Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16
Welcome to Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. It’s a quick turnaround this week and in terms of ‘tips’ this week if you read no further, or indeed read nothing else this week, do yourself a favour and read the next sentence only. The deadline for GW16 is Tuesday 13th December at 6.45pm UK time. Many won’t realise or even be aware of it. We always see posts or tweets after a midweek deadline from people saying they didn’t know or forgot. Let’s just hope that happens in your mini league! Lots of people walking around their offices this week whistling quietly and touching their nose. And then asking very loudly who their co-worker captained ‘this week’, two minutes after the deadline. Sly lot you. Anyway onto GW16 itself and we shall start with some housekeeping just to manage peoples expectations really. This article will deal with some tips for midweek. After that we will post the site team at some time on Monday evening or Tuesday morning and that will be it for the week really before Live Match chat kicks in again and we can all enjoy the action itself. There will be no Around The Grounds ahead of GW16 as it takes forever to compile and it’s unfair to ask Cookie to do 3 in a week! We will endeavour to tweet the relevant news as it comes through so keep your eyes on that feed but if you have anything specific you need to know then just ask in the comments section. You will get an answer. After that it’s another short turnaround prior to GW17 and we intend to post a Tips / Captains combo article as well as the Site Team and there will be the usual Around The Grounds on Friday. Here’s our take on GW16 for now anyway. We are going to split this one quite simply into attackers and defenders and recommend either teams who we would be looking at for GW16 alone based upon either their opponents or their own stats in terms of scoring or defending. Capiche?! Probably not, but bear with us, it’ll make sense. Hopefully…
The following stats and analysis relate purely to goals scored or conceded either at home or away, depending on which one the team is doing in GW16.
Goalkeepers / Defenders
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best defensive record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents scoring one…
4 – Spurs have the best defensive record in this respect this week having only conceded 4 at home all season. And those were in just 3 games meaning they have kept 4 clean sheets at The Lane. Their opponents Hull have only scored 5 on the road which ranks them 18th for that particular stat. Yes we’d buy a Spurs defender with confidence this week. Screw it, buy two!
5 – Arsenal and Everton have both only conceded 5 but we wouldn’t be so confident on either keeping a clean sheet this time around and this is why – Arsenal have the best away record for goals scored with a whopping 18 and Everton themselves have scored 10 at home, not the best by a long stretch but they haven’t failed to score in a home game this season.
7 – Chelsea and Middlesbrough have the next best records but what of their opponents scoring prowess? Well Chelsea face Sunderland who have scored 10 at home this season and have only failed to score in 1 of those 7 games and that was against Everton. The only other real opponent of note was Arsenal and they did score but lost 1-4. As for ‘Boro they face Liverpool who have the 2nd best away record with 16 so we would dismiss them out of hand really.
Midfielders / Forwards
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best scoring record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents defence…
18 – Arsenal have the best record this week as we have mentioned previously with 18 goals on the road. We don’t know what to make of this as Everton have only conceded 5 at home and that includes keeping both Spurs and Man United down to a goal apiece. They’ve had 6 games at home and kept 2 clean sheets. It probably won’t be a goal fest is the best we can offer really.
16 – Liverpool come in 2nd place with 16 scored away. Thy have had 8 games away and failed to score in 2 at Burnley and Saints but have also notched 4 goals twice and 3 once. Their opponents ‘Boro rank highly on the defensive home stats as we have said but you always fancy Liverpool to score in any given game. Their only problem is whether it’s more than the opposition!
14 – Bournemouth and Spurs. Bournemouth are probably a surprise inclusion here but evidently they like a home goal! The stats are possibly slightly skewed as they have scored 10 of those 14 in just 2 games (6 vs Hull and 4 vs Liverpool). They have however failed to score in just 1 of their 7 home games this season. Their opponents Leicester have been appalling away from home with 18 conceded so far. Whether they turned a corner last week though remains to be seen. Spurs seem a no brainer this week as they have a good home record and their opponents Hull have conceded 17 on the road. Spurs have scored in every home game, Hull have only kept one team out and that was Swansea, back when they were bad. Or at least worse than they are now!
