Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16
Welcome to Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. It’s a quick turnaround this week and in terms of ‘tips’ this week if you read no further, or indeed read nothing else this week, do yourself a favour and read the next sentence only. The deadline for GW16 is Tuesday 13th December at 6.45pm UK time. Many won’t realise or even be aware of it. We always see posts or tweets after a midweek deadline from people saying they didn’t know or forgot. Let’s just hope that happens in your mini league! Lots of people walking around their offices this week whistling quietly and touching their nose. And then asking very loudly who their co-worker captained ‘this week’, two minutes after the deadline. Sly lot you. Anyway onto GW16 itself and we shall start with some housekeeping just to manage peoples expectations really. This article will deal with some tips for midweek. After that we will post the site team at some time on Monday evening or Tuesday morning and that will be it for the week really before Live Match chat kicks in again and we can all enjoy the action itself. There will be no Around The Grounds ahead of GW16 as it takes forever to compile and it’s unfair to ask Cookie to do 3 in a week! We will endeavour to tweet the relevant news as it comes through so keep your eyes on that feed but if you have anything specific you need to know then just ask in the comments section. You will get an answer. After that it’s another short turnaround prior to GW17 and we intend to post a Tips / Captains combo article as well as the Site Team and there will be the usual Around The Grounds on Friday. Here’s our take on GW16 for now anyway. We are going to split this one quite simply into attackers and defenders and recommend either teams who we would be looking at for GW16 alone based upon either their opponents or their own stats in terms of scoring or defending. Capiche?! Probably not, but bear with us, it’ll make sense. Hopefully…
The following stats and analysis relate purely to goals scored or conceded either at home or away, depending on which one the team is doing in GW16.
Goalkeepers / Defenders
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best defensive record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents scoring one…
4 – Spurs have the best defensive record in this respect this week having only conceded 4 at home all season. And those were in just 3 games meaning they have kept 4 clean sheets at The Lane. Their opponents Hull have only scored 5 on the road which ranks them 18th for that particular stat. Yes we’d buy a Spurs defender with confidence this week. Screw it, buy two!
5 – Arsenal and Everton have both only conceded 5 but we wouldn’t be so confident on either keeping a clean sheet this time around and this is why – Arsenal have the best away record for goals scored with a whopping 18 and Everton themselves have scored 10 at home, not the best by a long stretch but they haven’t failed to score in a home game this season.
7 – Chelsea and Middlesbrough have the next best records but what of their opponents scoring prowess? Well Chelsea face Sunderland who have scored 10 at home this season and have only failed to score in 1 of those 7 games and that was against Everton. The only other real opponent of note was Arsenal and they did score but lost 1-4. As for ‘Boro they face Liverpool who have the 2nd best away record with 16 so we would dismiss them out of hand really.
Midfielders / Forwards
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best scoring record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents defence…
18 – Arsenal have the best record this week as we have mentioned previously with 18 goals on the road. We don’t know what to make of this as Everton have only conceded 5 at home and that includes keeping both Spurs and Man United down to a goal apiece. They’ve had 6 games at home and kept 2 clean sheets. It probably won’t be a goal fest is the best we can offer really.
16 – Liverpool come in 2nd place with 16 scored away. Thy have had 8 games away and failed to score in 2 at Burnley and Saints but have also notched 4 goals twice and 3 once. Their opponents ‘Boro rank highly on the defensive home stats as we have said but you always fancy Liverpool to score in any given game. Their only problem is whether it’s more than the opposition!
14 – Bournemouth and Spurs. Bournemouth are probably a surprise inclusion here but evidently they like a home goal! The stats are possibly slightly skewed as they have scored 10 of those 14 in just 2 games (6 vs Hull and 4 vs Liverpool). They have however failed to score in just 1 of their 7 home games this season. Their opponents Leicester have been appalling away from home with 18 conceded so far. Whether they turned a corner last week though remains to be seen. Spurs seem a no brainer this week as they have a good home record and their opponents Hull have conceded 17 on the road. Spurs have scored in every home game, Hull have only kept one team out and that was Swansea, back when they were bad. Or at least worse than they are now!
