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[/three_fourth]Many will be reading this with a wildcard in their pockets, comfortable with not having to hit for DGW players leading up to DGW34 & 37. That’s nice for you, I’m truly happy for you, honest!! Sadly, my wildcard pocket is empty though I do still have my Bench Boost and Triple Captain chips to use over the next few weeks. For a quick summary, I played my Wildcard in GW21 for a couple of reasons – my rank was shocking, the deficit to my mini-league leader was too much, there were 5/6 players I didn’t own who I wanted to own, but let’s face it, the main reason I played my wildcard was because I possess no patience – never have done and likely never will do. Though I will hold my hand up and admit that with the introduction of these new chips I will endeavour (best laid plans and all that!!) to hold my wildcard next season for use around the DGWs. That said, my early wildcard hasn’t been a disaster – I have had 10 green arrows in eleven weeks and sit at my best ranking of the season thus far. How that can be quantified with what would have happened if I had held my wildcard until now, I don’t know. But fact is, I can’t argue with the results – but am now left scrambling around for a decent DGW34 side together with a plan for the weeks after 34, especially the blanks in GW35 and DGW37.
Enough waffling, I bet you thought Kop or Init wrote that intro!
So, what is my plan for the DGW34 and 37 with no wildcard? Firstly, panic, fret, laugh (always have to laugh) then try and construct the best squad I can.
This is my squad right now. (don’t laugh)
The players I currently own that have a DGW in 34 are:
Hennessey
Koscielny
Kompany (injured)
Wijnaldum
Ozil
Aguero
Not great really. Plus Kompany is crocked, so make that five, not six! (this is when the panic sets in.)
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I have 2 free transfers for GW32 and then obviously 1 each in GW33 and GW34. However, I will hit to reach a decent DGW squad – after all, if you can’t hit for a double game-week then when can you hit? And most round here will know I’m not afraid to take a hit or two.
Looking at the fixtures, I favour Arsenal, Liverpool and Man Utd and I’ll include Man City for their fixtures either side of the DGW. I don’t fancy Everton for DGW34, their fixtures are not great, they appear to be concentrating solely on the Cup and they blank in GW35, unless their match vs Palace is rearranged for GW35. That may change my thinking.
West Ham and Watford also have two DGWs but both blank in 35. Palace look worth ignoring, Toon are Toon – I have Wijnaldum but he’s playing deeper than ever and only Elliot looks value. West Brom, well, let’s just not go there.
3 Arsenal players seems to be a must – home to Palace and West Brom in DGW34 is then followed by Sunderland (a), Norwich (h), Man City (a) and finishing with Villa (h) in GW38. I already own Kos and Ozil and I would dearly love to get Alexis as well – his performances and stats are improving by the game and those fixtures look so appetising. But he’s expensive, so although I would love him as a great differential I’m not yet sure whether I can realistically get him. The other alternatives I would consider are doubling up in defence or taking a punt on Welbeck who seems to have found some form and looks to be ahead of Giroud in the pecking order as we speak.
Liverpool – I’m currently favouring Coutinho over Firmino on the basis of Firmino seems restricted by Sturridge playing. Liverpool’s fixtures either side of DGW34 plus their DGW37 mean that at least two players are required, which is tricky as the defence is so woeful, as we saw when they lost a two-goal lead at Southampton on Sunday. Maybe I’ll get Sakho or Mignolet. Liverpool also have to face Dortmund in the Europa League, the second leg of which is on the Thursday before their first match of DGW34, so rest, rotation, disappointment and injuries could all play havoc with selection. AAAARRRGGGGGHHHH!!! This is doing my head in!
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Man Utd – this is where it gets tough. DGW34 matches at home to Villa and Palace is offset with a blank GW35 but then they have another double in GW37 and finish the season home to Bournemouth. Rashford would be a shoe-in but Rooney will be back by then. Martial maybe? Maybe. Defence seems the better option but they all get injured hence it’s tough to predict who will be fit to play. Which leaves De Gea as probably the best option at the back, which means no Mignolet! You see, it’s bloody tough!!
