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Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 38

Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 38

Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 38

Welcome to Fantasy Football 247 Fixtures Gameweek 38. It can’t be GW38 already? It only seems like yesterday when we were all toiling over our GW1 selection! Some of us will have had a successful season while others will be glad the season is all but over. No matter how well you did I hope everyone has enjoyed the season, as after all, it’s only a game. I moan every week, mainly to Cookie, about how I no longer enjoy FPL but every week I make my transfers. I’m sure I’ll state at some stage over the summer that I’m not going to play next season but, I will. It’s like a drug!

Over the course of the season I’ve included a verse from a particular song. The reason for doing so was that I felt it best described my mood at the time or the mood of our own community. As it’s my final article of the season I’ve decided to once again include a couple of verses. Now, I could tell you all at this stage that I’ve thought long and hard about what song to use but to be honest it took all of 30 seconds. I would like to include every verse of the song but it’s a tad on the long side so I’ve just chosen the verses I feel work best. So, without further ado I give you ‘Ol Blue Eyes himself…

And now, the end is near
And so I face the final curtain
My friend, I’ll say it clear
I’ll state my case, of which I’m certain

Regrets, I’ve had a few
But then again, too few to mention
I did what I had to do
And saw it through without exemption

I planned each charted course
Each careful step along the byway
And more, much more than this
I did it my way

When I signed up for GW38 Fixtures my initial reaction was, ‘yeah, that’ll be easy!’. Now I’m not so sure. Our typical Fixtures article groups teams into categories and looks at those teams next 3 Fixtures. That’s obviously not going to work this week. Instead, I’m going to examine each individual fixture and attempt to bamboozle you with some stats. So, in the words of Joey Tribbiani, ‘Let’s play Bamboozled!’

Brighton v Manchester City

Previous fixtures at The Amex – Just the solitary PL meeting at The Amex between these two with City winning 2-0 in August ’17 thanks to goals from Sergio Aguero and a Lewis Dunk og.

Brighton home form (last four games) – Lost three and drew one. Scored one, conceded nine and kept no clean sheets. They’ve had six shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 13 occasions. They’ve had 55% possession.

City away form (last four games) – Won four, scored eight, conceded one and kept three clean sheets. They’ve had 24 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on four occasions. They’ve had 67.5% possession.

Prediction – After beating Leicester tonight City know that a win on Sunday will see them defend their title. And defend their title they will. I fully expect City to win this and they will probably win it quite comfortably. My prediction would be 4-0 to City.

Fantasy Football TipsBurnley v Arsenal

Previous fixtures at Turf Moor – Arsenal have won the last three fixtures at Turf Moor by a goal to nil. Aaron Ramsey scored the winner in April ’15, Laurent Koscielny scored in October ’16 and Alexis Sanchez hit the winner in November ’17. The only other PL meeting between the sides at Turf Moor resulted in a 1-1 draw in December ’09.

Burnley home form – Won two and lost two. Scored five, conceded three and kept two clean sheets. They’ve had 10 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 13 occasions. They’ve had 40.6% possession.

Arsenal away form – Drew one and lost three. Scored two, conceded seven and kept one clean sheet. They’ve had nine shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 23 occasions. They’ve had 57.4% possession.

Prediction – Had Arsenal’s away form over the course of the season been just a fraction better they’d have secured a top 4 spot weeks ago. Instead they must now win big and hope Spurs lose big. Don’t get your hopes up Gooners, I expect Burnley to turn recent form in this fixture on it’s head and take the points.

Crystal Palace v Bournemouth

Previous fixtures at Selhurst Park – Just the three PL meetings between the sides at Selhurst Park. Bournemouth won 2-1 in February ’16; it was a 1-1 draw in August ’16 and a 2-2 draw in December ’17. Interestingly, Scott Dann found the back of the net in the three games.

Palace home form – Won one, drew one and lost two. Scored four, conceded five and kept two clean sheets. They’ve had 11 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 17 occasions. They’ve had 43.4% possession.

Bournemouth away form – won two, drew one and lost one. Scored 10, conceded five and kept two clean sheets. They’ve had 18 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 13 occasions. They’ve had 47.9% possession.

Prediction – The stats suggest Bournemouth are probably slight favourites but to be honest it could go either way. One way or the other I expect plenty of goals.

