tipped José Holebas last week despite Watford’s tricky GW4 fixture against Spurs, how right he was too. Another brace of assists and BPS takes him to 34pts for the season. Will Holebas continue his form? Well the 192k FPL managers who’ve purchased him over the International Break week certainly seem to think so. It’s Manchester United up next, but as the song goes ‘Who the f@ck are Man United?’ Indeed.
Looking for a low ownership defender with a set of decent looking fixtures on the horizon and an eye for goal? Look no further. Burnley may have only kept one clean sheet, but defender James Tarkowski has already racked up 20pts thanks to goals in gameweek’s 2 and 3. If going with Joe Hart is a little too much for you palette, Tarkowski could be the way to go.
If you don’t fancy Burnley’s chances then how about Leicester’s? As I’ve already mentioned, other than Arsenal in GW9, the Foxes don’t face another Top 6 side until GW16. Defender Ricardo Pereira already has 2 assists, despite tricky opening fixtures. With the return of old rat face, there’s every chance Pereira will add to that tally and throw in a few clean sheets to boot.
Defensively Wolves haven’t looked too bad this season, they were finally rewarded in GW4 with their first win and clean sheet. £4.0 defender Ryan Bennett is getting a lot of attention this game-week; almost 70,000 managers have brought him in thanks to his bargain basement price. If however you want more bang for your buck, I suggest you splash the extra £0.4m and go for his teammate Matt Doherty . In GW4 he was amongst the top 5 defenders for big chances created, shots inside the box and final third touches, no surprise given the advanced position he often operates in. With a decent run of fixtures through until GW11 a Wolves defender could be frugal back up when one of your big hitters is inevitably rested or rotated.
Midfielders
With games against Tottenham, Chelsea and Man City in their next 4 some people may have considered dropping their Liverpool assets, well I have both Sadio Manéand Mo Salah and neither will be leaving my team. Mané is deservedly getting the plaudits and another goal in GW4 see’s him second only to Marcos Alonso for overall points. My tip? If you have them don’t bin them, and if you’re on a Wildcard keep one if not both, because ‘shoulda woulda couda’ are the last words of a fool.
However, if you do choose to drop one of the Liverpool men, then you must surely be doing it to squeeze Eden Hazard into your team. Another player tipped by Guy in GW4 (I’m not copying honest!), Hazard picked up another 11pts thanks to a goal and maximum BPS in GW4. He’s pushing 20% ownership and despite facing Liverpool and Manchester Utd in Gameweeks 7 and 8, Chelsea have an attractive set of fixtures that stretch through to GW13. If you’re brave and have no other issues you could even play the Hokey Cokey with him and Salah over the next few weeks, the thought has crossed my mind.
Early investment in Manchester City’s midfield has proved to be as frustrating as predicted. Bernardo Silva was flavour of the month in GW1, that didn’t last, KDB got injured, Mahrez has been crap and Sane can’t even get in the squad. So it’s with slight trepidation that I make my next suggestion. David Silva has started the last three, and although he picked up a solitary 2pts against my lot in GW4, he still had more shots on goal, shots in the box, penalty box touches and created more chances than any other player at the Etihad. With just a 6.8% ownership and games against Fulham(H), Cardiff(A) and Brighton(H) in City’s next 3, Silva could be one hell of a differential. Get him early before we all want him.
Whilst Aleksandar Mitrović has grabbed the headlines for Fulham in recent weeks, André Schürrle has been quietly going about his business with a goal in each of his last 2 games. It’s Manchester City up next for the Cottagers, so you may want to hold off on this one, but if you don’t own Mitro then at £5.9m Schürrle could perhaps ‘cover’ Mitro’s points, well some of them anyway. A quick look at the stats shows that other than the 2 extra goals Mitro has scored, there’s not that much between them; shots per 90 – 5.4 to Mitro’s 4.5, Shots on goal – 14 to Mitro’s 18. With a 4.8% ownership he’s could be another great differential if you’re looking to stay one step ahead of your mini leagues.
Have Mitro and not keen on doubling up? Well how about Leicester’s James Maddison? The former Norwich man has successfully made the transition from Championship to Premier league and has passed ‘the eye test’ from the off. With a goal and assist so far this season, the imminent return of Jamie Vardy, and a favourable fixture run, Maddison could be yet another (yup you’ve guessed it) great differential with just 3.2% ownership at the time of writing.
Forwards
I’m going to assume you all have Sergio Agüero, if you don’t then I’m sure you have your reasons. Agüero (51.3%) could soon overtake Mo Salah (51.6%) as the highest owned player in the game. We all know what he can do, if you went with Aubamayang back in GW1 I feel your pain, lets just assume you’ve rectified that and move on, and if you haven’t, might I suggest you do so.
I love Mitro. No not our very own RMT loving Gooner Mitro (although I’m very fond of you too). I am of course talking about everyone’s favourite Serbian; Aleksandar Mitrović. I loved him at Newcastle, he divided opinion, half the fans loved him, the other half thought he was a shite. I’ll be honest though, as much as I loved him I didn’t think he was that good. I didn’t even consider putting him in my GW1 squad, I wish I had. It’s 4 games, 4 goals, an assist and 3 Bps. He sits just a point behind Sergio Agüero, but a whole £4.6m cheaper. He wont score every game, but I have a feeling he’ll offer tremendous value over the course of the season.