12 – Chelsea are surprisingly low on this one given that they are now the team that everybody fears. They’ve only failed to score in 1 away game though and that was at Arsenal back when they were still trying to find their identity. Said identity has been well and truly established since though and they have won 5 out of 7 away. Efficiency has probably been the key word away from home rather then potency as a 1 goal margin has been their preference so far in most games. That may change this week as their opponents Sunderland have the joint worst home record with 14 conceded.
Thanks for reading Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. This article was written by inittowinit
Vote on our Captain Poll Now
We are running the main public FF247 League which anyone is welcome to join by using the following code 1147-701 (auto-link below). This one has a prize pool of £250 which is sponsored by @FootballFanager and will be paid into your account on their website. The top 5 places are paid out.
Join Our League – Quick Link
League Code: 1147-701
View league standings
New for the 2016/17 we are delighted to announce we are running a Regulars League which has a cash prize pool of £300 paid directly to the winners from the FF247 management team.
To enter this one you need to be an active and recognised site member and you need to e-mail us for the league code – Elleffcee@fantasyfootball247.co.uk *terms and conditions apply and are available upon request. Management reserve the right to review membership of this league on an ongoing basis.
Fixture Tracker – the next 6 games
Grant.
Alonso. Cedric. McAuley.
Eriksen. Hazard. Siggy. Sanchez.
Costa. Kane. Nacho.
Subs. Pickford. Phillips. Francis. Kingsley.
A. Play as its set up now
B. Sub Phillips on for Nacho
THANKS!!
As is.
Thing is if you arent going to play Phillips at home to Swansea when are you going to play him ??
Time for some tinkering of my own, just wondering should I stick or twist? I have 1.6m ITB.
Hold the FT and do major surgery next week or bring in a big hitting defender (Azpi/Alonso/Van Dijk)
Big fan of cheap back lines but sometime a consistent defender can really help you through a bad (game) week. 😉
I’d bench holebas and play amat
On the other hand I suppose Holebas could provide some attacking returns!
Fuchs to Alonso or Saints defender.
Oh shot I completely misread everything (thought Fuchs was alonso). Ignore me listen to brooky!
Evening all,
Any advice on the below squad would be very much appreciated.
I was originally thinking of Firmino to Singh but have decided to give him one last chance. I think I’m best of keeping my ft. I am wondering if I should try to include Mcauley and double up with both him and foster at the back – but for who?
Foster
Cedric, Alonso, Pieters
Zaha, Hazard, Firmino, San chef
Kane(c), Costa(v), Itchy
Pickford, Mcauley, Barry, Holebas
Haha that’s meant to be Siggy
I have 0.6 itb
Is Itchy Scratchy’s brother ??
The other day someone said we need a player we can call scratchy then we could have itchy and scratchy in our teams!
Team looks good,just monitor Itchy i guess…..
I think Firmino deserves another chance, but that’s mostly because I dont now who to replace him with
Giving him another week, then probably switch to Lallana to free up some cash.
Just curious, why is everyone going for Alonso over Azpi?
Azpi has the better points overall, he’s .1 cheaper and more bonus points overall.
Azpi has played more minutes and offers less attacking threat.
lol you are too quick for me Brooky!
btw, I know Alonso has played less games… before someone says it. 😉
Well, in fairness, that’s exactly the reason!
I can’t really talk much here, to be honest, as I haven’t owned any Chelsea defence at all so far. Oops.
Have you watched any Chelsea highlights in the last few weeks? Alonso carries a massive threat going going forward. His goal-scoring record in previous seasons is also very good.
Shame they’re both 6.3m each :/
Evening all, right, here’s my team for tomorrow: 0.0 ITB and 0 FTs. Yay.