Fulham v NewcastleFantasy Football Tips

Previous fixtures at Craven Cottage – Fulham have won the last six games between these two at Craven Cottage. The most recent of these was a 1-0 win in August ’16 but this was in The Championship. None of the goal scorers from these six games are of any relevance to Sunday’s game!

Fulham home form – Won two and lost two. Scored four, conceded four and kept two clean sheets. They’ve had nine shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 12 occasions. They’ve had 55% possession.

Newcastle away form – Won one, drew two and lost one. Scored four, conceded five and kept one clean sheet. They’ve had 11 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 13 occasions. They’ve had 39.1% possession.

Prediction – Since they were relegated Fulham have played as if a weight has been lifted from their shoulders, which is hardly surprising. I expect that to continue on Sunday with a 2-1 victory over the Geordies.

Leicester v ChelseaFantasy Football Tips

Previous fixtures at The King Power Stadium – Chelsea have won three of the last four PL games between the sides at The King Power. 2-1 in April ’17 (Morata, Kante; Vardy), 3-0 in Jan ’17 (Alonso*2, Pedro) and 3-1 in April ’15. Leicester won 2-1 in December ’15 thanks to goals from Vardy & Mahrez. It’s also worth noting that Chelsea have also won a League Cup game and FA Cup game at The King Power over the past three seasons.

Leicester home form – Won three and lost one. Scored eight, conceded two and kept two clean sheets. They’ve had six shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 22 occasions. They’ve had 45.9% possession.

Chelsea away form – Won one, drew one and lost two. Scored three, conceded six and kept no clean sheets. They’ve had 14 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 22 occasions. They’ve had 55.5% possession.

Prediction – Chelsea have secured CL football for next season and should they progress past Eintracht Frankfurt on Thursday night they will have one eye on the Europa League final. The final is not until May 29th so it seems unlikely they will rest players but the players won’t want to pick up any injuries. Having lost to City tonight Leicester can no longer finish in 7th spot. Despite this, I expect them to want to finish the season on a high and don’t be surprised should there be a Vardy party. 3-2 to Leicester.

Liverpool v Wolves

Previous fixtures at Anfield – Just the four PL meetings between these two sides at Anfield. These games hold very little relevance though as the most recent was played in September ’11. Wolves did beat Liverpool in an FA Cup game at Anfield in January ’17 but again this holds little relevance as maybe 3/4 players from that game will feature on Sunday.

Liverpool home form – Won four. Scored 13, conceded three and kept two clean sheets. They’ve had 22 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on eight occasions. They’ve had 62.4% possession.

Wolves away form – Won one, drew one and lost two. Scored four, conceded seven and kept no clean sheets. They’ve had seven shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 14 occasions. They’ve had 43% possession.

Prediction – This will be a cagey affair. Liverpool know that they must win to have any chance of ending that long wait for a 19th league title. Wolves have a great season and with 7th place secured there is no pressure on them which is probably not good news for Liverpool. As a Liverpool fan I’m going to let my pessimism rule the day as I predict a 2-2 draw.

Manchester United v Cardiff

Previous fixtures at Old Trafford – Just the one PL fixture at Old Trafford between these two with United winning 2-0 back in January ’14 with van Persie and Young the scorers. The reverse fixture back in December saw United triumph 5-1. That was Ole’s first game at ‘the wheel’!!

United home form – Won two, drew one and lost one. Scored five, conceded five and kept no clean sheets. They’ve had 14 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 20 occasions. They’ve had 45.1% possession.

Cardiff away form – Won one and lost three. Scored two, conceded five and kept one clean sheet. They’ve had 14 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 22 occasions. They’ve had 33.5% possession.

Prediction – United v an already relegated Cardiff… this should in theory be a comfortable win for United. But, it won’t. United have nothing left to play for but pride. OGS has already stated that a number of players will leave in the summer so don’t be surprised should he make a raft of changes and play a few kids. Cardiff and Colin will be keen to go out with a bang and they quite easily claim the three points but I reckon United take this one 2-1.

Fantasy Football TipsSouthampton v Huddersfield

Previous fixtures at St Mary’s – Just the one PL fixture between these two sides at St Mary’s, a 1-1 draw back in Dec ’17 with the goals coming from Charlie Austin and Laurent Depoitre.

