Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16
Welcome to Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. It’s a quick turnaround this week and in terms of ‘tips’ this week if you read no further, or indeed read nothing else this week, do yourself a favour and read the next sentence only. The deadline for GW16 is Tuesday 13th December at 6.45pm UK time. Many won’t realise or even be aware of it. We always see posts or tweets after a midweek deadline from people saying they didn’t know or forgot. Let’s just hope that happens in your mini league! Lots of people walking around their offices this week whistling quietly and touching their nose. And then asking very loudly who their co-worker captained ‘this week’, two minutes after the deadline. Sly lot you. Anyway onto GW16 itself and we shall start with some housekeeping just to manage peoples expectations really. This article will deal with some tips for midweek. After that we will post the site team at some time on Monday evening or Tuesday morning and that will be it for the week really before Live Match chat kicks in again and we can all enjoy the action itself. There will be no Around The Grounds ahead of GW16 as it takes forever to compile and it’s unfair to ask Cookie to do 3 in a week! We will endeavour to tweet the relevant news as it comes through so keep your eyes on that feed but if you have anything specific you need to know then just ask in the comments section. You will get an answer. After that it’s another short turnaround prior to GW17 and we intend to post a Tips / Captains combo article as well as the Site Team and there will be the usual Around The Grounds on Friday. Here’s our take on GW16 for now anyway. We are going to split this one quite simply into attackers and defenders and recommend either teams who we would be looking at for GW16 alone based upon either their opponents or their own stats in terms of scoring or defending. Capiche?! Probably not, but bear with us, it’ll make sense. Hopefully…
The following stats and analysis relate purely to goals scored or conceded either at home or away, depending on which one the team is doing in GW16.
Goalkeepers / Defenders
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best defensive record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents scoring one…
4 – Spurs have the best defensive record in this respect this week having only conceded 4 at home all season. And those were in just 3 games meaning they have kept 4 clean sheets at The Lane. Their opponents Hull have only scored 5 on the road which ranks them 18th for that particular stat. Yes we’d buy a Spurs defender with confidence this week. Screw it, buy two!
5 – Arsenal and Everton have both only conceded 5 but we wouldn’t be so confident on either keeping a clean sheet this time around and this is why – Arsenal have the best away record for goals scored with a whopping 18 and Everton themselves have scored 10 at home, not the best by a long stretch but they haven’t failed to score in a home game this season.
7 – Chelsea and Middlesbrough have the next best records but what of their opponents scoring prowess? Well Chelsea face Sunderland who have scored 10 at home this season and have only failed to score in 1 of those 7 games and that was against Everton. The only other real opponent of note was Arsenal and they did score but lost 1-4. As for ‘Boro they face Liverpool who have the 2nd best away record with 16 so we would dismiss them out of hand really.
Midfielders / Forwards
So what we want from this section is to know which teams have the best scoring record when playing either at home or away. And how that relates to their opponents defence…
18 – Arsenal have the best record this week as we have mentioned previously with 18 goals on the road. We don’t know what to make of this as Everton have only conceded 5 at home and that includes keeping both Spurs and Man United down to a goal apiece. They’ve had 6 games at home and kept 2 clean sheets. It probably won’t be a goal fest is the best we can offer really.
16 – Liverpool come in 2nd place with 16 scored away. Thy have had 8 games away and failed to score in 2 at Burnley and Saints but have also notched 4 goals twice and 3 once. Their opponents ‘Boro rank highly on the defensive home stats as we have said but you always fancy Liverpool to score in any given game. Their only problem is whether it’s more than the opposition!
14 – Bournemouth and Spurs. Bournemouth are probably a surprise inclusion here but evidently they like a home goal! The stats are possibly slightly skewed as they have scored 10 of those 14 in just 2 games (6 vs Hull and 4 vs Liverpool). They have however failed to score in just 1 of their 7 home games this season. Their opponents Leicester have been appalling away from home with 18 conceded so far. Whether they turned a corner last week though remains to be seen. Spurs seem a no brainer this week as they have a good home record and their opponents Hull have conceded 17 on the road. Spurs have scored in every home game, Hull have only kept one team out and that was Swansea, back when they were bad. Or at least worse than they are now!
12 – Chelsea are surprisingly low on this one given that they are now the team that everybody fears. They’ve only failed to score in 1 away game though and that was at Arsenal back when they were still trying to find their identity. Said identity has been well and truly established since though and they have won 5 out of 7 away. Efficiency has probably been the key word away from home rather then potency as a 1 goal margin has been their preference so far in most games. That may change this week as their opponents Sunderland have the joint worst home record with 14 conceded.