My defence is pretty awful this gameweek: they all play against my attackers!
Would you play Pickford (for the save potential) or Holebas (for the assist potential) in place of anyone?
I am going with Holebas, even if they are playing City. Attacking returns.
I’m currently not playing him, but you’re making me reconsider!
Hmmm, specialK, would you do so in my situation? Who goes to the bench?
Banjo: who would you have to drop?
Amat, Lovren, Pieters or Chambers! Hardly a strong defence! I’ve no idea which 3 to play?!
Holebas paid off for me last week, anytime I bench him I get punished… go with your gut. 😉
Looking at the state of your attackers I’d say your defence is fine this week 😉
Reminds me of that classic Balotelli convo which ended with “yes Brendan of course Mario looks stunning in training, he’s playing against the Liverpool defence…….”
Anyway joking aside I’d probably play Holebas over Mee. Anyone tasked with launching balls into a penalty box occupied by John Stones is worth a crack.
How dare you… 😉 one should make up for the other I guess aha.
Seems like a good shout. Burnley are diabolical away from home if I recall.
They’ve played 6, lost 5, not won 1, scored just 1 and conceded 15. So yeah pretty much!
Defence could do with tweaking like you say but i really like your front 7.I’d play Holebas over Mee too just for attacking returns.
It certainly does, ah cheers Brooky, that settles it I reckon!
You ready for the midweek madness?
Yeah pretty sure im gonna do Failminho to Hazard,love midweek fpl games,wish there was more of them…
I did the same last night Brooky!!
Can I do a quick yes / no poll please people? Should I take a hit for Firmino to Mane before the price changes tonight?
I was gonna say no, as I hate hits, but I also hate price swings. I’m a sucker for ’em.
Will you actually lose SV on Firmino when he drops?
No, he’d need to drop 0.2 to lose SV. But obviously Mane is increasingly tonight, and it’s def my next move. Really tempted to just do it now, save 0.1, and hope he continues to outscore him!
Well, in that case, it’s a “no” here too.
I can’t be arsed to go into details but basically, unless you never sell Mane, you’re not *guaranteed* to “save 0.1m” on him: yes, you’ll have 0.1m less in the bank if you wait, but selling him after a 0.2m price rise interval would mean the same profits came back to you as they would if you took a hit and bought him tonight.
As for your defensive conundrum: Lovren, Pieters, Holebas for me I think.
Thanks. I guess I see the logic regarding resale value. I’m more concerned that’s he’s killing me every week, and I’ve wanted him for ages.
I sold him about 4 gameweeks ago, for Hazard, and guess who’s been the stand-out performer since? I felt happy with the decision until both of their last few scores came to my attention…
Funnily enough, about a month before that, it was Hazard who made way for him! The classic FPL case of “I used to have him…” aha. Oh well.
No
No
I was hoping you’d all tell me it’s a sensible thing to do!!
Since Coutinho’s injury he’s outscored him by an average on 6.67 points per game. I’ve watched a couple of those games and it’s no fluke. Mane’s involved in everything and Firmino is non-existent.
Is there no argument here guys?!
I watched the Liverpool and West Ham highlights and to be honest Mane looks sh*t hot at the moment. That said I don’t think Firminho looked terrible. Could have had a goal and then we wouldn’t be having this argument. Whether it’s worth taking a 4pt hit I’m not sure. I’m sticking with Firminho in hope he’ll score against Boro but that may be over-optimistic!
Yes
Ah come on now, you just saw the word HIT and didn’t even look any further didn’t you?!
Ha ha! No – mane seems to be involved with everything at pool and if I was in banjos position I would seriously consider shifting firmino!!
I did last night
This one ‘yes’ may just be the reassurance I need
To be fair I saw a good bit of the second half yesterday and it was all Mane and very little Firmino. If it wasn’t for the hit I’d have said yes.
I still think it’s worth the -4