12 – Chelsea are surprisingly low on this one given that they are now the team that everybody fears. They’ve only failed to score in 1 away game though and that was at Arsenal back when they were still trying to find their identity. Said identity has been well and truly established since though and they have won 5 out of 7 away. Efficiency has probably been the key word away from home rather then potency as a 1 goal margin has been their preference so far in most games. That may change this week as their opponents Sunderland have the joint worst home record with 14 conceded.
1ft 0itb what would u guys do
Mustafi to Van Dijk or Austin to Origi.
Origi
Or both……
redmond to allen
towndsend to capoue? (-4)
2.8 in bank
I’m not really a fan of either of these moves, I might be tempted to move Townsend out this GW (I think you could get Siggy) but I wouldn’t take a hit on both Allen and Capoue, no chance.
Ericsen or Son would be contenders to with that price bracket if you don’t already have Spuds coverage.
Neither there must be something else which is better
Put your full team up Turkey,easier to give advice….
sorry yes
gomes heaton
smith,evans,walker,valencia, Friend
hazard,sigurdsson,redmond, firmino, townsend,
costa,nacho,deeney
turkeydinner
Can you do Valencia to a Chelsea defender with one move?
Any suggestions here.or just go with what I have. 0.8 in the bank Williams and Britos need to go. One free transfer. Defence is a problem but like a cheap backline
Is Firmino doing anything for you?
I have Mane and he’s been really paying off for me since I brought him in.
Was going to give him at least another week. Quality player plus not sure what I’m doing about Liverpool coverage. Mane,Origi and Lallana all on my radar
Get mane
Get Mane or Lallana. Firmino has been pushed outside and isn’t really among the attack.
I think I’d leave Mane as that’s a whole lot of dollar for a player who’ll be leaving for the AFCON shortly, if it involved hits or major concessions to your squad I’d avoid the hassle.
Great point Andy.
Front 7 is great.
Maybe store the FT to have some freedom for the congested coming GWs, and then work on your defense?
I also have Firmino. But I will also stick to him a little bit, because I don’t want to spend half my FTs going back and forth with the Pool mids!
Williams to Southampton defender. If firmino blanks again mate him to mane or siggy.
I’d agree with this kind of but I’d turn Williams into Alderweireld, I’m also a fan of budget back lines but the odd marquee defender won’t be amiss with their upcoming fixtures.
mane out in jan for afon
Evening everyone, Quick vote here:
Origi or Llorente?? Don’t have Siggy but do have Mane. I’m currently leaning towards Llorente due to his fixtures and the hope that Swansea can perform the way they did at the weekend.
Origi for me
Origi
Cheers lads. Is that due to Swansea not being the best team or just a lot of faith in Origi??
A bit of both. I have a lack of faith with Swansea especially away from home. Squad ain’t good enough
Swansea of course, don’t be ridiculous.
Cheers lads that’s exactly what I was thinking before Siggy and Llorente played brilliantly at the weekend.
Siggys had 2 double digit scores in the 3 weeks ive had him.Nothing wrong in having a player from a crap team if hes racking up the points.
Brooky – think Siggy is a great player but he’s a big difference to Llorente.
Origi
Good evening guys
What should I do with this sorry lot this week?
2.1m in the bank and 1FT
I’d probably leave it Smithy.
I’d be tempted to move off the Arsenal double at the back given their next two fixtures and straight swap Kos to a Chelski defender.
Maybe save this gw but id be looking to shift Redmond on,maybe Siggy ??
Cheers guys
Use my 1FT for Kosci to Azpi OR Benteke to Origi?
Grant
Walker, Nyom, Kosci
Firmino, Walcott, Allen, Hazard
Benteke, Costa, Kane
(Heaton, Capoue, Kingsley, Morgan)
Tough one I’d probably go with the Azpi move.
+1