Southampton home form – Won two, drew one and lost one. Scored nine, conceded eight and kept no clean sheets. They’ve had 18 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 17 occasions. They’ve had 35.6% possession.

Huddersfield away form – Lost four. Scored three, conceded 15 and kept no clean sheets. They’ve had 12 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 22 occasions. They’ve had 35.8% possession.

Prediction – You’ll probably want to get a couple of Southampton’s attacking options into your starting XI for the weekend as I fancy Southampton to take this one 4-2.

Spurs v EvertonFantasy Football Tips

Previous fixtures at the old White Hart Lane – Spurs have won three of the last four at WHL. 4-0 in January ’18 (Kane*2, Son & Eriksen), 3-2 in March ’17 (Kane*2, Ali; Lukaku, Valencia), 2-1 November ’14 with Eriksen again on the scoresheet. There was also a scoreless draw in August ’15.

Spurs home form – Won three and lost one. Scored seven, conceded one and kept three clean sheets. They’ve had 27 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 10 occassions. They’ve had 69.4% possession.

Everton away form – Won one, drew one and lost two. Scored four, conceded five and kept two clean sheets. They’ve had 16 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 13 occassions. They’ve had 57.1% possession.

Prediction – Spurs know that a point will guarantee CL football for next season. Their form has been patchy of late and I don’t expect that to change this weekend. Obviously a win over Ajax on Wednesday night will put a spring in their step. Whether they’re capable of that remains to be seen. Either way I expect Everton to take the points in this one in what is likely to be a high scoring game.

Fantasy Football TipsWatford v West Ham

Previous fixtures at Vicarage Road – Just three PL fixtures of relevance between these two at Vicarage Road. Watford won 2-0 in November ’17 with Will Hughes on the scoresheet, there was a 1-1 draw in February ’17 with Deeney on the scoresheet and Watford won 2-0 back in October ’15.

Watford home form – Won one, drew one and lost two. Scored six, conceded five and kept no clean sheets. They’ve had 14 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 19 occassions. They’ve had 49.3% possession.

West Ham away form – Won one and lost three. Scored two, conceded six and kept one clean sheet. They’ve had 15 shots on target over the four games with their opponents hitting the target on 22 occassions. They’ve had 52% possession.

Prediction – Watford have nothing left to play for in the league and have the Cup final next weekend. Therefore I expect a significant number of changes from Garcia. West Ham know that a win will see them finish in the top half and I expect them to do just that.

Thanks for reading Fantasy Football Fixture Analysis Gameweek 38

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196 Comments

  1. 43
    redmecca says:

    Not sure about the GOAT tag for Messi.
    His leadership skills were not in evidence tonight.

    • 43.1
      Zed Leppelin says:

      Thought he went off the pitch to catch some ice cream or something after the 4th goal, or did you see him on the pitch in the final minutes? :)

    • 43.2

      Like Ronaldo’s weren’t against Ajax?

      One game doesn’t make a career.

      Messi is still the greatest there’s ever been to my mind.

    • 43.3
      DMC says:

      No GOAT until you win the World Cup.

      • Disagree there DMC. Argentina in the time span of Messi’s career have been a completely disorganised unit. Can’t lay that at one man’s feet.

        That parameter is too strict I think.

        Prefer to look at him being Barcelona’s most decorated ever player – that title alone is impressive enough before you actually count what he’s done with them. :)

        • DMC says:

          GP – will respectfully agree to disagree. We’ve had this discussion on site somewhere along the way (perhaps after a summer national teams’ competition) and I say this not necessarily for Messi, but mainly because I’ve said it for our (mine) own Ronaldo after the Euro cup win. Both him and Messi are obviously the greatest of “our” time (and that man Ronaldo, the Brazilian, for the new things he brought, and also Zidane, of course), BUT, to be the greatest of all times you have to win something special – and be relevant in that win. Champions league is good but it will never be has special as a WC. Granted, the usual candidates won it when it had different format but still I think it is something you need to do to enter such stage. Messi was very close in Brazil 2014 and that perhaps is in fact the difference between the best ever and the ones that almost did it. No Ronaldo bias here mate – he was never close to it and never will be (I think) – and thus he is no GOAT despite the Euro cup.