Thanks for reading Fantasy Premier League Tips Gameweek 16. This article was written by inittowinit
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Fixture Tracker – the next 6 games
Really good article as usual, thank you for that.
I want to remove Gundogan but do not know who to get. Any ideas?
1.1 in the bank.
Thanks viktors. Basically you need someone who will rotate well with Allen which means someone who can come in for him in GW’s 18&19, I’m assuming you’d play Allen in the next 2 with them being home games. Scanning the fixtures that looks like Burnley, Chelsea and Swansea. Fer could be an option but you already have Siggy. Burnley’s options don’t look great. That probably leaves Matic but he doesn’t really excite me. Excusing the rotation and looking at that price bracket I’d look at Zaha or Phillips.
+1
Phillips doesnt have great fixtures post this weekend though so watch out for that !
Damn! That are som good, thorough answers.
I do not like Zaha’s fixtures though. But thank you
Is it worth it to take a -4 to get rid of Gundogan? Haven’t decided between Llorente and Origi yet but I would have 5.9 or less depending on who I bring in up top and I can’t think of who to bring in.
Probably is bearing in mind the alternative is Anichebe against Chelsea. Phillips this week I fancy. That sounded very Yoda
Thank you Master Yoda
Austin my free transfer is but Gundogan I like not so leaves he will.
All seriousness I like the Philips call I’ve looked at him over the last few weeks and it was actually between him and Gundogan but sadly I picked wrong. Would you go with Origi or Llorente? Looking at fixtures and having watched Origi lately I just can’t see him doing much and it’s strange especially with Liverpool being so attacking :/
I went with Carroll but I realise that’s just crazy so ignore me (great fixtures tho)
I won’t be touching that donkey!! 😉
Yes
I thought you hated hits 😉
Costa or Kane as cappo?
Gotta be Kane surely,fixtures dont come much jucier than Hull at home.
+1
Kane it is
The above article actually stems from something I do every week myself once I’ve narrowed down the captains to 2 or 3. I don’t usually extend it to all players or teams as I have here and it’s not an exact science but it comes from something Guy Sanchez did on MLS based on bookies odds a couple of seasons back. Basically playing the percentages and it usually worked out well. Same thing here. I’ve just re-read the Spurs and Chelsea ones and I’d go Kane based upon the bare facts. I did initially mean to translate the analysis into captain picks at the end but it got a bit late last night!
I was always check the odds on first scorer and anytime – whoever is going to give me the worst returns is usually my cappo!
I usually use hat trick odds. Easier to compare odds like 16/1 than 13/10 😉
+1
Love that we have a “Diego Payet” option this gameweek!
He’d be my #1 choice given the fixtures I think…
Well that orientation’s just retarded…
That’s what you get for publicly pointing out an obvious oversight rather than just popping it on the site team thread to be altered 😉
@Jamesimmo, Probably looked straight to you.
Are you reading FF247 on 2 screens?! That’s proper commitment
Aha, tell me about it, switched across to my phone… just so I could embarrass init (and myself!) 😉
I’m not embarrassed I don’t add the names to that. Won’t tell you who does but Cookie will spit feathers when he sees this
Lol – apologies, my gaff. And to add to that I read this chat, then took the bins out and for the 2min walk back I tried unsuccessfully to remember his correct name!
Think I’m losing it!!
Where the heck do you put your bins that takes 2 minutes! That must be a hell of a long driveway in Cookie Towers
#iknowtheanswerbtw 😉
The disappointing part is I had to do it myself
sorry yes,
gomes heaton
smith,evans,walker,valencia, friend
hazard,sigurdsson,redmond, firmino, townsend,
costa,nacho,deeney
redmond and townsend are annoying me lol 1 ft 2.8 in the bank… any ideas anyone?
I’d leave Redmond due to his nice fixtures and do Townsend to Wally leave it at that. Quick question though do you have your WC??
Agreed. Arsenal have a smashing run of games from GW18.
I’d still look to ditch Redmond at some point – he’s not really doing it for me.
yes still have my WC
Anyone looking to bringing in Jones? Cheap way into Utd defence
Would do if it wasn’t for Bailly lurking again.
+1 plus I’m sure Smalling will be back soon too.