Man City – Kun I already have, so he stays, obviously. With rotation and injuries at the back, I think I’ll stick to Kun. Midfielders are expensive and underperforming, KDB is due back but their double fixtures are both away and his and City’s away form is poor.
West Ham double twice, but with a blank in 35 and fixtures mixed, it’s tough to bring in Payet at that price when compared to other players available, in my opinion.
Hopefully that gives you an idea of some of the players I am currently looking at. Most are no doubt not a surprise as I assume you’re all looking at a similar group.
I’ll keep Mahrez for now – Leicester’s fixtures remain decent until GW36 and we all know that one good week for him will dwarf most player’s DGW performance.
So with all the above analysis, what sort of team can I construct for DGW34 and how will it leave me for the blanks in GW35 and DGW37?
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Provisional team for DGW34
How will I get there?
GW32 – Sell Kompany and Wijnaldum – Buy Simpson and Antonio (no hit)
GW33 – Sell Dier and Alli – Buy Sakho and Coutinho (4pt hit)
GW34 – Sell Courtois, Azpi, Ritchie and Vardy – Buy Elliot, Rojo, Alexis and Defoe (12pt hit)
Gulp – just writing “12pt hit” makes even me shudder!! Of course, this is no normal week and hopefully it will contribute to a monster week! This is the gamble.
Conclusion:
I will Bench Boost in DGW34.
I managed to keep Alexis and I am hoping this is my differential play to those around me. Yes it is costing me to get him, but from DGW34 until the end of the season, Arsenal’s fixtures are about as good as they get and although he has underperformed to his own high standards this season, I am gambling on him continuing to improve those performances and stats and turning them into the FPL beast we know he can be. Is it worth all those hits? We shall see, but what have I to lose? Don’t die wondering and all that.
You may ask, “Why buy a Leicester defender now?” Great question. Every week not having a Leicester defender is hurting me and with decent fixtures up to, including, and after DGW34, Simpson can still contribute to my team and enables me to afford the likes of Alexis and Coutinho and keep Kane, Kun and Ozil.
I’m selling Wijnaldum as despite his 8pt return in GW31, Benitez is playing him too deep for him to be as effective as before. It’s like owning a more creative Flamini without the yellow cards.
The hits are a shame, but inevitable.
This squad leaves me with a full playing XI for GW35 – I will bench Hennessey, Rojo, Rangel and Antonio.
I am left with 5 DGWers for 37 with free transfers in GWs 35, 36 and 37 to build up that number.
Please note – this is just a provisional squad. We have a whole host of internationals to play before GW32 and then GWs 32 and 33 before the big one. Much may change, injuries could occur, plans could change etc.
For example, if Rooney is not back and/or Rashford remains a starter, he will come in for Defoe. And Everton coverage could come into play if their Palace fixture is announced for GW35.
This is just really me thinking aloud – don’t take the above as gospel as what will occur, as I have pointed out, much can change and no doubt will. I will also listen carefully and appreciate your comments / thoughts / suggestions.
Bottom line – this is just one great big RMT for me – thanks in advance!!
Love you all.
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THE FIXTURE TRACKER
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Great piece Cookie. Many thanks as always. FF247 continuing to lead the way. The anti-discrimination lawyers have finally had their way. WC or not, loser or not, everyone gets a voice it seems!
I was joking about the losers!!!!!!!
Cheers Blue Moon – the losers fight back!! 😉
#imaloser
Not gonna trend is it?
Great article Cook, really helps I have my WC but I’m leaning towards playing it in GW37 as I dont see a TC option in GW37 so will probably play it ib 34 so this is helpful.
How do these plans sound?
GW32 – sell Kompany and Vardy to Monreal and Welbeck (-4 hit)
GW33 – sell Siggy and Alderwiereld to Couthino and Rojo (-4 hit)
GW 34 – 1 Ft and 1.0 Mil itb for possibly Butland to De Gea and TC Welbeck
Leaves me with a nice team for GW35 and also allows me to see what has to be done in GW37 and 38 with my bench boost.