There’s a rat in me kitchen, what am I gonna do? That’s right folks it’s the return of old rat face himself; Jamie Vardy. Vardy started the season with a goal in the 2-1 defeat at Old Trafford in GW1, he then went and got himself sent off in GW2. Pillock. With everyone focusing on the best budget strikers, I reckon Vardy is flying under the radar; his £3.1% ownership certainly seems to confirm this. He’s already dropped to £8.9m, which could be a canny buy for a player on penalties and a favourable run of fixtures that run all the way to GW16, do you want to go party?
That’s all folks. I wish you all the very best in GW5, may your arrows be green and your FPL weekend a happy one.
Thanks for reading Fantasy Football Tips Gameweek 5. This article was written by Rosco
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Thanks Rosco. Maintaining the very high standard of articles this season.
I’ve found myself in a bit of a pickle but reluctant to wildcard. Would anyone do Robertson to Alonso and Walcott to Maddisson??
I would try do free up some money elsewhere and have both Alonso and Robertson. So far it seems that premium defender are must have this season.
But the rest of your team have some problems I think. You have to play three players out of obi-wan, boly, tomkins, Ralls, Cairney and Ings every week. Those are, imo players that belongs on the bench. I think that the rest of your team dosen`t make up for the points those players aren`t taking….
You may well have to just to field 11 and they’re fairly positive moves with the fixtures ahead for all concerned anyway.
Thanks Allan & Init. I agree… I think I made a mistake going for auba (in gw3 when arsenal coverage seemed essential) and it’s ruined the balance. I may downgrade him to mitrovic at some point to free up the cash to sort defence and midfield. I just worry that the longer I don’t own Alonso the more I’m going to suffer.
If PEA gets a hat-trick next time out you may change your mind
You don’t have to tell me that Salah will take alot of points. But will he take enough to be worth 13.0? I’m thinking about replace Salah with Hazard. Then I can improve my bench alot and take in Deeney or mitro. I think we will see alot of rotation in the big teams for a while and as you can see, my bench isn’t up for that… Can also replace Bellerin with any defender later on…
So, I know you wan’t Salah on your team. But not at any cost right?
1ft and 0,4 itb…
Its tempting but I just feel like Salah may be on the cusp of some big hauls. I’m gonna give him a couple of weeks. Auba is definitely ahead of him in the queue out the door!
Ps nice team!
Well guys. After much deciding I activated my WC.
What do people think. Big Risk without Salah. I like the differential of Vardy. Hopefully it works.
Feel free to tear it to pieces.
I am ok with a “Mane instead of Salah” midfield, however I am not sure if i would have a wildcard team with 2 players that are doubtful.
Wan-bissaka would be in my starting 11 this week which means dropping Neves or Zaha.
Zaha to Mitro?
Zaha to a bench warmer and upgrade Neves and to 4-4-2?
I can see Walcot falling in value when Richarlison is coming back from his suspension
Cheers mate. I’m going to wait and see for updates on Friday. I’ll probably swap Wally for Rich when he’s back but if he’s fit this week I’ll leave him in.
Who would you upgrade Neves to if I was to drop Zaha mate.
Salah>Hazard
Frazer>Mané
-4
Should I take a risk?
Mane and Salah have the same opponent and in my eyes the same chance of scoring points, though mane is the one scoring the big points so far.
The real question is, can Hazard outscore Fraser by at least 4 points. (a goal scored) and the answer is yes, so that would be worth the -4 hit.
+1. Short term looks like you’ll make the hit up. But whether or not you want to go without Salah…that’s up to you! (I’m keeping Salah & Mane for awhile, that’s just me)
Liseli
Sounds good
Hazard & Mane should outscore Salah & Fraser over the season.
However Salah imo is better than Mane and will score more points than Hazard, so I’m keeping him.
If you want some Chelsea cover in mid then how about Pedro for Miki / Lucas
Or Pedro & 4.5m for Fraser and Hughes (depending on cash)
😉
Nah.Think Mikki is your priority unless you want to give it a week and see if he starts this weekend though i doubt it.
Watch out for news on Fraser. He didn’t play for Scotland on Tuesday because of a knock.
Many thanks for this Rosco. Feeling like I’m a little short on the ‘must-haves’ at this point but resisting the WC. Was planning on holding my 1 FT this week but what say you lot on Luiz > Alonso and Zaha > Wilson/Deeney/Ings for a -4? Or hold fire and hope Zaha & Wally deliver?
I wouldn’t be rushing to sell Zaha, especially not for a hit. Assuming he is indeed fit (he’s returned to training anyway) he should be up top on his own with Benteke possibly out for a bit.
You probably do need to find a way to get Alonso in sooner rather than later though but it’s a bit chicken and egg with your finances being tied up. Maybe sit on it and have another look next week to do it for free as another issue may arise somewhere to allow it.
Cheers Innit, sound advice. If it were you, who’d be first on your chopping block for the cash for Alonso? One of the Pool boys? Or Wally/Pedro to a cheapo mid?
Probably Wally out of all of those but depends what that leaves you with.
I quite like those moves. If Fraser is fit potentially him for Walcott to fund Alonso. Depending on Zaha news
Hey guys.Thoughts on this team??Thinking Mkhi to pedro or should i be looking at replacing shaw or zaha???
Have nothing in the bank and 1FT.
I’d do the first one. May as well leave Shaw there as he’ll be back the following back and Utd have some decent fixtures ahead.
Think I’d save the transfer
Hey Shane, in theory you should always look to replace your weakest link, if Shaw is out then I’d say make that your priority!