        • DMC

          All about opinions of course and it’s a fantastic debate to be had. We can always respectfully disagree my friend.

          There’s actually a secondary argument there we’re touching on and that is which is bigger – Champions League or World Cup and that’s a separate debate and to be honest, I can see arguments for both in this current day and age. I believe there are more people these days who care more for their club than their country and I’m sure there are some players who feel the same.

          I just feel that 34 trophies at one of the world’s greatest and biggest club’s is astounding and his level has been consistently immeasurable. He has picked up gold at the Olympics and won at Under 20 level. Also four runners -up in major finals with Argentina all points to small margins for me – he has been successful with his country and has been damn close at other times – none more so than 2014.

        • Cookie,

          I’ll firstly caveat this by saying that I remember Maradona from the World Cups of 1990 and 1994, NOT 1986. Admittedly this may alter my opinion.

          I would propose that the World Cup in which Maradona won was one where he was played as the star man and everything was tailored around him being on the ball. For whatever reason I’ve always thought, and it has been backed up by popular footballing correspondent’s comment that I’ve read, Messi wasn’t always accommodated similarly. I don’t think Argentina have had managers sensible enough to build a side around his strengths as a player.

          I will say for balance though, it has always crossed my mind that the weight of expectation may have been a part of any under-performing.

          As you know, I always try to see things from all points of view :)

      • redmecca says:

        Have to say I disagree too.
        Di Stéfano was one of the best players of all time, if not the most complete player in the history of the game.
        In his time, Madrid dominated the European Cup and La Liga.
        He never actually played in the World Cup.
        He’s up there with Pele, Maradona and Cruyff for me.

      • Kralin says:

        I don’t think Maldini won the WC but he would be one of my candidates for football superdude of the century.

      • Smash says:

        For me Messi is the greatest. Look at the stats of what he’s achieved. I follow that up with Ronaldo close behind. What they have both done year after year is a freak especially when players are fitter than they always used to be. To label someone because they have not won the World Cup is wrong for me. So we judge a player on how many world cups they have won.

        • Kralin says:

          I don’t buy the WC thing. That’s essentially ruling certain players out because of where they were born.

          Cruyff springs to mind. Maldini. Lovren. And so on.

        • Smash says:

          I mean what hope did George Best have of ever winning the World Cup do we just dismiss him because of that.

        • Smash says:

          This is a good point. I have a lot of time for the fact Ronaldo has done the business in the top three leagues

    • 43.4
      Snookie Bear says:

      Messi has never been the leader, even as a RM fan I think you can’t disregard either Messi or Cr7 for not winning the wc. They are GOAT’s and I would say you shoudn’t compare differant Era’s best players this two have been Mostorous and been scoring goals at the rate never seen before and with amazing consistency almost 10 years and both are still scoring and winning. The winning mentality and the consistency they have shown won’t be repeated anytime soon. Messi had more realistic chance of winning WC people can say whatever they want but he has world class players for Argentina all over the pitch and would think after so many coaches the problems lies somewhere else. Whatever I would say they are GOAT’s of this era and should enjoy them till they play

  2. 44
    GoalMachine says:

    OR: 19k, dropped unfortunately in last couple of weeks. Will you take a hit to get a City defender on below setup? May be Doherty > Laporte.
    ———————–
    Lloris, Foster
    VVD, Doherty, Wan-B, Yoshida(? injury), Bednarek

    • 44.2
      Kralin says:

      Yes definitely to protect the OR – and hopefully pick off people who don’t have him.

      PS

      Didn’t see you’d have to take a hit. In which case, probably not. Points are utterly crucial in the final GW and -4 could see you slip out of the top 20. A cheeky Southampton double at the back – assuming Y is fit – may cover you there.

    • 44.3
      GoalMachine says:

      Thanks Cookie and Kralin.. Laporte killed my rank in last 3 GWs. I can see him getting one more CS. Double SOU def. is a punt – somehow they always concede.
      I am planning to get rid of Son and Gray (keep Jota and Jimenez – play 1 may be) with my 2 FTs. Though I will keep a note on Watford press if Gray starts considering their FA cup game (where Deeney and Deulofeu will start).
      Salah, Sterling, JWP, Jota, Son
      Aguero, Jim, Gray

      How did Pogba play?

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