Thoughts?
Cheers Matt.
Re your plans – can you not delay the Vardy move by a couple of weeks?
TC Welbeck is an interesting one and with those fixtures could pay off handsomely – gametime is the concern though – surely Giroud will start one of those games?
Hey Cook.
I can postpone Vardy for a while I guess and do the Alder-Rojo move earlier?
And concerning Welbeck/Giroud I feel that Welbeck has gained that top spot I had Giroud for the majority of 2016 and he didn’t score for me. I actually don’t think he’s scored at all in 2016 so I’m hoping Wenger has lost faith in him. The fans certainly have. I just can’t see anyway of getting Ozil so Welbeck will do plus I think he’ll be a differential so could really pay off.
Matt, Welbeck could work wonders mate and i agree that it seems he has nailed the starting spot as well. The other good thing for him is that he can play off the main striker also, whereas Giroud clearly can’t.
Yeah so I’m not too worried about his gametime because I think like you said he can play off the main striker so of Giroud does play as the man up top hopefully Wenger has seen enough of Welbeck to play them both could end up with a few assists as well if that happens.
Do you think Rojo is the best Utd player to get? I’m stuck between getting Rojo and Mig or Sakho and DDG. Or might just skip the Liverpool defence altogether.
Matt, the whole United & Liverpool defence thing is a minefield.
For Utd, I would consider Rojo as the most nailed on bar Smalling, but Smalling is v expensive and traditionally offers little going forward. The problem with Rojo is Valencia and Varela are both fit and challenge Darmian, and Darmian can play left as well, therefore challenging Rojo. Throw into the mix that United are getting an injury a week!!
Saying that I would go Rojo if you don’t go DDG.
Like United, the keeper is the safest shout. Beyond that I would order them Clyne, then Sakho then Flanagan as the latter is notin their Europa squad so won’t be facing Dorrmund.
As I said at the start, it ain’t straightforward.
Haha cheers Cook. That’s exactly what I was thinking and Rojo will probably be who I go for because if I go DDG I don’t have a GK for GW35 so don’t want to shoot myself in the foot.
For Liverpool, Mignolet is a hit or miss kind of player can save a penalty one minute and then let in 3 goals but the defenders are all miss imo except Clyne/Moreno/Flanno because they get forward a lot. Might go Sakho as he’s been amazing(surprising!!!) lately so hopefully he’ll keep his spot and he’s cheap too.
Great read – cheers cookie
Thanks Mitro – these international breaks must be a nightmare for your trigger fingers!!! 😉
lol already done my one on Sunday night! Fingers crossed he doesn’t get injured!!
noooooo Mitro!! What did you do?
Brought payet in for siggy! That 0.1 would have screwed up my plans for GW33
Fair enough Mitro, fingers crossed for you mate!
Looking at this for GW 33 wildcard in prep for the DGW. Any thoughts?
Just to rub it in 😛
Team looks good mate a few differential’s in there so could work wonders
Cheers MattX, Not sure about Martial as Haven’t seen him much lately!
True but he’s probably the better option or United attack and he did get the penalty score it in Europe against Liverpool so he can do something the odd time haha
P.S great read cookie, having second thoughts about keeping wijnaldum but norwich this week so I’ll hold out and see
Cheers RoL, two clean sheets in a row for Norwich, Toon not scoring many – If I keep him I won’t be confident!
Good stuff Cookie, interesting read that. Ballsy one with the -12, good luck!
Cheers NIN, constantly tinkering, it may not happen!
Indeed, i may take a punt on Rash. Cant find any time-frame on Rooney’s return, hopefully he’s out for a while
That DGW looks lovely for United, it seems wrong to not go for Martial, Rashford etc – but as you say Rooney’s return could scupper Rashford.
Yeah, thinking two United myself. Jesse could be worth a flutter too
One United attacker is plenty for me. Will get a defender also though.